Economic geography of talent migration and agglomeration in China: A dual-driver framework

IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS 中国经济评论 Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI:10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102180
Hengyu Gu , Junhui Wang , Yingkai Ling
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Abstract

The long-standing debate on the role of economic factors and amenities on talent migration and redistribution foreshadows the importance of spatial economic theoretical thinking in resolving the effects of duality, a point yet to be conclusively addressed in the existing literature. Situated within the framework of new economic geography (NEG), this article introduces an innovative theoretical model – the Dual-Driver (DD) framework– aiming at comprehending the nuanced dual impact of economic and amenity factors on talent movements between regions. While the DD framework retains the mechanisms of increasing returns to scale, iceberg transportation cost, and talent agglomeration presented in the NEG models, it depicts, for the first time, the self-reinforcing mechanisms between non-traded goods (i.e., amenities) and talent agglomeration. The model describes a logic of talent movements influenced by the dual drivers of regional economic factors (nominal wage, the diversity of local manufacturing products) and amenities (the diversity and quality of amenities, transfer payment for talent), among which the economic effects play a predominant role versus the amenity effects. Empirical evidence has been given by the geographical analysis of China's internal talent migration between 2000 and 2015 and the corresponding econometric analysis using the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood (PPML) estimation. Our findings furnish a theoretical perspective for comprehending talent geography and offer policy insights into China's logic of talent migration.

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中国人才流动与集聚的经济地理学:双驱动框架
关于经济因素和便利设施对人才迁移和再分配的作用的长期争论,预示着空间经济理论思维在解决二元效应方面的重要性,而这一点在现有文献中尚无定论。本文在新经济地理学(NEG)的框架下,引入了一个创新的理论模型--双驱动(DD)框架,旨在理解经济和便利性因素对区域间人才流动的微妙双重影响。DD 框架保留了 NEG 模型中提出的规模收益递增、冰山运输成本和人才集聚机制,同时首次描述了非贸易品(即便利设施)与人才集聚之间的自我强化机制。该模型描述了受区域经济因素(名义工资、当地制造业产品的多样性)和便利设施(便利设施的多样性和质量、人才转移支付)双重驱动因素影响的人才流动逻辑,其中经济效应相对于便利设施效应起着主导作用。我们通过对 2000 年至 2015 年间中国国内人才流动的地域分析,并利用泊松伪极大似然法(PPML)估计进行了相应的计量分析,从而提供了实证证据。我们的研究结果为理解人才地理提供了一个理论视角,并为中国的人才迁徙逻辑提供了政策启示。
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来源期刊
中国经济评论
中国经济评论 ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
10.60
自引率
4.40%
发文量
380
期刊介绍: The China Economic Review publishes original works of scholarship which add to the knowledge of the economy of China and to economies as a discipline. We seek, in particular, papers dealing with policy, performance and institutional change. Empirical papers normally use a formal model, a data set, and standard statistical techniques. Submissions are subjected to double-blind peer review.
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