Fractional stochastic volatility model

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI:10.1111/jtsa.12749
Shuping Shi, Xiaobin Liu, Jun Yu
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Abstract

This article introduces a discrete‐time fractional stochastic volatility model (FSV) based on fractional Gaussian noise. The new model includes the standard stochastic volatility model as a special case and has the same limit as the fractional integrated stochastic volatility (FISV) model, which is the continuous‐time fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. A simulated maximum likelihood method, which maximizes the time‐domain log‐likelihood function calculated by the importance sampling technique, and a frequency‐domain quasi maximum likelihood method (or quasi Whittle) are employed to estimate the model parameters. Simulation studies suggest that, while both estimation methods can accurately estimate the model, the simulated maximum likelihood method outperforms the quasi Whittle method. As an illustration, we fit the FSV and FISV models with the proposed estimation techniques to the S&P 500 composite index over a sample period spanning 45 years.
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分数随机波动模型
本文介绍了一种基于分数高斯噪声的离散时间分数随机波动率模型(FSV)。新模型包括作为特例的标准随机波动率模型,与分数综合随机波动率(FISV)模型具有相同的极限,后者是连续时间分数奥恩斯坦-乌伦贝克过程。该模型采用模拟极大似然法和频域准极大似然法(或准惠特尔法)来估计模型参数。模拟极大似然法使重要度抽样技术计算出的时域对数似然函数最大化,而频域准极大似然法使重要度抽样技术计算出的时域对数似然函数最小化。模拟研究表明,虽然两种估计方法都能准确估计模型,但模拟极大似然法的效果优于准惠特尔法。为了说明这一点,我们用所提出的估计技术对 S&P 500 综合指数在 45 年样本期内的 FSV 和 FISV 模型进行了拟合。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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