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Making the most of your private parking slot: Strategy-proof double auctions-enabled staggered sharing schemes 充分利用私人停车位:不失策略的双重拍卖交错共享计划
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103102
Hao Yu , Min Huang , Yang Song , Xingwei Wang , Xiaohang Yue
Platform-intermediated Private Parking Slot Sharing (PPSS) is broadly deemed a viable avenue to alleviate parking problems in metropolises. Despite a captivating future where PPSS will be as convenient as public parking today, tension is mounting in practice concerning how to efficiently match and price self-interested suppliers and demanders with incomplete information. To reconcile this tension, this paper delves into the nuances of PPSS operations and proposes double auction-based solutions that embed staggered sharing to integrate fragmented non-commute-driven demand. Confronting the intertwined difficulties of temporally heterogeneous and incompatible demands imposed by staggered sharing on auction mechanism design, we first propose a Demand Classification-based Trade Reduction (DCTR) auction mechanism that teases apart the conflated demands through the idea of “divide and conquer”. We prove theoretically that the DCTR auction mechanism satisfies Strategy-Proofness (SP), Budget Balance (BB), and Individual Rationality (IR) in general, and Asymptotic Efficiency (AsE) when demand categories are finite. To cut down the welfare loss due to distributed trade reduction in the DCTR auction mechanism when demands are diversified, we propose a family of Group Buying-based Trade Reduction (GBTR) auction mechanisms that unify demands through a preceding grouping process and conduct one unified trade reduction only. We contrive alternative group bid determination and trade reduction rules to accommodate distinct market conditions. To strengthen privacy preservation and relieve the strategy identification burden of cognitively limited bidders, we further design the Double-Clock implementations of the GBTR auction mechanisms (DC-GBTR) that additionally satisfy Unconditional Winner Privacy (UWP) and Obvious Strategy-Proofness (OSP). A hybrid mechanism is further designed to enable the integration of mechanisms that could induce budget deficits and orchestrate different auctions by automatically selecting the proper one depending on market conditions while ensuring BB in expectation. Extensive experimental results highlight the merits of incorporating staggered sharing in auction design, shed light on how to choose among alternative auctions to cater to distinct market conditions, showcase the superiority and potential of hybridization, and deduce managerial insights from the perspectives of different stakeholders to facilitate the navigation of PPSS marketplaces.
以平台为中介的私人停车位共享(PPSS)被广泛认为是缓解大都市停车问题的可行途径。尽管私人停车位共享的未来令人向往,它将像今天的公共停车场一样方便,但在实践中,如何有效地匹配和定价信息不完整的自利供应商和需求者的矛盾日益加剧。为了调和这一矛盾,本文深入探讨了 PPSS 运营的细微差别,并提出了基于双重拍卖的解决方案,该方案嵌入了交错共享功能,以整合碎片化的非通勤驱动需求。面对交错共享给拍卖机制设计带来的时间异构和不兼容需求的交织难题,我们首先提出了一种基于需求分类的贸易削减(DCTR)拍卖机制,通过 "分而治之 "的思想将混杂的需求分开。我们从理论上证明了 DCTR 拍卖机制在一般情况下满足策略证明(SP)、预算平衡(BB)和个体理性(IR),并在需求类别有限时满足渐进效率(AsE)。为了减少当需求多样化时,DCTR 拍卖机制中的分布式贸易削减所造成的福利损失,我们提出了一系列基于团购的贸易削减(GBTR)拍卖机制,通过事先的分组过程统一需求,并只进行一次统一的贸易削减。为了适应不同的市场条件,我们制定了不同的分组出价确定和交易缩减规则。为了加强隐私保护并减轻认知能力有限的竞标者的策略识别负担,我们进一步设计了 GBTR 拍卖机制的双锁实现(DC-GBTR),它还满足无条件赢家隐私(UWP)和明显策略证明(OSP)。我们还进一步设计了一种混合机制,以便能够整合可能导致预算赤字的机制,并通过根据市场条件自动选择适当的拍卖来协调不同的拍卖,同时确保预期中的 BB。广泛的实验结果凸显了将交错共享纳入拍卖设计的优点,阐明了如何在备选拍卖中进行选择以满足不同的市场条件,展示了混合机制的优越性和潜力,并从不同利益相关者的角度推导出管理见解,以促进 PPSS 市场的导航。
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引用次数: 0
Safety, liability, and insurance markets in the age of automated driving 自动驾驶时代的安全、责任和保险市场
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103115
Daniel Vignon , Sina Bahrami
This paper investigates two fundamental questions related to safety and insurance in the age of automation. First, we touch upon the question of safety and liability under infrastructure-assisted automated driving. In such an environment, automakers provide vehicle automation technology while infrastructure support service providers (ISSPs) provide smart infrastructure services. Additionally, customers can receive coverage for accidents from either of these actors but also from legacy auto insurers. We investigate the effect of market structure on safety and accident coverage and show that an integrated monopoly provides full coverage and fully accounts for accident costs when choosing safety levels. However, in the Nash setting, even though full coverage obtains, lack of coordination leads to partial internalization of accident costs by the automaker. Moreover, multiple equilibria might exist, some of them undesirable. We show that, both in the presence and absence of legacy insurance, an appropriate liability rule can induce optimal safety levels under the Nash setting. Our second question concerns itself with the role and welfare effects of the availability of legacy auto insurance in the age of infrastructure-assisted automated driving. Our analysis shows that the industry is not necessary for optimal coverage when the cost of accidents is known in advance and all possible accident scenarios are contractible. In fact, their presence can even harm safety, even though it ensures full coverage for accidents. When only insurance contracts with capped liability for automakers and ISSPs are available and in a monopolistic environment, legacy insurance potentially harms welfare. This highlights the important role of market structure in assessing the future of insurance in the age of automated driving and lays the groundwork for future investigations in this direction.
本文探讨了与自动驾驶时代的安全和保险有关的两个基本问题。首先,我们探讨了基础设施辅助自动驾驶下的安全和责任问题。在这种环境下,汽车制造商提供汽车自动驾驶技术,而基础设施支持服务提供商(ISSP)提供智能基础设施服务。此外,客户可以从上述任何一方获得事故保险,也可以从传统汽车保险公司获得事故保险。我们研究了市场结构对安全和事故保险的影响,结果表明,在选择安全等级时,综合垄断会提供全额保险,并充分考虑事故成本。然而,在纳什环境下,即使获得了全面覆盖,缺乏协调也会导致汽车制造商将事故成本部分内部化。此外,还可能存在多种均衡,其中一些是不可取的。我们的研究表明,无论是在有传统保险还是没有传统保险的情况下,适当的责任规则都能在纳什设置下产生最佳安全水平。我们的第二个问题涉及在基础设施辅助自动驾驶时代,传统汽车保险的作用和福利效应。我们的分析表明,当事故成本是已知的,且所有可能的事故情况都是可签约的,那么该行业对于最优保险并不是必需的。事实上,它们的存在甚至会损害安全性,尽管它能确保对事故的全面保障。当只有为汽车制造商和 ISSP 设定责任上限的保险合同时,在垄断环境下,遗留保险可能会损害福利。这凸显了市场结构在评估自动驾驶时代保险业未来发展中的重要作用,并为未来这方面的研究奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Station-based, free-float, or hybrid: An operating mode analysis of a bike-sharing system 站点式、自由浮动式或混合式:共享单车系统的运营模式分析
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103105
Chenyi Fu , Ning Zhu , Michael Pinedo , Shoufeng Ma
The profit-oriented bike-sharing industry, such as Mobike in China and Limebike in the USA, has widely adopted the free-float mode, which allows users to rent and return bikes without any restrictions with regard to stations. Compared to the traditional station-based mode, this new mode improves convenience and satisfies a variety of travel demands, but it also results in higher operating costs and lower number of available bikes (the number of bikes can be found). So far, no theoretical study has been done comparing the performance levels of the two different operating modes. Some bike-sharing firms are now attempting to design a hybrid operating mode that combines the advantages of the two modes. We design a mixed-integer program to model these three operating modes under different operating conditions. The model captures some of the new features of free-float bike-sharing systems. These new features include discounts for returning bikes to designated stations, different numbers of available bikes at stations and free-float areas, differences in station-based return levels as well as in convenience levels in the three operating modes. This study also considers the interactions between the free-float and station-based modes in meeting the demand and in managing relocation processes. Extensive numerical experiments are conducted and the results reveal that in more than half of the total cases under different parameter settings, the profits of the hybrid mode outperform the profits of the other two modes. The station-based mode is suitable for settings with high convenience levels, low number of available free-float bikes, and limited budgets for bike acquisitions, whereas the free-float mode can ensure high profits with low convenience levels and a large number of bikes being available. Our models can serve as a decision-making tool for bike-sharing firms in their selection of an optimal operating mode.
以盈利为目的的共享单车行业,如中国的摩拜单车和美国的 Limebike,广泛采用自由浮动模式,用户可以不受站点限制地租还单车。与传统的站点模式相比,这种新模式提高了便利性,满足了人们的多种出行需求,但同时也导致运营成本上升,可用自行车数量减少(自行车数量可查)。迄今为止,还没有人对两种不同运营模式的性能水平进行过理论研究比较。目前,一些共享单车公司正试图设计一种混合运营模式,将两种模式的优势结合起来。我们设计了一个混合整数程序来模拟不同运营条件下的这三种运营模式。该模型捕捉到了自由浮动共享单车系统的一些新特点。这些新特点包括:在指定站点还车可享受折扣、站点和自由浮动区域的可用自行车数量不同、基于站点的还车水平不同以及三种运营模式的便利程度不同。本研究还考虑了自由浮动模式和站点模式在满足需求和管理搬迁过程中的相互作用。研究进行了广泛的数值实验,结果表明,在不同的参数设置下,在一半以上的情况下,混合模式的利润优于其他两种模式。基于站点的模式适用于便利程度高、可用自由浮动自行车数量少、自行车购置预算有限的情况,而自由浮动模式则能在便利程度低、可用自行车数量多的情况下确保高利润。我们的模型可作为共享单车公司选择最佳运营模式的决策工具。
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引用次数: 0
Formulations and branch-and-cut algorithms for the heterogeneous fleet vehicle routing problem with soft time deadlines 具有软时间期限的异构车队车辆路由问题的公式和分支切割算法
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103104
Yulin Han, Hande Yaman
This paper investigates a variant of the heterogeneous fleet vehicle routing problem (HVRP) that incorporates soft time deadlines for customers and allows for tardiness at penalty costs. Distinct vehicle types feature varying fixed usage costs and utilize different road networks, resulting in differences in both travel times and travel costs. The objective is to optimize fleet assignment and vehicle service routes to minimize the total fixed vehicle usage costs, routing variable costs, and tardiness costs, while ensuring each customer is visited exactly once and respecting route duration limits. To address this problem, we introduce three compact formulations: the Miller-Tucker-Zemlin formulation (MTZF), single-commodity flow formulation (SCFF), and two-commodity flow formulation (TCFF), comparing their linear programming (LP) relaxations. Additionally, we propose two new families of valid inequalities, in conjunction with generalized subtour elimination constraints, to strengthen these LP relaxations, integrating them into branch-and-cut solution schemes. The theoretical results on the comparison of formulations and the validity of the proposed inequalities hold also for other HVRPs with limited route duration. Computational experiments demonstrate the superior performance of SCFF and TCFF over MTZF, the effectiveness of the proposed valid inequalities in tightening formulations, and the enhanced computational efficiency achieved by incorporating them. Finally, we explore the impact of depot relocation, varying degrees of urgency in customer requests, and varying fixed vehicle usage costs on optimal solutions.
本文研究了异构车队车辆路由选择问题(HVRP)的一种变体,它包含了客户的软时间期限,并允许迟到者支付罚金。不同类型的车辆具有不同的固定使用成本,并使用不同的道路网络,从而导致旅行时间和旅行成本的差异。我们的目标是优化车队分配和车辆服务路线,使车辆固定使用成本、路线可变成本和迟到成本的总和最小化,同时确保每个客户只访问一次,并遵守路线持续时间限制。为解决这一问题,我们引入了三种紧凑型公式:米勒-塔克-泽姆林公式(MTZF)、单商品流公式(SCFF)和双商品流公式(TCFF),并比较了它们的线性规划(LP)松弛。此外,我们还提出了两个新的有效不等式系列,结合广义子路消除约束来加强这些 LP 放松,并将它们集成到分支切割求解方案中。关于公式比较和所提不等式有效性的理论结果同样适用于其他具有有限路径持续时间的 HVRP。计算实验证明了 SCFF 和 TCFF 比 MTZF 更优越的性能、所提出的有效不等式在收紧公式方面的有效性,以及通过将它们纳入公式所实现的更高计算效率。最后,我们探讨了车厂搬迁、客户请求的不同紧急程度以及不同的固定车辆使用成本对最优解的影响。
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引用次数: 0
On dynamic fundamental diagrams: Implications for automated vehicles 关于动态基本图:对自动驾驶汽车的影响
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102979
Jiwan Jiang , Yang Zhou , Xin Wang , Soyoung Ahn
The traffic fundamental diagram (FD) describes the relationships among fundamental traffic variables of flow, density, and speed. FD represents fundamental properties of traffic streams, giving insights into traffic performance. This paper presents a theoretical investigation of dynamic FD properties, derived directly from vehicle car-following (control) models to model traffic hysteresis. Analytical derivation of dynamic FD is enabled by (i) frequency-domain representation of vehicle kinematics (acceleration, speed, and position) to derive vehicle trajectories based on transfer function and (ii) continuum approximation of density and flow, measured along the derived trajectories using Edie's generalized definitions. The formulation is generic: the derivation of dynamic FD is possible with any analytical car-following (control) laws for human-driven vehicles or automated vehicles (AVs). Numerical experiments shed light on the effects of the density-flow measurement region and car-following parameters on the dynamic FD properties for an AV platoon.
交通基本图(FD)描述了流量、密度和速度等基本交通变量之间的关系。FD 表示交通流的基本属性,有助于深入了解交通性能。本文对动态 FD 特性进行了理论研究,并直接从车辆跟车(控制)模型中推导出交通滞后模型。动态 FD 的分析推导可通过以下方法实现:(i) 车辆运动学(加速度、速度和位置)的频域表示法,从而根据传递函数推导出车辆轨迹;(ii) 密度和流量的连续近似,使用 Edie 的广义定义沿推导出的轨迹进行测量。该方法具有通用性:无论是人类驾驶车辆还是自动驾驶车辆(AV),都可以通过任何分析性汽车跟随(控制)法则推导出动态 FD。数值实验揭示了密度流测量区域和汽车跟随参数对 AV 排的动态 FD 特性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A topological network connectivity design problem based on spectral analysis 基于频谱分析的拓扑网络连接设计问题
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103012
Shoichiro Nakayama , Shun-ichi Kobayashi , Hiromichi Yamaguchi
How to improve network connectivity and which parts of the network are vulnerable are critical issues. We begin by defining an equal distribution problem, in which supplies are distributed equally to all nodes in the network. We then derive a topological network connectivity measure from the convergence speed, which is the second minimum eigenvalue of a Laplacian network matrix. Based on the equal distribution problem, we propose a method for identifying critical links for network connectivity using the derivative of the second minimum eigenvalue. Furthermore, we develop a network design problem that maximizes topological connectivity within a budget creating strengthening network links. The problem is convex programming, and the solution is global. Furthermore, it can be converted into an identical semidefinite programming problem, which requires less computational effort. Finally, we test the developed problems on road networks in the Japanese prefectures of Ishikawa and Toyama to determine their applicability and validity.
如何改善网络连接以及网络的哪些部分容易受到影响是关键问题。我们首先定义了一个平均分配问题,即向网络中的所有节点平均分配供应品。然后,我们从收敛速度(即拉普拉斯网络矩阵的第二个最小特征值)推导出拓扑网络连接度量。基于均等分布问题,我们提出了一种利用第二最小特征值的导数来识别网络连通性关键链接的方法。此外,我们还提出了一个网络设计问题,即在预算范围内最大化拓扑连通性,从而加强网络链接。该问题是凸编程问题,其解决方案是全局性的。此外,它还可以转换成一个相同的半有限编程问题,从而减少计算量。最后,我们在日本石川县和富山县的公路网络上测试了所开发的问题,以确定其适用性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing OD-based up-front discounting strategies for enroute ridepooling services 优化基于 OD 的途中乘车折扣策略
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103013
Siying Wang , Xiaolei Wang , Chen Yang , Xiaoning Zhang , Wei Liu
The technological progress in the recent decade has greatly facilitated the large-scale implementation of dynamic enroute ridepooling services, such as Uber Pool and DiDi Pinche. To sustain a profitable enroute ridepooling service, a well-designed discounting scheme is crucial. This paper focuses on the optimization of up-front discounting strategies for enroute ridepooling service, under which passengers are notified of origin–destination(OD)-based discount ratios together with estimated ride time before the start of their trips and enjoy the discounted prices no matter if they succeed or fail to get matched afterward. Assuming that ridepooling demand of each OD pair decreases with its price and the estimated waiting and ride time, we propose to optimize the discounting strategy of each OD pair through two methods. In the first method, the ridepooling price of each OD pair is optimized independently and adjusted day-to-day based on historical information; and in the second method, we optimize the prices of all OD pairs simultaneously, with the complex interactions among the expected ride and waiting times and the demand rates of all OD pairs being considered and captured by a system of nonlinear equations. The nonlinear and non-convex optimization problem of the second method is solved by two derivative-free algorithms: Bayesian optimization and classification-based optimization. Based on a 15*15 grid network with 30 OD pairs and the real road network of Haikou (China), we conduct simulation experiments to examine the efficiency of the two algorithms and the system performance under different discounting strategies derived from the two methods. It is found that in comparison with a uniform discounting strategy, OD-based discounting strategies generated by both methods can bring about 3.84% more profit to the platform. In comparison with the independently optimized discounting strategies generated by the first method, the system optimal discounting strategy generated by the second method can further improve the platform profit by 5.55% and 2.71% on average in our grid-network and real road network experiments.
近十年来的技术进步极大地促进了动态途中拼车服务的大规模实施,如 Uber Pool 和 DiDi Pinche。要维持可盈利的途中拼车服务,精心设计的折扣方案至关重要。在这种情况下,乘客会在出行前收到基于出发地-目的地(OD)的折扣率和预计乘车时间的通知,并在出行后无论匹配成功与否都能享受折扣价。假设每对定向配对乘客的乘车需求随其价格和预计等待及乘车时间的增加而减少,我们建议通过两种方法优化每对定向配对乘客的折扣策略。在第一种方法中,每对 OD 的乘车价格都是独立优化的,并根据历史信息逐日调整;在第二种方法中,我们同时优化所有 OD 的价格,所有 OD 的预期乘车时间、等待时间和需求率之间的复杂相互作用都被考虑在内,并通过一个非线性方程系统加以捕捉。第二种方法的非线性和非凸优化问题由两种无导数算法解决:贝叶斯优化和基于分类的优化。我们基于一个 15*15 的网格网络(有 30 个 OD 对)和海口(中国)的实际道路网络,进行了仿真实验,检验了两种算法的效率以及由两种方法得出的不同折现策略下的系统性能。结果发现,与统一折扣策略相比,两种方法生成的基于 OD 的折扣策略可为平台带来约 3.84% 的利润。在网格网络和实际道路网络实验中,与第一种方法生成的独立优化贴现策略相比,第二种方法生成的系统最优贴现策略可进一步提高平台利润,平均提高 5.55% 和 2.71%。
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引用次数: 0
Providing real-time en-route suggestions to CAVs for congestion mitigation: A two-way deep reinforcement learning approach 为缓解交通拥堵向自动驾驶汽车提供实时路径建议:双向深度强化学习方法
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103014
Xiaoyu Ma, Xiaozheng He
This research investigates the effectiveness of information provision for congestion reduction in Connected Autonomous Vehicle (CAV) systems. The inherent advantages of CAVs, such as vehicle-to-everything communication, advanced vehicle autonomy, and reduced human involvement, make them conducive to achieving Correlated Equilibrium (CE). Leveraging these advantages, this research proposes a reinforcement learning framework involving CAVs and an information provider, where CAVs conduct real-time learning to minimize their individual travel time, while the information provider offers real-time route suggestions aiming to minimize the system’s total travel time. The en-route routing problem of the CAVs is formulated as a Markov game and the information provision problem is formulated as a single-agent Markov decision process. Then, this research develops a customized two-way deep reinforcement learning approach to solve the interrelated problems, accounting for their unique characteristics. Moreover, CE has been formulated within the proposed framework. Theoretical analysis rigorously proves the realization of CE and that the proposed framework can effectively mitigate congestion without compromising individual user optimality. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach. Our research contributes to the advancement of congestion reduction strategies in CAV systems with the mitigation of the conflict between system-level and individual-level goals using CE as a theoretical foundation. The results highlight the potential of information provision in fostering coordination and correlation among CAVs, thereby enhancing traffic efficiency and achieving system-level goals in smart transportation.
本研究探讨了在互联自动驾驶汽车(CAV)系统中提供信息以减少拥堵的有效性。CAV 的固有优势,如车对车通信、先进的车辆自主性和较少的人工参与,使其有利于实现相关均衡(CE)。利用这些优势,本研究提出了一个涉及 CAV 和信息提供者的强化学习框架,其中 CAV 进行实时学习,以最大限度地减少各自的旅行时间,而信息提供者则提供实时路线建议,以最大限度地减少系统的总旅行时间。CAV 的途中路线选择问题被表述为马尔可夫博弈,信息提供问题被表述为单代理马尔可夫决策过程。然后,本研究开发了一种定制的双向深度强化学习方法,以解决这些相互关联的问题,同时考虑到它们的独特性。此外,CE 也是在所提出的框架内制定的。理论分析严格证明了 CE 的实现,并证明所提出的框架可以有效缓解拥堵,同时不影响单个用户的最优性。数值结果证明了这种方法的有效性。我们的研究以 CE 为理论基础,缓解了系统级目标和个人级目标之间的冲突,为推进 CAV 系统中的拥堵缓解策略做出了贡献。研究结果凸显了信息提供在促进无人驾驶汽车之间的协调和相关性方面的潜力,从而提高交通效率,实现智能交通的系统级目标。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the gap between micro-economics and micro-mobility: A two-dimensional risk-based microscopic model of pedestrians’ and bicyclists’ operational behaviors 缩小微观经济学与微观交通之间的差距:基于风险的二维行人和骑自行车者操作行为微观模型
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103021
Mohaiminul Haque , Samer H. Hamdar , Alireza Talebpour
Due to the inherent safety concerns associated with traffic movement in unconstrained two-dimensional settings, it is important that pedestrians’ and other modes’ movements such as bicyclists are modeled as a risk-taking stochastic dynamic process that may lead to errors and thus contacts and collisions. Among the existing models that may capture risk-taking behaviors are: 1) the social force models (through the interplay of the repulsion and the attraction force parameters); 2) and the discrete-choice models (through the rationality or the bounded rationality paradigm while weighing different alternatives). Given that the social force models may not readily capture the contact/collision dynamics through the Newtonian force framework, decision-making theories are hypothesized as a feasible approach to formulate a new model that can account for cognitive and behavioral dimensions such as uncertainty and risk. However, instead of relying on the bounded rationality theory, in this paper, a generalized Prospect Theory based microsimulation model is proposed. The model relies on the micro-economics Prospect Theory paradigm where pedestrians or bicyclists (i.e., micro-mobility users) evaluate their speed and directional alternatives while considering the possibility of colliding with other obstacles/users. A numerical analysis on the main model parameters is presented. The model is then calibrated and validated using two real-world data sets with trajectories recorded in naturalistic settings. With the calibrated parameters studied, simulation exercises and sensitivity analysis are conducted to recreate bottlenecks and lane formations in different conditions. The findings show that the proposed model's parameters reflect the risk-taking tendencies of different roadway users in mixed right-of-way's environments while showing realistic microscopic and macroscopic traffic flow characteristics.
由于在无约束的二维环境中,交通移动存在固有的安全问题,因此必须将行人和自行车等其他交通方式的移动建模为一个冒险的随机动态过程,该过程可能会导致错误,进而发生接触和碰撞。可捕捉冒险行为的现有模型包括1) 社会力模型(通过排斥力和吸引力参数的相互作用);2) 离散选择模型(通过理性或有界理性范式权衡不同的选择)。鉴于社会力模型可能无法通过牛顿力框架轻易捕捉接触/碰撞动态,决策理论被假定为制定新模型的可行方法,该模型可考虑认知和行为层面,如不确定性和风险。然而,本文没有依赖有界理性理论,而是提出了一个基于前景理论的广义微观模拟模型。该模型依赖于微观经济学的前景理论范式,行人或骑自行车的人(即微观移动用户)在考虑与其他障碍物/用户发生碰撞的可能性的同时,对其速度和方向进行评估。本文对模型的主要参数进行了数值分析。然后,利用在自然环境中记录轨迹的两个真实世界数据集对该模型进行了校准和验证。在研究了校准参数后,进行了模拟练习和敏感性分析,以重现不同条件下的瓶颈和车道形式。研究结果表明,建议模型的参数反映了混合路权环境下不同道路使用者的冒险倾向,同时显示了真实的微观和宏观交通流特征。
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引用次数: 0
A generalized rationally inattentive route choice model with non-uniform marginal information costs 具有非均匀边际信息成本的广义理性注意力不集中路线选择模型
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102993
Bo Zhou , Ronghui Liu
Information consumes attention. In the information-rich society, a wealth of information can support decision-making, but it can also create poverty of attention to and inability to make the best use of information. This study applies the theory of rational inattention in modelling traveller’s route choice behaviour, where the attention (costs) to information is non-uniform. We establish the mathematical formulation of a generalized rationally inattentive route choice model with non-uniform marginal information costs, and prove that the optimal conditional route choice probabilities for all the routes always locate within the interior of the feasible region of the route choice model. Based on this property, we analytically characterize the closed-form expression of the optimal conditional choice probabilities, and devise an efficient iterative solution algorithm to compute them. Finally, two numerical examples are conducted to demonstrate the theoretical properties of the rationally inattentive route choice behaviour. This behavioural modelling approach provides an insight on how the rationally inattentive travellers spontaneously learn the optimal route choice from the acquired information.
信息消耗注意力。在信息丰富的社会中,大量的信息可以为决策提供支持,但也可能造成注意力贫乏,无法充分利用信息。本研究将理性注意力缺失理论应用于模拟旅客的路线选择行为,在这种情况下,旅客对信息的注意力(成本)是不均匀的。我们建立了边际信息成本不均匀的广义理性注意力不集中路线选择模型的数学公式,并证明了所有路线的最优条件路线选择概率总是位于路线选择模型可行区域的内部。基于这一特性,我们分析了最优条件选择概率的闭式表达,并设计了一种高效的迭代求解算法来计算最优条件选择概率。最后,我们通过两个数值示例来证明理性不专心路线选择行为的理论特性。这种行为建模方法为理性不专心的旅行者如何自发地从获取的信息中学习最优路线选择提供了启示。
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Transportation Research Part B-Methodological
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