building of Brazilian Party System

Décio Vieira da Rocha, Paula Cruz Pimentel
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Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to analyze the phenomenon of the formation and success of new parties in the period of redemocratization and the return of Brazilian multipartyism (1979-2018). Although the phenomenon is recurrent in Brazil, few studies have looked more directly at the subject in Brazil. What are the determinants of the ongoing formation of new parties? Our hypotheses are that the permissiveness of the electoral system loses effect when actors adapt to it and that factors endogenous to political competition increase the likelihood of new parties emerging. We use previous methodologies and conceptualize new parties as those that are organizationally new (obtain a new registration) and win at least one seat in the Chamber of Deputies. We divided the parties into contestation or coaptation parties to assess the impact of institutional and economic variables on them. Our results indicate that parties that are totally "outside the system" (those of contestation) have more difficulty in becoming competitive, demonstrating that the phenomenon of the appearance of new acronyms is more linked to a strategic reorganization of the elites than to a demand from voters.
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巴西政党制度的建设
本文的主要目的是分析巴西重新民主化和多党制回归时期(1979-2018 年)新政党的形成和成功现象。虽然这一现象在巴西反复出现,但很少有研究更直接地探讨巴西的这一问题。新政党不断形成的决定因素是什么?我们的假设是,当参与者适应选举制度时,选举制度的宽松性就会失去作用,而政治竞争的内生因素会增加新政党出现的可能性。我们采用以往的方法,将新政党概念化为组织上新成立(获得新注册)并在众议院赢得至少一个席位的政党。我们将政党分为竞争型政党和联合型政党,以评估制度和经济变量对它们的影响。我们的研究结果表明,完全 "游离于体制之外 "的政党(竞争型政党)更难成为有竞争力的政党,这表明新缩写政党的出现更多地与精英阶层的战略重组有关,而非选民的需求。
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发文量
10
审稿时长
16 weeks
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