Environmental and health impacts of banning passenger cars with internal combustion engines: A case study of Leeds, UK

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104343

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Abstract

Governments worldwide are considering banning the sale of internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to address environmental and public health issues. However, the environmental and health impacts of banning ICEV sales remain unclear. Here, we evaluated the effects of banning ICEV sales under various implementation timelines on PM_2.5 and NO_x emissions in Leeds, UK, and the associated premature deaths, using a novel ’Fleet-Emission-Health’ model. The results showed that the earlier ban on ICEV sales led to an almost 100% reduction in NO_x by 2040, whereas total PM_2.5 increased slightly due to more non-exhaust PM_2.5 emissions emitted from battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Moreover, banning ICEV sales in 2030 would avoid 28 deaths in Leeds in 2040 compared to those in 2022, due to the reduction of NO_x and PM_2.5 emissions from ICEV exhaust. The findings indicate that stricter regulations on non-exhaust emissions are necessary to mitigate environmental and public health effects.

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禁止使用内燃机乘用车对环境和健康的影响：英国利兹案例研究

世界各国政府正在考虑禁止销售内燃机汽车（ICEV），以解决环境和公共卫生问题。然而，禁止销售内燃机汽车对环境和健康的影响仍不明确。在此，我们使用一个新颖的 "车队-排放-健康 "模型，评估了在不同实施时间表下禁止销售内燃机汽车对英国利兹的 PM2.5 和氮氧化物排放以及相关过早死亡的影响。结果表明，较早禁止销售 ICEV 可使氮氧化物到 2040 年减少近 100%，而 PM2.5 总量则略有增加，原因是电池电动汽车（BEV）排放了更多的非废气 PM2.5。此外，与 2022 年相比，如果在 2030 年禁止销售 ICEV，2040 年利兹的死亡人数将减少 28 人，原因是 ICEV 尾气排放的氮氧化物和 PM2.5 有所减少。研究结果表明，有必要对非尾气排放进行更严格的监管，以减轻对环境和公众健康的影响。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.