An ARDL Method for Evaluating Bangladesh’s Economic Growth Concerning Female Secondary Education

Soma Dhar, Tapan Sarker
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to investigate the association between Bangladesh’s economic growth and female secondary education. For this reason, the effects of female secondary education, female labour force participation rate, and female fertility rate on Bangladesh’s Real GDP growth rate are investigated over the years 1995–2021, using a quantitative approach. A long-term relationship between the variables is demonstrated by the Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Cointegration Model, wherein the fertility rate is negatively significant and the female participation rate in the labour force and secondary education are positively significant on the real GDP growth rate. The study uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) to record the speed of adjustment. There is short-run adjustment throughout the entire system, as indicated by the statistically significant and theoretically correct sign of the error correction term coefficient. A more thorough examination is necessary as the Causality test reveals an unanticipated unidirectional association between female secondary education and economic growth.
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评估孟加拉国与女性中等教育有关的经济增长的 ARDL 方法
本研究旨在探讨孟加拉国经济增长与女性中等教育之间的关系。为此,本研究采用定量方法研究了 1995-2021 年间女性中等教育、女性劳动力参与率和女性生育率对孟加拉国实际国内生产总值增长率的影响。自回归分配滞后(ARDL)协整模型证明了变量之间的长期关系,其中生育率对实际 GDP 增长率的影响为负,女性劳动力参与率和中等教育对实际 GDP 增长率的影响为正。本研究使用误差修正模型(ECM)来记录调整速度。从误差修正项系数在统计上的显著性和理论上正确的符号来看,整个系统都存在短期调整。由于因果检验显示女性中等教育与经济增长之间存在意料之外的单向联系,因此有必要进行更深入的研究。
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