Fractional stochastic volatility model

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Journal of Time Series Analysis Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI:10.1111/jtsa.12749
Shuping Shi, Xiaobin Liu, Jun Yu
{"title":"Fractional stochastic volatility model","authors":"Shuping Shi,&nbsp;Xiaobin Liu,&nbsp;Jun Yu","doi":"10.1111/jtsa.12749","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This article introduces a discrete-time fractional stochastic volatility model (FSV) based on fractional Gaussian noise. The new model includes the standard stochastic volatility model as a special case and has the same limit as the fractional integrated stochastic volatility (FISV) model, which is the continuous-time fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. A simulated maximum likelihood method, which maximizes the time-domain log-likelihood function calculated by the importance sampling technique, and a frequency-domain quasi maximum likelihood method (or quasi Whittle) are employed to estimate the model parameters. Simulation studies suggest that, while both estimation methods can accurately estimate the model, the simulated maximum likelihood method outperforms the quasi Whittle method. As an illustration, we fit the FSV and FISV models with the proposed estimation techniques to the S&amp;P 500 composite index over a sample period spanning 45 years.</p>","PeriodicalId":49973,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","volume":"46 2","pages":"378-397"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jtsa.12749","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12749","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

This article introduces a discrete-time fractional stochastic volatility model (FSV) based on fractional Gaussian noise. The new model includes the standard stochastic volatility model as a special case and has the same limit as the fractional integrated stochastic volatility (FISV) model, which is the continuous-time fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. A simulated maximum likelihood method, which maximizes the time-domain log-likelihood function calculated by the importance sampling technique, and a frequency-domain quasi maximum likelihood method (or quasi Whittle) are employed to estimate the model parameters. Simulation studies suggest that, while both estimation methods can accurately estimate the model, the simulated maximum likelihood method outperforms the quasi Whittle method. As an illustration, we fit the FSV and FISV models with the proposed estimation techniques to the S&P 500 composite index over a sample period spanning 45 years.

Abstract Image

查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
分数随机波动模型
本文介绍了一种基于分数高斯噪声的离散时间分数随机波动率模型(FSV)。新模型包括作为特例的标准随机波动率模型,与分数综合随机波动率(FISV)模型具有相同的极限,后者是连续时间分数奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克过程。该模型采用模拟极大似然法和频域准极大似然法(或准惠特尔法)来估计模型参数。模拟极大似然法使重要度抽样技术计算出的时域对数似然函数最大化,而频域准极大似然法使重要度抽样技术计算出的时域对数似然函数最小化。模拟研究表明,虽然两种估计方法都能准确估计模型,但模拟极大似然法的效果优于准惠特尔法。为了说明这一点,我们用所提出的估计技术对 S&P 500 综合指数在 45 年样本期内的 FSV 和 FISV 模型进行了拟合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 去求助
来源期刊
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Journal of Time Series Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering. The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.
期刊最新文献
Issue Information Editorial Announcement: Journal of Time Series Analysis Distinguished Authors 2024 Time Series for QFFE: Special Issue of the Journal of Time Series Analysis High-Frequency Instruments and Identification-Robust Inference for Stochastic Volatility Models Issue Information
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1