OPTIMAL CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY DESIGN FOR EMERGING ECONOMIES

Ferry Syarifuddin
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Abstract

The growth of digitalisation presents the possibility for Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) to emerge as a secure and efficient payment method. However, despite the benefits, CBDC implementation needs to be adapted to the capabilities and needs of each country. This study uses meta-strength, weakness, opportunity, and threat (meta-SWOT) analysis to assess the internal strengths and weaknesses, as well as the external opportunities and threats, to determine the most optimal CBDC design for emerging economies. In analysing internal aspects, CBDC allows for an efficient payment system, followed by a more effective monetary policy. Furthermore, the technology creates the possibility to boost financial inclusion and trace many illicit activities. However, to achieve that, high investment costs and privacy issues must be accommodated, followed by technological risks such as the digital divide and electrical outages. Turning to external aspects, growing technology, the network effect, enthusiasm for CBDC, and the impracticality of cash usage have become catalysts for CBDC development. Despite these opportunities, central banks should be wary of the threat of cyberattacks, quickening bank disintermediation, legal issues within their respective countries, and competition with private crypto companies. Altogether, the most optimal CBDC design in emerging economies is retail and wholesale coverage, interest-bearing (wholesale) and noninterest-bearing (retail) remuneration, account-based and token-based paymentsystems, a traceable degree of anonymity, hybrid architecture, a Decentralised Ledger Technology (DLT) ledger system, and domestic and cross-border scope. These results are supported by rigorous examination of global CBDC research and development.
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新兴经济体中央银行数字货币的最佳设计
数字化的发展使中央银行数字货币(CBDC)有可能成为一种安全高效的支付方式。然而,尽管好处多多,中央银行数字货币的实施需要适应每个国家的能力和需求。本研究采用元优势、劣势、机会和威胁(meta-SWOT)分析法评估内部优势和劣势,以及外部机会和威胁,以确定新兴经济体的最佳 CBDC 设计。在分析内部方面时,CBDC 可以实现高效的支付系统,继而制定更有效的货币政策。此外,该技术还为促进金融包容性和追踪许多非法活动提供了可能性。然而,要实现这一目标,必须考虑到高昂的投资成本和隐私问题,以及数字鸿沟和断电等技术风险。从外部因素来看,技术的发展、网络效应、对 CBDC 的热情以及现金使用的不实用性已成为 CBDC 发展的催化剂。尽管存在这些机遇,中央银行仍应警惕网络攻击的威胁、银行脱媒的加速、各自国家的法律问题以及与私营加密公司的竞争。总之,新兴经济体中最理想的 CBDC 设计是覆盖零售和批发、计息(批发)和不计息(零售)报酬、基于账户和代币的支付系统、可追溯的匿名程度、混合架构、去中心化分类账技术(DLT)分类账系统以及国内和跨境范围。这些结果得到了全球 CBDC 研究与开发严格审查的支持。
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