Integrated Reporting and the Informativeness of Financial Analysts’ Stock Recommendations

Diogenis Baboukardos, Anastasia Kopita
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Abstract

Synopsis The research problem The purpose of this study was to examine the market reaction to sell-side analyst recommendation revisions issued under an integrated reporting (IR) approach. Motivation Advocates of this corporate reporting approach argue that IR enhances capital markets’ information environment by rendering investors better able to assess the value creation process of a firm. Recent empirical studies corroborate this argument. Considering the central role of financial intermediaries, we investigated whether the informativeness of analyst recommendation revisions is associated with the adoption of IR and the quality of integrated reports. The test hypotheses We tested whether the informativeness of analyst recommendation revisions decreases or increases after the mandatory adoption of an IR approach. Furthermore, we tested whether the informativeness is negatively or positively related to the quality of the released integrated report after the mandatory adoption of an IR approach. Target population We focused on the South African capital market, which is the only setting where IR is mandated. We utilized a sample of 3,201 recommendation revisions made within a 3-year window around the mandatory IR adoption. Adopted methodology This study used ordinary least square (OLS) regressions and applied difference-in-differences as well as instrumental variable approaches. Analyses We modeled the market reaction to the recommendation revisions as a function of the period in which the recommendations are announced (i.e., pre- or post-adoption), along with other factors affecting market reaction. In subsequent tests, we also modeled the market reaction to the recommendation revisions as a function of the quality of a firm’s integrated report. Findings We found strong evidence that analysts’ revisions exhibited economically and statistically significantly lower information content under IR. Moreover, we found that upgrades and downgrades issued in the post-adoption period were less informative when issued for firms with high-quality integrated reports. Overall, results showed that the benefit of acquiring advice from analysts became more marginal under an IR approach.
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综合报告与金融分析师股票推荐的信息量
研究问题简介 本研究旨在考察市场对卖方分析师在综合报告(IR)方法下发布的建议修订的反应。动机 这种公司报告方法的倡导者认为,投资者关系能够使投资者更好地评估公司的价值创造过程,从而改善资本市场的信息环境。近期的实证研究证实了这一观点。考虑到金融中介的核心作用,我们研究了分析师建议修正的信息量是否与投资者关系的采用和综合报告的质量有关。检验假设 我们检验了在强制采用投资者关系方法后,分析师建议修订的信息量是减少了还是增加了。此外,我们还测试了在强制采用投资者关系方法后,信息量与发布的综合报告的质量是负相关还是正相关。目标人群 我们重点关注南非资本市场,这是唯一一个强制采用投资者关系的市场。我们使用的样本是在强制采用投资者关系前后 3 年内做出的 3 201 项建议修订。采用的方法 本研究采用普通最小二乘法(OLS)回归,并应用了差分法和工具变量法。分析 我们将市场对建议修订的反应作为建议公布期(即采纳前或采纳后)以及其他影响市场反应的因素的函数进行建模。在随后的测试中,我们还将市场对建议修订的反应作为公司综合报告质量的函数进行了建模。研究结果 我们发现,有强有力的证据表明,在 IR 下,分析师的修订在经济上和统计上都表现出较低的信息含量。此外,我们还发现,对于拥有高质量综合报告的公司而言,在采纳后发布的升级和降级信息含量较低。总体而言,结果表明,在投资者关系方法下,从分析师处获取建议的收益变得更加微不足道。
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