Do Criminal Politicians Affect Firm Investment and Value? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Approach

IF 5.9 1区 哲学 Q1 BUSINESS Journal of Business Ethics Pub Date : 2024-06-23 DOI:10.1007/s10551-024-05738-4
Vikram Nanda, Ankur Pareek
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Abstract

We provide evidence on the effects of criminal/corrupt politicians on firm performance and investments in their constituencies. Using a regression discontinuity approach, we focus on close parliamentary elections in India to establish a causal link between election of criminal-politicians and firms’ stock-market performance and investment decisions. Election of criminal-politicians leads to lower election-period and project-announcement stock-market returns for private-sector firms with economic ties to the district. There is a significant decline in total investment and employment by private-sector firms in criminal-politician districts. Interestingly, decline in private-sector investment is largely offset by a roughly equivalent increase in investment by state-owned firms.

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犯罪政治家会影响公司投资和价值吗?回归不连续方法的证据
我们提供了犯罪/腐败政客对其选区内公司业绩和投资影响的证据。我们采用回归非连续性方法,重点研究了印度接近尾声的议会选举,从而确定了犯罪政治家当选与公司股票市场表现和投资决策之间的因果关系。犯罪政治家的当选导致与该地区有经济联系的私营企业在选举期和项目公告期的股票市场回报率下降。在犯罪政客选区,私营部门企业的总投资和就业率都会大幅下降。有趣的是,私营部门投资的下降在很大程度上被国有企业投资大致相同的增长所抵消。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
12.80
自引率
9.80%
发文量
265
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business Ethics publishes only original articles from a wide variety of methodological and disciplinary perspectives concerning ethical issues related to business that bring something new or unique to the discourse in their field. Since its initiation in 1980, the editors have encouraged the broadest possible scope. The term `business'' is understood in a wide sense to include all systems involved in the exchange of goods and services, while `ethics'' is circumscribed as all human action aimed at securing a good life. Systems of production, consumption, marketing, advertising, social and economic accounting, labour relations, public relations and organisational behaviour are analysed from a moral viewpoint. The style and level of dialogue involve all who are interested in business ethics - the business community, universities, government agencies and consumer groups. Speculative philosophy as well as reports of empirical research are welcomed. In order to promote a dialogue between the various interested groups as much as possible, papers are presented in a style relatively free of specialist jargon.
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