TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TRENDS DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE HUIXTLA RIVER BASIN IN CHIAPAS, MEXICO

Ricardo Álvarez-López, L. A. Ibáñez-Castillo, M. Vázquez-Peña, Agustín Ruíz-García
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Abstract

The objective of this work was to analyze whether there is a trend in climate change in the Huixtla River basin on the Mexican Pacific coast in the State of Chiapas. To detect this, temperature and precipitation trends were analyzed using data for the 1960–2014 period and the 27 indices proposed by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) at Despoblado, Escuintla, Finca Chicharras, Huehuetán, Huixtla, and Motozintla weather stations of the National Meteorological Service (SMN). Missing data were collected where necessary for precipitation using the U.S. National Wheater Service method and for temperatures using the Climate Engine platform. The indices were obtained with RClimDex by conducting the proposed data quality controls and classified on the basis of their statistical significance (0.05) and their increasing or decreasing trend. Among the changes found, higher temperatures were detected in the middle and lower western parts of the basin (TX90p), as well as a longer period of hot days (WSDI). The upper and lower eastern parts of the basin presented a shorter period of hot days. The upper and lower parts of the basin showed a cooling trend, with colder days (TX10p) over longer periods (CSDI). Across the basin, precipitation has increased by one and five days (RX1day and RX5day) as well as in total amount (PRCPTOT). In general, there were shorter dry periods (CDD) and longer wet periods (CWD). Rainfall above the R5mm, R10mm, R20mm, R70mm, and R150mm thresholds across the basin showed an increasing trend.
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墨西哥恰帕斯州惠克斯特拉河流域气候变化导致的气温和降水趋势
这项工作的目的是分析墨西哥太平洋沿岸恰帕斯州汇克斯特拉河流域是否存在气候变化趋势。为了检测这一趋势,我们利用 1960-2014 年期间的数据以及气候变化检测和指数专家组(ETCCDI)在国家气象局(SMN)的 Despoblado、Escuintla、Finca Chicharras、Huehuetán、Huixtla 和 Motozintla 气象站提出的 27 个指数,对气温和降水趋势进行了分析。必要时使用美国国家降水局方法收集降水缺失数据,使用气候引擎平台收集气温缺失数据。通过建议的数据质量控制,利用 RClimDex 获得了指数,并根据其统计显著性(0.05)和增减趋势进行了分类。在所发现的变化中,盆地中西部(TX90p)气温较高,炎热日(WSDI)持续时间较长。盆地东部上部和下部的高温日较短。盆地的上部和下部呈现降温趋势,在较长时期内(CSDI)日数较少(TX10p)。整个流域的降水量增加了 1 天和 5 天(RX1 天和 RX5 天),降水总量(PRCPTOT)也有所增加。总体而言,干旱期(CDD)缩短,湿润期(CWD)延长。整个流域超过 R5 毫米、R10 毫米、R20 毫米、R70 毫米和 R150 毫米临界值的降雨量呈上升趋势。
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