Behavioral Finance: Investor Psychology and Market Outcomes

Zachary Taylor
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Abstract

Purpose: The general objective of the study was to explore how psychological factors and cognitive biases influence investor decisions and market dynamics. Methodology: The study adopted a desktop research methodology. Desk research refers to secondary data or that which can be collected without fieldwork. Desk research is basically involved in collecting data from existing resources hence it is often considered a low cost technique as compared to field research, as the main cost is involved in executive’s time, telephone charges and directories. Thus, the study relied on already published studies, reports and statistics. This secondary data was easily accessed through the online journals and library. Findings: The findings reveal that there exists a contextual and methodological gap relating to investor psychology and market outcomes. Preliminary empirical review revealed that psychological factors such as cognitive biases and investor sentiment significantly impacted financial decision-making and market dynamics, leading to anomalies like market bubbles and volatility. It highlighted the need for integrating behavioral insights into financial models to better predict and understand market behavior, emphasizing the importance of financial literacy in mitigating adverse effects of these biases. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: The Prospect Theory, Herding Theory and Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) may be used to anchor future studies on behavioural finance. The study recommended further development of behavioral finance models to incorporate psychological factors, and for financial institutions to integrate behavioral insights into their services to guide better investment decisions. It also advised policymakers to design regulations enhancing market transparency and protecting investors from biases, while promoting financial literacy and implementing measures to monitor and mitigate systemic risks from irrational behavior.
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行为金融学:投资者心理与市场结果
目的:本研究的总体目标是探讨心理因素和认知偏差如何影响投资者决策和市场动态。研究方法:本研究采用案头研究方法。案头研究指的是二手数据或无需实地考察即可收集到的数据。案头研究基本上是从现有资源中收集数据,因此与实地研究相比,案头研究通常被认为是一种低成本技术,因为主要成本涉及管理人员的时间、电话费和目录。因此,本研究依赖于已出版的研究、报告和统计数据。这些二手数据可通过在线期刊和图书馆轻松获取。研究结果:研究结果表明,在投资者心理和市场结果方面存在着背景和方法上的差距。初步实证审查显示,认知偏差和投资者情绪等心理因素严重影响了金融决策和市场动态,导致市场泡沫和波动等异常现象。它强调了将行为洞察力融入金融模型的必要性,以更好地预测和理解市场行为,并强调了金融知识在减轻这些偏见的不利影响方面的重要性。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:展望理论、羊群理论和有效市场假说(EMH)可作为未来行为金融学研究的基础。研究建议进一步开发行为金融模型,将心理因素纳入其中,并建议金融机构将行为洞察纳入其服务,以指导更好的投资决策。研究还建议政策制定者制定相关法规,提高市场透明度,保护投资者免受偏见影响,同时促进金融知识普及,采取措施监控和降低非理性行为带来的系统性风险。
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