Influenza Morbidity in the State of Hidalgo, is There Correlation with Climate Change?

Josefina Reynoso Vázquez, Rosa Isela Barrera Cortés, Oliva Castro Tenorio, Viridiana Vázquez Morales, Leonardo Daniel Trujillo Mancera, Alfonso Reyes Garnica, Jesús Carlos Ruvacaba Ledezma
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Abstract

Influenza is a contagious infection of viral origin; every year, it causes a high disease burden, due to the epidemics it instigates throughout the world. In Mexico, pneumonia and influenza are one of the major causes of morbidity and mortality. From the time of the Greek philosophers, diseases were attributed to the climatic changes. The WHO Early Warning System notes the influence of climatic that variation for influenza epidemic risk is moderate for. Objective: Determine if there is correlation between the minimum temperatures recorded in the state of Hidalgo, and the influenza cases reported during 2014, 2015 and 2016. Material and Methods: A retrospective observational study was done, which was of transversal and correlational character which conducted a review of data Automated Unified System for Epidemiological Surveillance (SUAVE 2014-2016) and in Mexico Weather Report National Weather Service performed (2014-2016). Results and Conclusions: According to the statistical analysis, it was concluded that in 2014 (Sig = 0.001) and 2015 (Sig. = 0.00) there is a correlation between the minimum temperatures recorded and the number of reported cases of influenza.
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伊达尔戈州的流感发病率是否与气候变化有关?
流感是一种源于病毒的传染性感染,每年都会在世界各地引发流行病,造成沉重的疾病负担。在墨西哥,肺炎和流感是发病和死亡的主要原因之一。从希腊哲学家时代起,人们就将疾病归因于气候变化。世卫组织预警系统指出,气候的变化对流感流行风险的影响是中等的。目标:确定伊达尔戈州记录的最低气温与 2014 年、2015 年和 2016 年报告的流感病例之间是否存在相关性。材料与方法:进行了一项回顾性观察研究,该研究具有横向和相关性特征,对流行病学监测自动化统一系统(SUAVE,2014-2016 年)和墨西哥国家气象局天气报告(2014-2016 年)中的数据进行了审查。结果和结论:根据统计分析得出结论,2014 年(Sig = 0.001)和 2015 年(Sig. = 0.00)记录的最低气温与报告的流感病例数之间存在相关性。
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