Impact of Crop Production on Economic Growth in Nigeria, 1981 – 2018

Joseph M. IBBIH
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Abstract

This study examined the impact of crop production on economic growth in Nigeria utilizing annual time series data from 1981 to 2018. The study used Johansen cointegration test, Vector Error Correction test, the impulse response functions and variance decomposition for data analysis after the data series were checked against unit root problem using the Augmented Dickey Fuller unit root test. The study tested and found that increase in the production of cassava, cocoyam, groundnut, guinea corn, maize, millet, rice and yam spurs economic growth in Nigeria in the long-run except for cotton production and with only groundnut production contributing significantly to the output of the Nigerian economy in the short- run. The study, therefore recommends that the Nigerian government should encourage farmers in the production of crops through supply of fertilizer to increase their productivity and food output while improving their use of modern seedlings and technology in the production that may in turn increase the crop production while farmers should be encouraged to adapt best practices in farming to maximize crop yield.
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1981 - 2018 年农作物生产对尼日利亚经济增长的影响
本研究利用 1981 年至 2018 年的年度时间序列数据,研究了作物生产对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。研究使用了约翰森协整检验、矢量误差修正检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解进行数据分析,然后使用增强迪基富勒单位根检验对数据序列进行单位根问题检验。研究通过检验发现,木薯、椰子、落花生、豚鼠玉米、玉米、小米、大米和山药产量的增加在长期内刺激了尼日利亚的经济增长,但棉花产量除外,只有落花生产量在短期内对尼日利亚经济的产出做出了重大贡献。因此,该研究建议尼日利亚政府通过提供化肥鼓励农民生产农作物,以提高他们的生产率和粮食产量,同时改善他们在生产中对现代种苗和技术的使用,从而提高农作物产量,同时鼓励农民采用最佳耕作方法,最大限度地提高农作物产量。
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