Temporal trends and cohort variations of gender-specific major depressive disorders incidence in China: analysis based on the age-period-cohort-interaction model.

IF 5.3 3区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY General Psychiatry Pub Date : 2024-07-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1136/gpsych-2023-101479
Xiyuan Hu, Chao Guo
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Abstract

Background: Major depressive disorders (MDDs) impose substantial burdens on individuals and society; however, further detailed analysis is still needed for its long-term trends.

Aims: This study aimed to analyse the gender-specific temporal trends and cohort variations of MDD incidence among Chinese residents over the past three decades.

Methods: Employing the age-period-cohort-interaction model and leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, this research identified and analysed incidence trends of MDD among Chinese males and females aged 5-94 years from 1990 to 2019 across three dimensions, encompassing age, period and birth cohort.

Results: The analysis reveals age-related effects, indicating heightened MDD risk among adolescents and older adults. Specifically, individuals entering the older adulthood at the age of 65-69 significantly increased the risk of MDD by 64.9%. People aged 90-94 years witnessed a 105.4% increase in MDD risk for the overall population, with females and males in this age group experiencing a 75.1% and 103.4% increase, respectively. In terms of period effects, the risk of MDD displayed a decline from 1990 to 1994, followed by a rebound in 2008. Cohort effects demonstrated diverse generational patterns, with generation I and generation III manifesting opposing 'age-as-level' trends. Generation II and generation IV exhibited 'cumulative disadvantage' and 'cumulative advantage' patterns, respectively. Age effects indicated an overall higher risk of MDD incidence in females, while cohort effects showed greater variations of MDD incidence among females.

Conclusions: The study underscores the substantial effects of age, period and cohort on MDD across genders in China. Priority interventions targeting vulnerable populations, including children, adolescents, older adults, females and the post-millennium birth cohort, are crucial to mitigate the impact of MDD.

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中国性别特异性重度抑郁障碍发病率的时间趋势和队列变异:基于年龄-时期-队列-互动模型的分析。
背景:目的:本研究旨在分析过去30年中国居民MDD发病的性别特异性时间趋势和队列变异:本研究采用年龄-时期-队列-互动模型,利用《2019年全球疾病负担研究》的数据,从年龄、时期和出生队列三个维度确定并分析了1990年至2019年中国5-94岁男性和女性MDD的发病趋势:结果:分析显示了与年龄相关的效应,表明青少年和老年人患 MDD 的风险更高。具体而言,65-69 岁进入老年期的人患 MDD 的风险显著增加了 64.9%。90-94 岁人群的 MDD 风险在总体人群中增加了 105.4%,该年龄段的女性和男性分别增加了 75.1% 和 103.4%。从时期效应来看,多发性精神障碍的风险在 1990 年至 1994 年期间有所下降,随后在 2008 年出现反弹。群组效应表现出不同的代际模式,第一代和第三代表现出相反的 "年龄即水平 "趋势。第二代和第四代分别表现出 "累积劣势 "和 "累积优势 "模式。年龄效应表明女性患 MDD 的总体风险较高,而队列效应则表明女性 MDD 发病率的变化较大:本研究强调了年龄、时期和队列效应对中国不同性别的 MDD 的重大影响。针对弱势人群(包括儿童、青少年、老年人、女性和千禧年后出生的人群)的优先干预措施对于减轻 MDD 的影响至关重要。
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来源期刊
General Psychiatry
General Psychiatry 医学-精神病学
CiteScore
21.90
自引率
2.50%
发文量
848
期刊介绍: General Psychiatry (GPSYCH), an open-access journal established in 1959, has been a pioneer in disseminating leading psychiatry research. Addressing a global audience of psychiatrists and mental health professionals, the journal covers diverse topics and publishes original research, systematic reviews, meta-analyses, forums on topical issues, case reports, research methods in psychiatry, and a distinctive section on 'Biostatistics in Psychiatry'. The scope includes original articles on basic research, clinical research, community-based studies, and ecological studies, encompassing a broad spectrum of psychiatric interests.
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