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INCREASING FISCAL AND ECONOMIC RESILIENCE POST PANDEMIC: EVIDENCE FROM SOUTH ASIAN COUNTRIES 提高大流行病后的财政和经济适应能力:南亚国家的证据
Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i2.184
Jamil Ahmad, Dastgir Alam
The South Asia region faced extremely difficult economic challenges from the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Almost two billion people living in South Asia were affected by the pandemic. The unprecedented shock in South Asia disturbed the pace and pattern of development and increased the vulnerabilities of the region. The region faced the problems of inequality, high inflation, rising fiscal deficit, disrupted growth, and environmental challenges further increasing the region’s vulnerabilities. Traditional macroeconomic policies are not enough to cope with this problem. In the face of these shocks, South Asian countries need to build robust fiscal and monetary policies and efficient use of remaining resources to build a more resilient economy for the protection of the population. Economic resilience might be effective to overcome such external shocks and support the recovery of all countries especially South Asian countries. Post-pandemic action in South Asian countries thus has become moreimportant, especially with restrained scope of fiscal and monetary stimulus. This examines the impact of COVID-19 on South Asian countries. The paper addresses the economic challenges faced by South Asian Countries in the pre- and post-pandemic period. It also briefly discusses the fiscal stimulus packages released by the South Asian countries to build stronger economies.
南亚地区面临着冠状病毒(COVID-19)大流行所带来的极其严峻的经济挑战。生活在南亚的近 20 亿人受到了这一流行病的影响。南亚受到的前所未有的冲击扰乱了发展的步伐和模式,增加了该地区的脆弱性。该地区面临着不平等、高通胀、财政赤字上升、增长中断和环境挑战等问题,进一步加剧了该地区的脆弱性。传统的宏观经济政策不足以应对这一问题。面对这些冲击,南亚国家需要制定稳健的财政和货币政策,有效利用剩余资源,建设更具韧性的经济,以保护人民。经济韧性可以有效地克服这些外部冲击,支持所有国家,尤其是南亚国家的复苏。因此,南亚国家的疫后行动变得更加重要,尤其是在财政和货币刺激措施受到限制的情况下。本文探讨了 COVID-19 对南亚国家的影响。本文探讨了南亚国家在疫情前后所面临的经济挑战。本文还简要讨论了南亚国家为建设更强大的经济而发布的一揽子财政刺激计划。
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引用次数: 0
HOW DOES CSR STRATEGY IMPACT CORPORATE CASH POLICY IN EMERGING MARKETS? EVIDENCE FROM THE COVID-19 OUTBREAK 企业社会责任战略如何影响新兴市场的公司现金政策?COVID-19疫情的证据
Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i2.181
A. Polat, Hasan Tekin
This study investigates the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) strategy on corporate cash policy in emerging markets, with a specific focus on the COVID-19 pandemic period. By analysing data from 7,731 firm-years across 30 developing countries during the period 2002-2021, the study finds that CSR has a negative effect on cash holdings. In other words, firms with lower CSR investment tend to hold more cash. However, an interesting finding is that the negative impact of CSR on cash holdings lost its significance during the COVID-19pandemic. This suggests that during this unprecedented period of economic uncertainty and disruption caused by the pandemic, firms with higher CSR were more inclined to hoard cash as a precautionary measure. In contrast, in normal times, the dominant motive for holding cash appears to be related to agency concerns. Furthermore, the study identifies countryspecific variations in the relationship between CSR and cash holdings. For instance, firms in Brazil and Saudi Arabia tend to use cash retention as a response to higher CSR, while firms in Argentina, Malaysia, Mexico, Poland, Taiwan, and Turkiye exhibit the opposite behaviour, using higher CSR as a signal for reduced cash holdings. Additionally, the study sheds light on industry-specific differences in the relationship between CSR and cash holdings. Beverage, construction and material, industrial material, oil, gas, and coal, technology hardware and equipment, telecommunications service provider, and travel and leisure firms are more likely to use cash holdings as a substitute for CSR, while alternative energy and media firms show the opposite pattern, using higher CSR as a signal for reduced cash holdings.
本研究调查了企业社会责任(CSR)战略对新兴市场企业现金政策的影响,特别关注 COVID-19 大流行时期。通过分析 2002-2021 年间 30 个发展中国家 7731 个企业年的数据,研究发现企业社会责任对现金持有量有负面影响。换句话说,企业社会责任投资较低的公司往往持有更多现金。然而,一个有趣的发现是,在 COVID-19 大流行期间,企业社会责任对现金持有量的负面影响失去了意义。这表明,在大流行病造成的前所未有的经济不确定性和混乱时期,企业社会责任较高的企业更倾向于囤积现金作为预防措施。与此相反,在正常时期,持有现金的主要动机似乎与代理顾虑有关。此外,研究还发现了企业社会责任与现金持有之间关系的国别差异。例如,巴西和沙特阿拉伯的企业倾向于将现金留存作为对较高企业社会责任的回应,而阿根廷、马来西亚、墨西哥、波兰、台湾和土耳其的企业则表现出相反的行为,将较高的企业社会责任作为减少现金持有的信号。此外,研究还揭示了企业社会责任与现金持有量之间的行业差异。饮料、建筑和材料、工业材料、石油、天然气和煤炭、技术硬件和设备、电信服务提供商以及旅游和休闲企业更倾向于将现金持有量作为企业社会责任的替代品,而替代能源和媒体企业则表现出相反的模式,将较高的企业社会责任作为减少现金持有量的信号。
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引用次数: 0
EVALUATING MSME FINANCING PRACTICES DURING COVID-19: EVIDENCE FROM ISLAMIC BANK ANNUAL REPORTS 评估 CVID-19 期间的穆斯林市场融资实践:来自伊斯兰银行年度报告的证据
Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i2.176
Umar Habibu Umar, Auwalu Isah Darma
This study assesses the MSME financing practices of Islamic banks in Bangladesh during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study examines the annual reports of Bangladeshi Islamic banks between 2020 and 2021. This study found Islamic bank financing for cottage, small and medium enterprises (CMSME) through agent banking was effective during the pandemic. Banks also launched various programs, products, and schemes easily accessible to CMSMEs in the country, including special programs supporting women entrepreneurship and CMSMEs in rural areas. Overall, the performance of MSME financing of Islamic banks in the country was impressive and effective measured by the amounts disbursed to CMSMEs, the number of beneficiaries, new branches opened, and employment of bank staff to handle the enterprises’ financial requests over the period. The findings can help the government and regulatory agencies, particularly Bangladesh Bank, during the revision of regulations to enhance CMSME financing by scheduled banks in the country.
本研究评估了 COVID-19 大流行期间孟加拉国伊斯兰银行的中小微企业融资实践。本研究审查了孟加拉国伊斯兰银行 2020 年至 2021 年的年度报告。研究发现,伊斯兰银行在大流行病期间通过代理银行业务为家庭作坊式中小型企业(CMSME)提供的融资是有效的。银行还推出了各种便于该国微型、小型和中型企业使用的计划、产品和方案,包括支持妇女创业和农村地区微型、小型和中型企业的特别方案。总体而言,该国伊斯兰银行在中小微企业融资方面的表现令人印象深刻且卓有成效,具体表现在向中小微企业支付的金额、受益人数、新开设的分行,以及在此期间雇用银行员工处理企业的财务请求等方面。这些研究结果有助于政府和监管机构,特别是孟加拉国银行修订法规,以加强该国在册银行对中小企业的融资。
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引用次数: 0
LEGAL PROTECTION OF BANK INDONESIA’S FINANCIAL INDEPENDENCE 印度尼西亚银行财务独立性的法律保护
Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i2.186
Ayu Deviana
Bank Indonesia as the central bank in Indonesia has financial independence in which Bank Indonesia has the authority to manage its assets separately from the State Budget. However, in carrying out its roles and duties, Bank Indonesia often faces demands or lawsuits, which result in execution of judgments against assets of Bank Indonesia. This can clearly disrupt the financial stability of Bank Indonesia, affecting Bank Indonesia’s ability to carry out its roles and duties effectively. Currently, there has been an argument put forth to assert Article 50 of the treasure law in an effort to protect for Bank Indonesia’s finances. However, the application of this article as a legal basis for protection of Bank Indonesia’s finances is inappropriate because it is not in accordance with Bank Indonesia’s financial independence, separating from the State Budget. Departing from these problems, based on data collected through document studies in the form of primary, secondary, and tertiary legal materials, this study examines how the policies of financial independence of Bank Indonesia, legal protection of Bank Indonesia’s finance, and ideal arrangements for legal protection of Bank Indonesia’s finances considering the attention to the independence of Bank Indonesia. The conclusion of this research is that there is still disharmony in regulations regarding Bank Indonesia’s financial protection in the State Finances Law and the State Treasury Law which creates legal uncertainty regarding Bank Indonesia’s financial protection.
印尼银行作为印尼的中央银行,具有财政独立性,印尼银行有权将其资产与国家预算分开管理。然而,印尼银行在履行其职能和职责时,经常会面临要求或诉讼,导致对印尼银行的资产执行判决。这显然会破坏印尼银行的金融稳定,影响印尼银行有效履行职责的能力。目前,有一种观点认为应坚持宝藏法第 50 条,以保护印尼银行的财务。然而,将该条款作为保护印尼银行财政的法律依据是不恰当的,因为它不符合印尼银行脱离国家预算的财政独立性。从这些问题出发,本研究以通过文献研究收集的一手、二手和三级法律材料形式的数据为基础,考察了印尼银行财务独立政策、印尼银行财务的法律保护以及印尼银行财务法律保护的理想安排是如何考虑印尼银行的独立性的。本研究的结论是,《国家金融法》和《国家财政部法》中有关印尼银行金融保护的规定仍然不协调,这给印尼银行的金融保护带来了法律上的不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
MAPPING CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY LITERATURE: LESSONS FOR GOVERNMENTS AND RESEARCH 绘制中央银行数字货币文献图:政府和研究工作的经验教训
Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i2.164
Ririn Riani, Nashr Akbar
CBDC has gained popularity in many countries as a result of technological development. Central banks in a number of nations have been experimenting, piloting, launching, and promoting CBDC. Therefore, this study maps CBDC-related literature using a bibliometric approach and content analysis of the Scopus database. The Biblioshiny R Package was used in this study to analyse 190 documents with the keywords “central bank digital currency”. The analysis focuses on the main information about all documents, analysis of scientific production by areas (journals, authors, and countries), document and keyword analysis, and policy recommendations from the previous literature. The results show that CBDCs have had profound effects on monetary and payment systems, and their development could set the stage for a global central bank. The review also addresses the motivations and advantages of issuing a CBDC, including increasing financial inclusion, enhancing monetary policy, andpromoting efficient digital payments. The analysis also reveals that numerous central banks are investigating the possibility of issuing CBDCs due to the numerous advantages of this form of money. There is a lot of potential for theoretical expansion, contextual coverage, and methodological contributions. Furthermore, some policy recommendations from previous literature and directions for future studies are provided in this study.
随着技术的发展,CBDC 在许多国家得到了普及。许多国家的中央银行都在尝试、试点、推出和推广 CBDC。因此,本研究采用文献计量学方法和 Scopus 数据库的内容分析,绘制了 CBDC 相关文献的地图。本研究使用 Biblioshiny R 软件包分析了以 "央行数字货币 "为关键词的 190 篇文献。分析的重点是所有文献的主要信息、按领域(期刊、作者和国家)划分的科研成果分析、文献和关键词分析以及以往文献中的政策建议。结果表明,CBDC 对货币和支付系统产生了深远影响,其发展可能为全球中央银行的建立奠定基础。综述还探讨了发行 CBDC 的动机和优势,包括提高金融包容性、加强货币政策和促进高效数字支付。分析还显示,由于这种货币形式的众多优势,许多中央银行正在研究发行 CBDC 的可能性。在理论拓展、背景覆盖和方法论贡献方面还有很大的潜力。此外,本研究还提供了以往文献中的一些政策建议和未来研究的方向。
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引用次数: 0
DO POLITICALLY CONNECTED BANKS PERFORM BETTER IN A DEMOCRATIC ENVIRONMENT? 在民主环境中,与政治有关联的银行是否表现更好?
Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i2.173
Rashedul Hasan, M. K. Hassan, Jiayuan Tian
This paper elucidates the intricate relationship among bank performance, political connections, and the democratic environment. The existing body of evidence is notably limited in illustrating the impact of a democratic environment on bank performance. Our study examines a sample of 397 banks spanning 14 countries and districts, encompassing both politically affiliated and non-politically affiliated banks in both democratic and non-democratic settings. The empirical findings reveal a reduction in non-performing loans but an escalation in loan loss provision within a democratic environment. This phenomenon may be attributed to the diminished level of financial constraints prevalent in democratic settings. Furthermore, our investigation revealsthat political connections exert a deleterious effect on the non-performing loans (NPL) ratio, coupled with a salutary impact on loan loss provision. Conclusively, our research identifies that the stock return of politically connected banks in democratic environments is inferior to their counterparts in non-democratic environments. Additionally, the non-performing loans ratio (NPL) of politically connected banks in democratic environments tends to be higher compared to their non-democratic counterparts. Conversely, the loan loss provision of politically connected banks in democratic environments tends to be lower than that in non-democratic environments. This nuanced analysis contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of the interplay between democratic environments, political connections, and bank performance.
本文阐明了银行绩效、政治关系和民主环境之间错综复杂的关系。在说明民主环境对银行绩效的影响方面,现有证据明显有限。我们的研究以 14 个国家和地区的 397 家银行为样本,涵盖了民主和非民主环境下的政治关联银行和非政治关联银行。实证研究结果表明,在民主环境下,不良贷款减少,但贷款损失准备金增加。这一现象可能是由于民主环境下普遍存在的金融约束水平降低所致。此外,我们的调查还显示,政治关系对不良贷款率产生了有害影响,同时对贷款损失准备金产生了有利影响。最后,我们的研究发现,在民主环境下,有政治关系的银行的股票回报率低于非民主环境下的银行。此外,民主环境中政治关联银行的不良贷款率(NPL)往往高于非民主环境中的银行。相反,民主环境中政治关联银行的贷款损失准备金往往低于非民主环境中的银行。这种细致入微的分析有助于更全面地理解民主环境、政治关系和银行绩效之间的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
OPTIMAL CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY DESIGN FOR EMERGING ECONOMIES 新兴经济体中央银行数字货币的最佳设计
Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i2.194
Ferry Syarifuddin
The growth of digitalisation presents the possibility for Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) to emerge as a secure and efficient payment method. However, despite the benefits, CBDC implementation needs to be adapted to the capabilities and needs of each country. This study uses meta-strength, weakness, opportunity, and threat (meta-SWOT) analysis to assess the internal strengths and weaknesses, as well as the external opportunities and threats, to determine the most optimal CBDC design for emerging economies. In analysing internal aspects, CBDC allows for an efficient payment system, followed by a more effective monetary policy. Furthermore, the technology creates the possibility to boost financial inclusion and trace many illicit activities. However, to achieve that, high investment costs and privacy issues must be accommodated, followed by technological risks such as the digital divide and electrical outages. Turning to external aspects, growing technology, the network effect, enthusiasm for CBDC, and the impracticality of cash usage have become catalysts for CBDC development. Despite these opportunities, central banks should be wary of the threat of cyberattacks, quickening bank disintermediation, legal issues within their respective countries, and competition with private crypto companies. Altogether, the most optimal CBDC design in emerging economies is retail and wholesale coverage, interest-bearing (wholesale) and noninterest-bearing (retail) remuneration, account-based and token-based paymentsystems, a traceable degree of anonymity, hybrid architecture, a Decentralised Ledger Technology (DLT) ledger system, and domestic and cross-border scope. These results are supported by rigorous examination of global CBDC research and development.
数字化的发展使中央银行数字货币(CBDC)有可能成为一种安全高效的支付方式。然而,尽管好处多多,中央银行数字货币的实施需要适应每个国家的能力和需求。本研究采用元优势、劣势、机会和威胁(meta-SWOT)分析法评估内部优势和劣势,以及外部机会和威胁,以确定新兴经济体的最佳 CBDC 设计。在分析内部方面时,CBDC 可以实现高效的支付系统,继而制定更有效的货币政策。此外,该技术还为促进金融包容性和追踪许多非法活动提供了可能性。然而,要实现这一目标,必须考虑到高昂的投资成本和隐私问题,以及数字鸿沟和断电等技术风险。从外部因素来看,技术的发展、网络效应、对 CBDC 的热情以及现金使用的不实用性已成为 CBDC 发展的催化剂。尽管存在这些机遇,中央银行仍应警惕网络攻击的威胁、银行脱媒的加速、各自国家的法律问题以及与私营加密公司的竞争。总之,新兴经济体中最理想的 CBDC 设计是覆盖零售和批发、计息(批发)和不计息(零售)报酬、基于账户和代币的支付系统、可追溯的匿名程度、混合架构、去中心化分类账技术(DLT)分类账系统以及国内和跨境范围。这些结果得到了全球 CBDC 研究与开发严格审查的支持。
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引用次数: 0
BANK INDONESIA’S ROLE IN ERADICATING CORRUPTION: ADOPTING THE WORLD BANK INITIATIVES 印度尼西亚银行在消除腐败中的作用:采纳世界银行的倡议
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i1.32
R. Natamiharja, Febryani Sabatira, O. Davey, Yuga Narazua Khanza
Bank Indonesia as the primary agent for maintaining state financial stability plays an essential role in combatting corruption through preventive and repressive measures. However, considering the poor state of corruption management, Indonesia requires a more strategic and measurable framework. In this case, The World Bank Group (WBG) has numerous methods for combatting corruption through structured initiatives. The overall goal of the programs is to achieve a high level of transparency as the central bank’s fundamental premise in dealing with corruption. Thus, by adopting the WBG guidelines and initiatives, Indonesia can gradually scale up its corruption eradication efforts. This study will further highlight three areas, namely: (i) the World Bank alternatives for controlling corruption; (ii) the role of Bank Indonesia in eradicating corruption; and (iii) adoption of the World Bank’s alternatives in strengthening Bank Indonesia’s efforts to eradicate corruption. The study uses normative legal research using a regulatory approach with secondary data collection. The results of the study show that Bank Indonesia has thoroughly adopted the World Bank’s initiatives. Nevertheless, BI still needs to optimise technology-based public transparency, enhance public involvement, and strengthen supervision of sectoral-based corruption risk in the future. 
印度尼西亚银行作为维护国家金融稳定的主要机构,在通过预防和镇压措施打击腐败方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,考虑到腐败管理的糟糕状况,印尼需要一个更具战略性和可衡量性的框架。在这种情况下,世界银行集团(WBG)通过结构化举措采取了多种方法打击腐败。这些计划的总体目标是实现高水平的透明度,以此作为中央银行处理腐败问题的基本前提。因此,通过采用世行集团的指导方针和举措,印尼可以逐步加大其消除腐败的力度。本研究将进一步强调三个方面,即:(i) 世界银行控制腐败的替代方案;(ii) 印尼银行在根除腐败中的作用;(iii) 采用世界银行的替代方案加强印尼银行根除腐败的努力。本研究采用规范性法律研究,使用监管方法,并收集二手数据。研究结果表明,印尼银行完全采纳了世界银行的倡议。尽管如此,印尼银行仍需优化以技术为基础的公共透明度,提高公众参与度,并在未来加强对部门腐败风险的监管。
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引用次数: 0
BANK CREDIT GROWTH IN INDONESIA DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND ITS REGULATIONS 科维德-19 大流行病期间印度尼西亚的银行信贷增长及其监管
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i1.47
Abdul Aziz, Sri Maulida
Credit growth related to production, consumption, investment, exports, and imports is considered crucial for economic growth. The Covid-19 pandemic has had a major impact on the economies of countries in the world, as seen from a significant decline in credit growth. This study examines the effects of Economic Growth, Exchange Rate, Inflation, BI Rate, Third Party Funds (TPF), and Non-Performing Loans (NPL) on Banking Credit Growth in Indonesia during the COVID-19 Pandemic Period and regulations issued during that period. Analysis using multiple linear regression method using EViews 10 software with data type in the form of time series. The results of this study showed that only TPF growth had a significant effect. Simultaneously, the variables of Economic Growth, Exchange Rate, Inflation, BI Rate, NPL and Deposit Growth have a significant effect. The most dominantinfluencing variable is deposit growth.
与生产、消费、投资、出口和进口相关的信贷增长被认为是经济增长的关键。从信贷增长的显著下降可以看出,"Covid-19 "大流行对世界各国的经济产生了重大影响。本研究探讨了印度尼西亚在 COVID-19 大流行期间的经济增长、汇率、通货膨胀率、BI 利率、第三方资金(TPF)和不良贷款(NPL)对银行信贷增长的影响以及在此期间发布的法规。使用 EViews 10 软件的多元线性回归法进行分析,数据类型为时间序列。研究结果表明,只有 TPF 增长具有显著影响。同时,经济增长、汇率、通货膨胀、BI 利率、NPL 和存款增长等变量也有显著影响。最主要的影响变量是存款增长。
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引用次数: 0
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION AND THE BANKING MARKET: FRIEND OR FOE? A COUNTRY-LEVEL STUDY 数字化转型与银行业市场:敌还是友?国别研究
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.21098/jcli.v3i1.167
Noureen A. Khan, Mudeer Ahmed Khattak
Countries’ digital transformation continues and yet the impact on the banking sector is unknown. This uncertainty might become even worse if banks start to compete among themselves to get ahead of digital lending and payment platforms. Competition among banks leads to lower lending rates and increased deposit rates. These smaller margins might lead to instability in the banking sector. We address the impact of digital transformation and bank competition on banking sector stability by looking at country-level data from 48 Asian economies. We integrate the moderating role of bank competition into the picture. The findings suggest that digital transformation leads to banking sector stability while bank competition results in banking sector fragility. During high competition within the banking sector, digital transformation lessens the overall banking sector stability and as competition declines, the relationship moves towards insignificance after falling below a moderate level of competition. These findings carry important policy implications. Countries should have control over banking sector competition and should at the same time move towards digital transformation to achieve larger goals like financial inclusion. Lower competition helps to avoid any negative impacts from digital transformation in a country.
各国的数字化转型仍在继续,但对银行业的影响尚不得而知。如果银行之间开始竞争,抢占数字借贷和支付平台的先机,这种不确定性可能会变得更加严重。银行之间的竞争会导致贷款利率降低,存款利率上升。这些较小的利润空间可能会导致银行业的不稳定。我们通过研究 48 个亚洲经济体的国家级数据,探讨了数字化转型和银行竞争对银行业稳定性的影响。我们将银行竞争的调节作用纳入了研究范围。研究结果表明,数字化转型会带来银行业的稳定性,而银行竞争则会导致银行业的脆弱性。在银行业高度竞争期间,数字化转型会降低银行业的整体稳定性,而随着竞争的减少,这种关系会在低于中等竞争水平后趋于不显著。这些发现具有重要的政策含义。各国应控制银行业的竞争,同时向数字化转型,以实现金融包容性等更大的目标。较低的竞争水平有助于避免数字化转型对一个国家造成任何负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Central Banking Law and Institutions
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