Investment in big data analytics and loss reserve accuracy: evidence from the U.S. property-liability insurance industry

Xin Che
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Abstract

This study explores the impact of big data analytics investment on loss reserve accuracy in the U.S. property-liability insurance industry. Utilising a dataset of 1243 insurers from 2002 to 2016, we find a significant association between higher investment in big data analytics and more accurate loss reserve estimates. Our analysis distinguishes between over-reserving and under-reserving behaviours, revealing that big data analytics contributes to the reduction of both. The study employs entropy balancing, internal instrumental variable estimation and errors-in-variables regressions to enhance the robustness of the findings. This research not only fills a gap in the academic literature but also provides practical implications for enhancing the precision of loss reserve estimates through technological investments.

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大数据分析投资与损失准备金准确性:来自美国财产责任保险业的证据
本研究探讨了大数据分析投资对美国财产责任保险业损失准备金准确性的影响。利用 2002 年至 2016 年间 1243 家保险公司的数据集,我们发现在大数据分析方面的较高投资与更准确的损失准备金估算之间存在显著关联。我们的分析区分了过度准备金和准备金不足行为,发现大数据分析有助于减少这两种行为。研究采用了熵平衡、内部工具变量估计和变量误差回归等方法,以增强研究结果的稳健性。这项研究不仅填补了学术文献的空白,还为通过技术投资提高损失准备金估算的精确度提供了实际意义。
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