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Predicting Financial Manipulation Using an Ensemble-based Approach 使用基于集合的方法预测金融操纵行为
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241255833
Abdul Aziz Barbhuiya, Ashim Kumar Das, Sudip Dey
Financial manipulation becomes a critical issue in corporate transparency due to the increased dependency on stakeholders’ decision-making. The present study proposed a machine learning (ML) driven framework to predict financial manipulation with tertiary classification. The aim is to assess the effectiveness of the Ensemble Bagged Trees (EBT) model in predicting financial manipulation with a greater qualitative hierarchy of financial statements. The supervised ML classification technique is trained and tested using secondary data. The EBT model has provided valuable insight and effectively predicted financial manipulation. The study further enhanced the model using feature selection based on chi-square value and achieved dimensionality reduction using parallel coordination plot analysis. The use of the model may help stakeholders make proper decisions based on public financial information.
由于对利益相关者决策的依赖性增加,财务操纵成为企业透明度的一个关键问题。本研究提出了一个机器学习(ML)驱动的框架,通过三级分类来预测财务操纵。目的是评估组合袋装树(EBT)模型在预测财务报表质量层次更高的财务操纵方面的有效性。使用二级数据对有监督的 ML 分类技术进行了训练和测试。EBT 模型提供了有价值的见解,并有效地预测了财务操纵行为。该研究利用基于卡方值的特征选择进一步增强了该模型,并利用平行协调图分析实现了降维。该模型的使用可帮助利益相关者根据公共财务信息做出正确决策。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and Dependence Between Oil and Renewable Energy Stocks: C-Vine Copula Approach COVID-19 石油和可再生能源股票之间的依赖关系:C-Vine Copula 方法
Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1177/09722629231163998
Saif Siddiqui, Rajbeer Kaur
This article analyses the dependence structure between traditional energy prices traditional oil indices and renewable energy stock indices employing Canonical Vine (C-Vine) copula based GARCH approach. The analysis is conducted before and during-COVID-pandemic period. Renewable energy stock is represented by SPGCE and CLEANTECH index, whereas traditional energy is represented by WTI crude oil and OVX. The empirical analysis indicated increasing asymmetric dependence between WTI crude and renewable energy indices during COVID-19. However, WTI crude oil is not found to be the primary determinant for influencing renewable energy stocks. In fact, we find a strong association between SPGCE and CLEANTECH and degree of dependence escalated during COVID-19 period. Besides this, the dependence structure between WTI crude and CLEANTECH changes from the upper tail dependence to lower tail dependence signifying the consequences of low economic activities on the technology sector. Furthermore, the dependence between OVX and SPGCE conditional on WTI reveal the scope of diversification as dependence parameters are insignificant. These findings are robust considering alternative GARCH specifications and alternative oil future benchmark and renewable energy stock index. The results provide useful implications for the energy policymakers and investors.
本文采用基于 GARCH 方法的 Canonical Vine (C-Vine) copula,分析了传统能源价格、传统石油指数和可再生能源股票指数之间的依赖结构。分析在 COVID 流行期之前和期间进行。可再生能源股票以 SPGCE 和 CLEANTECH 指数为代表,而传统能源以 WTI 原油和 OVX 为代表。实证分析表明,在 COVID-19 期间,WTI 原油指数和可再生能源指数之间的不对称依赖性不断增强。然而,WTI 原油并不是影响可再生能源股票的主要决定因素。事实上,我们发现 SPGCE 和 CLEANTECH 之间有很强的关联性,且依赖程度在 COVID-19 期间有所上升。此外,WTI 原油与 CLEANTECH 之间的依存结构从上尾依存变为下尾依存,表明经济活动低迷对技术行业的影响。此外,以 WTI 原油为条件的 OVX 和 SPGCE 之间的依赖关系揭示了多样化的范围,因为依赖关系参数并不显著。考虑到替代的 GARCH 规格、替代的石油未来基准和可再生能源股票指数,这些研究结果是稳健的。这些结果为能源政策制定者和投资者提供了有益的启示。
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引用次数: 0
An ARDL Method for Evaluating Bangladesh’s Economic Growth Concerning Female Secondary Education 评估孟加拉国与女性中等教育有关的经济增长的 ARDL 方法
Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241253750
Soma Dhar, Tapan Sarker
The purpose of this study is to investigate the association between Bangladesh’s economic growth and female secondary education. For this reason, the effects of female secondary education, female labour force participation rate, and female fertility rate on Bangladesh’s Real GDP growth rate are investigated over the years 1995–2021, using a quantitative approach. A long-term relationship between the variables is demonstrated by the Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Cointegration Model, wherein the fertility rate is negatively significant and the female participation rate in the labour force and secondary education are positively significant on the real GDP growth rate. The study uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) to record the speed of adjustment. There is short-run adjustment throughout the entire system, as indicated by the statistically significant and theoretically correct sign of the error correction term coefficient. A more thorough examination is necessary as the Causality test reveals an unanticipated unidirectional association between female secondary education and economic growth.
本研究旨在探讨孟加拉国经济增长与女性中等教育之间的关系。为此,本研究采用定量方法研究了 1995-2021 年间女性中等教育、女性劳动力参与率和女性生育率对孟加拉国实际国内生产总值增长率的影响。自回归分配滞后(ARDL)协整模型证明了变量之间的长期关系,其中生育率对实际 GDP 增长率的影响为负,女性劳动力参与率和中等教育对实际 GDP 增长率的影响为正。本研究使用误差修正模型(ECM)来记录调整速度。从误差修正项系数在统计上的显著性和理论上正确的符号来看,整个系统都存在短期调整。由于因果检验显示女性中等教育与经济增长之间存在意料之外的单向联系,因此有必要进行更深入的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Potential Impact of Withdrawal of Generalized System of Preferences for India by European Union 欧盟撤销对印度普遍优惠制的潜在影响
Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241246922
Kannan Kumar, Amal Krishnan, Badri Narayanan Gopalakrishnan
Trade between India and Europe has been growing at strong pace for the last two decades. India’s goods exports to Europe have increased from USD 12.3 Bn in 2002 to USD 68.9 Bn in 2002. During the same time period India’s export products eligible for Europe Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) has also risen in absolute terms from USD 5.8 Bn in 2002 to USD 19.7 Bn in 2022. While the absolute value of GSP covered products has increased, the percentage coverage of India’s export products eligible for Europe GSP has fallen from 47% in 2002 to just 29% in 2022. Since, the end of 2022, India is graduating out of many sectors covered under the GSP regime. While, this is a major concern for policymakers, and exporters in general, the potential impact has not been quantified. This article quantifies this impact applying CGE modelling through GTAP. The results show that, while India’s overall exports are affected only to a minimum extent by the removal of GSP, it is mainly due to the growth in non-GSP sectors and services exports. However, the negative shock on some labour-intensive sectors will have an impact on the country’s overall GDP.
过去二十年来,印度与欧洲之间的贸易一直保持着强劲的增长势头。印度对欧洲的货物出口从 2002 年的 123 亿美元增加到 2002 年的 689 亿美元。同期,印度符合欧洲普遍优惠制(普惠制)条件的出口产品绝对值也从 2002 年的 58 亿美元增至 2022 年的 197 亿美元。虽然普惠制覆盖产品的绝对值有所增加,但印度符合欧洲普惠制条件的出口产品的覆盖百分比却从 2002 年的 47% 下降到 2022 年的 29%。到 2022 年底,印度将退出普惠制涵盖的许多行业。虽然这是政策制定者和出口商普遍关注的一个主要问题,但其潜在影响尚未得到量化。本文通过 GTAP 运用 CGE 模型对这种影响进行了量化。结果表明,虽然印度的总体出口受普惠制取消的影响很小,但这主要是由于非普惠制部门和服务出口的增长。然而,对某些劳动密集型部门的负面冲击将对该国的总体国内生产总值产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Facebook and Reliance Jio Deal Facebook 与 Reliance Jio 的交易
Pub Date : 2024-05-12 DOI: 10.1177/09722629221074640
Anurag Chaturvedi
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the Moderating Effect of Generational Status on the Link Between External Environment and Entrepreneurial Motivation of Indian Women Entrepreneurs 探索代际地位对印度女企业家外部环境与创业动机之间联系的调节作用
Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241244592
Elamurugan Balasundaram, A. S. Kannan, A. K. Sudheer
This study examines how external environmental factors affect the motivation of first- and second-generation women entrepreneurs in India, and how their generational status moderates this relationship. We used a survey design method to collect data from 459 women business owners in India, who were classified as first- or second-generation based on whether they were the first or second generation in their family to start a business. We employed the partial least-squares structural equation modelling method to test our hypotheses and evaluate our model. We found that external environmental factors, such as education and training, financial support, government policies and non-financial support, had positive effects on entrepreneurial motivation for both groups of women entrepreneurs. However, we also found that generational status had a significant moderating effect on the link between education and training and entrepreneurial motivation, but not on the other three external environmental factors. Specifically, we found that education and training influenced second-generation women entrepreneurs more strongly than first-generation women entrepreneurs. Our findings have important implications for management practice and policymaking, as well as for the literature on women entrepreneurship. We suggest that concerned authorities should develop differential strategies for first- and second-generation women entrepreneurs, taking into account their different responses to external environmental factors. We also suggest that future research should explore other internal and external environmental factors that might interact with generational status or other variables to shape women entrepreneurs’ motivation.
本研究探讨了外部环境因素如何影响印度第一代和第二代女企业家的创业动机,以及她们的代际地位如何调节这种关系。我们采用调查设计方法,收集了 459 名印度女企业主的数据,根据她们是家族中创业的第一代还是第二代,将她们划分为第一代或第二代。我们采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型法来检验我们的假设并评估我们的模型。我们发现,外部环境因素,如教育和培训、资金支持、政府政策和非资金支持,对两组女性创业者的创业动机都有积极影响。然而,我们还发现,代际状况对教育和培训与创业动机之间的联系有显著的调节作用,但对其他三个外部环境因素没有影响。具体而言,我们发现教育和培训对第二代女企业家的影响比第一代女企业家更大。我们的研究结果对管理实践和政策制定以及有关女性创业的文献都有重要意义。我们建议,有关当局应考虑到第一代和第二代女企业家对外部环境因素的不同反应,为她们制定不同的策略。我们还建议,未来的研究应探讨其他内部和外部环境因素,这些因素可能会与代际地位或其他变量相互作用,从而影响女企业家的创业动机。
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引用次数: 0
Unmasking the Connection Between Managerial Narcissism, Machiavellianism and Leader–Member Exchange in the Singaporean Construction Industry: Managerial Corporate Psychopathic Behaviour as a Mediator 揭开新加坡建筑业经理人自恋、马基雅维利主义与领导者-成员交流之间的联系:作为中介的经理人企业变态心理行为
Pub Date : 2024-05-05 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241246925
Savitha Ravindran, Anusuiya Subramaniam, Murali Sambasivan
The current study aims to investigate the effect of managerial narcissism and Machiavellianism on leader–member exchange (LMX) quality and the mediating role of managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour in the aforementioned relationships. A questionnaire was designed and distributed to management professionals working in the Singaporean construction sector. A total of 300 responses were collected and analysed through SPSS version 26 and SmartPLS 4 software. The results demonstrated that managerial narcissism and Machiavellianism were negatively associated with LMX quality. The findings of this study showed that managerial narcissism and Machiavellianism facilitate managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour. The study also found that a negative relationship exists between managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour and LMX quality. Most importantly, the study provided valuable empirical evidence on the mediating effect of managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour in the relationships between narcissism and LMX quality and between Machiavellianism and LMX quality, thereby highlighting the underlying mechanism interconnecting the variables. Practically, this study draws attention to the need for construction corporations to create an organizational culture emphasizing collaboration instead of hierarchy and autocracy to minimize the indifference between managers and subordinates.
本研究旨在探讨管理者自恋和马基雅维利主义对领导者-成员交流(LMX)质量的影响,以及管理者的企业心理变态行为在上述关系中的中介作用。我们设计了一份调查问卷,并分发给在新加坡建筑行业工作的专业管理人员。共收集了 300 份答复,并通过 SPSS 26 版和 SmartPLS 4 软件进行了分析。结果表明,管理者的自恋和马基雅维利主义与 LMX 质量呈负相关。研究结果表明,管理者自恋和马基雅维利主义会助长管理者的企业心理变态行为。研究还发现,管理者的企业心理变态行为与 LMX 质量之间存在负相关关系。最重要的是,本研究提供了有价值的实证证据,证明管理者企业心理变态行为在自恋与 LMX 质量、马基雅维利主义与 LMX 质量之间存在中介效应,从而凸显了变量之间的内在联系机制。实际上,本研究提醒人们注意,建筑企业需要创建一种强调协作而非等级和专制的组织文化,以尽量减少管理者与下属之间的冷漠。
{"title":"Unmasking the Connection Between Managerial Narcissism, Machiavellianism and Leader–Member Exchange in the Singaporean Construction Industry: Managerial Corporate Psychopathic Behaviour as a Mediator","authors":"Savitha Ravindran, Anusuiya Subramaniam, Murali Sambasivan","doi":"10.1177/09722629241246925","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/09722629241246925","url":null,"abstract":"The current study aims to investigate the effect of managerial narcissism and Machiavellianism on leader–member exchange (LMX) quality and the mediating role of managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour in the aforementioned relationships. A questionnaire was designed and distributed to management professionals working in the Singaporean construction sector. A total of 300 responses were collected and analysed through SPSS version 26 and SmartPLS 4 software. The results demonstrated that managerial narcissism and Machiavellianism were negatively associated with LMX quality. The findings of this study showed that managerial narcissism and Machiavellianism facilitate managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour. The study also found that a negative relationship exists between managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour and LMX quality. Most importantly, the study provided valuable empirical evidence on the mediating effect of managerial corporate psychopathic behaviour in the relationships between narcissism and LMX quality and between Machiavellianism and LMX quality, thereby highlighting the underlying mechanism interconnecting the variables. Practically, this study draws attention to the need for construction corporations to create an organizational culture emphasizing collaboration instead of hierarchy and autocracy to minimize the indifference between managers and subordinates.","PeriodicalId":503812,"journal":{"name":"Vision: The Journal of Business Perspective","volume":"275 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141012931","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does CSR Perception Matter to Brand Loyalty? The Mediating Roles of Brand Trust and Brand Image 企业社会责任认知对品牌忠诚度重要吗?品牌信任和品牌形象的中介作用
Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241237399
Kong Hui Min, Lin Woon Leong
It is no secret that the grocery retail industry has played a critical role in food security, nutrition and sustainability, but what happens if these practices result in food waste? Recent reports suggest that supermarkets may contribute to this global issue by using unethical promotion strategies that lead to consumers buying more food than they need. This not only affects the environment but also has the potential to damage brand loyalty. To address these issues, this study aims to determine whether the three dimensions of consumer Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) perceptions create more positive outcomes, such as brand trust, image and loyalty, in the Malaysian grocery retail sector. Grounded in stakeholder and resource-based view theories, scholars support the notion that brands need to embrace purpose and sustainability to fulfil their responsibility to stakeholders and enhance their competitive advantage. A multistage sampling technique was used with 536 Malaysian grocery retail consumers. Partial least squares structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM) results revealed that consumer CSR perception matters to brand loyalty, with the mediating effects of brand trust and image. These findings have theoretical and practical implications for supermarkets and policymakers seeking to improve the effectiveness of CSR activities and brand loyalty.
食品杂货零售业在食品安全、营养和可持续发展方面发挥着至关重要的作用,这已不是什么秘密,但如果这些做法造成了食品浪费,会发生什么情况呢?最近的报告显示,超市可能会通过使用不道德的促销策略,导致消费者购买超过其需要的食物,从而助长这一全球性问题。这不仅会影响环境,还有可能损害品牌忠诚度。为了解决这些问题,本研究旨在确定消费者的企业社会责任(CSR)认知的三个维度是否会在马来西亚食品杂货零售业中产生更积极的结果,如品牌信任度、形象和忠诚度。以利益相关者和资源观理论为基础,学者们支持这样一种观点,即品牌需要拥护目标和可持续性,以履行其对利益相关者的责任并增强其竞争优势。本研究采用多阶段抽样技术,对 536 名马来西亚杂货零售消费者进行了调查。偏最小二乘法结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)结果显示,消费者的企业社会责任认知与品牌忠诚度有关,品牌信任和品牌形象具有中介效应。这些发现对超市和政策制定者提高企业社会责任活动的有效性和品牌忠诚度具有理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Research Landscape of Sustainable Marketing: Thematic Analysis and Future Trends 可持续营销的研究格局:专题分析与未来趋势
Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241231431
Surabhi Koul, Aditya S. Kasar
Sustainability has been recognized as an integral business strategy leading to competitive advantage. The aim of the study is to generate a bibliometric blueprint for the sustainable marketing research domain and further identify emerging trends in this area. The data is collected from one of the most prominent bibliographic databases, Scopus. After narrowing our search keywords, a result of 4,889 articles is produced. Following the use of Boolean operators, 1,004 bibliographic resources were found, which were analysed in this study. The data is then visualized using a comparison visualization programme (VOSviewer) to demonstrate the possible outcomes graphically. The research findings are presented in the form of article categorizations into 11 thematic categories. The thematic categories outlined previous studies’ trends and contribution characteristics under the individual category, illustrating their implications. The article sums up the emerging and future themes in the area of sustainability. From the perspective of sustainability, the study demonstrates the importance of a sustainable business environment, green marketing, ecological marketing, sustainable tourism, and sustainability and development. The study brings out the role of multiple stakeholders to prevent the depletion of natural resources, secure waste management, prevent pollution, and cooperate with the nation’s compliance. This will promote economic development, which can be improved if we consider taking wiser steps to prevent the economy from degrading.
可持续发展已被公认为是一项能带来竞争优势的不可或缺的商业战略。本研究旨在为可持续营销研究领域绘制文献计量蓝图,并进一步确定该领域的新兴趋势。数据收集自最著名的文献数据库之一 Scopus。在缩小搜索关键词的范围后,得出了 4,889 篇文章的结果。在使用布尔运算符后,我们找到了 1,004 个书目资源,并在本研究中对其进行了分析。然后使用比较可视化程序(VOSviewer)将数据可视化,以图形方式展示可能的结果。研究结果以文章分类的形式呈现,分为 11 个主题类别。这些专题类别概述了以往研究的趋势和单个类别下的贡献特点,并说明了其影响。文章总结了可持续性领域新出现的和未来的主题。从可持续发展的角度来看,研究表明了可持续商业环境、绿色营销、生态营销、可持续旅游以及可持续发展的重要性。研究提出了多方利益相关者在防止自然资源枯竭、确保废物管理、防止污染以及与国家合规合作方面的作用。这将促进经济发展,如果我们考虑采取更明智的措施来防止经济退化,就能改善经济发展。
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引用次数: 0
The Implementation of Tax Indirect Auditing Methods in Greek Economy Against Tax Evasion 在希腊经济中实施税务间接审计方法打击逃税行为
Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1177/09722629241237395
Dionysios Stasinopoulos, C. Kastanioti
This article aims to review and analyse the indirect auditing methods that were applied in Greece for the first time at the beginning of 2012 as a tax auditing tool, for the more comprehensive identification of taxable items. By employing the use of indirect auditing methods (mark-up method, net worth method, source and application of funds method, unit & volume method and bank deposits and cash expenditure method) an attempt is made to determine withheld taxable items, other than those measured by the tax forms and the official accounting books and taxpayers’ tax data, by utilizing the information from various sources and bodies. At the same time, a survey was carried out, on a randomly selected sample of 517 respondents, for analysing the awareness of Greek taxpayers regarding the use of indirect auditing methods as well as the general population’s awareness of their basic tax obligations. A total of 96.13% of the population were not aware of indirect audit methods while 79.88% expressed the belief that being aware of them can potentially increase citizens’ tax compliance. The survey highlighted that regarding indirect tax audit methods the level of knowledge of the general population is very low, necessitating the organized and systematic promotion of these new methods by the Tax Authority, which can lead to the disclosure of withheld (shadow) taxable items and thus achieve greater tax compliance in the long term.
本文旨在回顾和分析希腊于 2012 年初首次采用的间接审计方法,将其作为一种税务审计工具,用于更全面地确定应税项目。通过使用间接审计方法(加价法、净值法、资金来源和应用法、单位和数量法以及银行存款和现金支出法),尝试利用来自不同来源和机构的信息,确定税表和正式会计账簿以及纳税人纳税数据所衡量的应税项目之外的其他扣缴项目。与此同时,还对随机抽取的 517 名受访者进行了调查,以分析希腊纳税人对使用间接审计方法的认识以及普通民众对其基本纳税义务的认识。共有 96.13% 的人不了解间接审计方法,而 79.88% 的人认为了解间接审计方法有可能提高公民的纳税遵从度。调查突出表明,普通民众对间接税务审计方法的了解程度很低,因此税务局有必要有组织、有系统地推广这些新方法,从而披露扣留的(影子)应税项目,从而长期提高纳税遵从度。
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引用次数: 0
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Vision: The Journal of Business Perspective
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