Modern approaches to the assessment of individual risk of CHD development: status, problems, prospects

V. N. Maksimov, S. V. Minnikh, A. Ivanova
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Abstract

   Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of non-violent deaths in the world. Criteria for the formation of high-risk groups are necessary for primary prevention of disease development. This was the reason for research on the development of riskmeters. A brief description of the history of the creation of CHD riskmeters. The review provides a description of the current challenges in assessing individual risk for CHD. The main approaches to the creation of riskmeters have not changed significantly for several decades. The increase in the size of study groups and the number of molecular genetic markers undoubtedly give certain results. However, in order to move from the population level to the individual level, it is necessary to take into account many more factors in the assessment. That is, it is necessary to learn how to analyze the most complex set of data of one person (genome, transcriptome, proteome, and maybe even microbiome) not only with a deep understanding of the mechanisms of its functioning (from conception to death), but also possible disorders, based on the available features. And for this purpose it is necessary to rely not only and not so much on statistical data, but on maximally similar sets of individual data (first of all, relatives). It seems that similarity should be evaluated by an artificial intelligence system trained on a colossal array of individual data.
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评估个人患冠心病风险的现代方法:现状、问题和前景
心血管疾病是世界上非暴力死亡的主要原因。高危人群的形成标准对于疾病发展的初级预防是必要的。这就是研究开发风险测量仪的原因。简要介绍创建冠心病风险测量仪的历史。综述描述了目前在评估个人冠心病风险方面所面临的挑战。几十年来,创建风险测量器的主要方法没有发生重大变化。研究群体规模的扩大和分子遗传标记数量的增加无疑会带来一定的结果。然而,为了从群体层面转向个体层面,有必要在评估中考虑更多的因素。也就是说,有必要学会如何分析一个人最复杂的数据集(基因组、转录组、蛋白质组,甚至微生物组),不仅要深入了解其运作机制(从受孕到死亡),还要根据现有特征分析可能出现的疾病。为此,不仅要依靠统计数据,还要依靠最大程度相似的个体数据集(首先是亲属数据)。看来,相似性应该由在大量个人数据基础上训练出来的人工智能系统来评估。
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