Estimation of discrete choice models with error in variables: An application to revealed preference data with aggregate service level variables

IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Transportation Research Part B-Methodological Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.trb.2024.102985
Marco Batarce
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Abstract

This article proposes a method to estimate disaggregated discrete choice models with errors in the variables. The objective is to estimate the discrete choice models' coefficients to compute the value of time and use it for cost-benefit analysis in transportation planning. The method is general, as it only requires a validation sample to estimate the conditional density of the error-free variables given the mismeasured variables. More specifically, we assume that the attributes of the chosen alternative are reported without error in revealed preference surveys, and we use this information as the validation sample. The mismeasured variables may be spatially aggregate service levels from mobility surveys or transportation network models. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed method substantially reduces bias in parameters. We validate the technique with two real data sets from Santiago, Chile.

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带有变量误差的离散选择模型的估计:带有总体服务水平变量的显性偏好数据的应用
本文提出了一种估算变量误差的离散选择模型的方法。其目的是估计离散选择模型的系数,以计算时间价值,并将其用于交通规划中的成本效益分析。该方法是通用的,因为它只需要一个验证样本,就能在测量误差变量的情况下估算出无误变量的条件密度。更具体地说,我们假设所选替代方案的属性在揭示偏好调查中无误报告,并将此信息作为验证样本。误测变量可以是流动性调查或交通网络模型中的空间综合服务水平。蒙特卡罗模拟显示,所提出的方法大大减少了参数偏差。我们利用智利圣地亚哥的两个真实数据集对该技术进行了验证。
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来源期刊
Transportation Research Part B-Methodological
Transportation Research Part B-Methodological 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
12.40
自引率
8.80%
发文量
143
审稿时长
14.1 weeks
期刊介绍: Transportation Research: Part B publishes papers on all methodological aspects of the subject, particularly those that require mathematical analysis. The general theme of the journal is the development and solution of problems that are adequately motivated to deal with important aspects of the design and/or analysis of transportation systems. Areas covered include: traffic flow; design and analysis of transportation networks; control and scheduling; optimization; queuing theory; logistics; supply chains; development and application of statistical, econometric and mathematical models to address transportation problems; cost models; pricing and/or investment; traveler or shipper behavior; cost-benefit methodologies.
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