Research on energy management of building operation and maintenance based on multiple prediction algorithms

Ting Lei, Jingyuan Wang, Ming Jiang
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Abstract

With the continuous promotion of national energy conservation and emission reduction, the in-depth application of information technology has gradually triggered in-depth changes in the development mode of the country, city and industry. This paper mainly starts from the status quo of national building energy consumption and related energy saving and green development plan, introduces the research status quo of building energy management, and aims at the more popular machine learning algorithm models in recent years, including Random Forest Regression Model, XGBoost Model and Stacking Multi-Algorithmic Fusion Model, and combines with CITIC Design Digital Intelligent Building System in the statistics of a certain office building with a total of 321 days of Combined with the raw data of measured energy consumption of an office building counted in the CITIC Design Digital Intelligent Building System for a total of 321 days, the prediction learning of building operation and maintenance energy consumption is carried out respectively, the prediction effects of the three prediction algorithms are compared and analyzed, and it is recommended to use the Stacking Multi-Algorithmic Fusion Model for predicting the energy consumption of building operation and maintenance and the operation and maintenance mode of building operation and maintenance energy consumption control in advance warning is proposed by combining with energy consumption prediction model.
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基于多重预测算法的建筑运维能源管理研究
随着国家节能减排工作的不断推进,信息技术的深入应用逐渐引发了国家、城市和行业发展模式的深入变革。本文主要从国家建筑能耗现状及相关节能与绿色发展规划出发,介绍了建筑节能管理的研究现状,针对近年来较为流行的机器学习算法模型,包括随机森林回归模型XGBoost 模型和堆叠多算法融合模型,并结合中信设计数字智能建筑系统中统计的某办公建筑共计 321 天的结合中信设计数字智能建筑系统中统计的某办公建筑共计 321 天的实测能耗原始数据、分别对建筑运维能耗进行了预测学习,对比分析了三种预测算法的预测效果,建议采用堆栈式多算法融合模型对建筑运维能耗进行预测,并结合能耗预测模型提出了建筑运维能耗控制预警的运维模式。
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