Dynamic reliability and seismic fragility analysis for high concrete-faced rockfill dam slopes subjected to stochastic earthquake and parameter excitation via PDEM
{"title":"Dynamic reliability and seismic fragility analysis for high concrete-faced rockfill dam slopes subjected to stochastic earthquake and parameter excitation via PDEM","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.soildyn.2024.108915","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The randomness of material parameters and earthquake excitation greatly impacts the seismic stability of high concrete-faced rockfill dam (CFRD) slopes. However, no research has comprehensively analyzed the impacts of stochastic earthquake excitations, random parameters and their coupled effects on seismic stability of CFRD slopes and selected a multi-indicator evaluation criterion to carry out performance-based safety assessment. This paper develops a novel and comprehensive framework for evaluating the seismic stability of CFRD slopes based on the generalized probability density evolution method (GPDEM) with high efficiency and accuracy. The effects of three kinds of randomness on seismic stability of CFRD slopes were comprehensively compared and analyzed on the basis of multi-indices (safety factor (<em>F</em><sub>S</sub>), cumulative slip displacement and cumulative time with <em>F</em><sub>S</sub> < 1.0). Firstly, the nonlinear shear strength parameters of 40 high CFRDs were statistically collected to obtain the statistical characteristics of rockfill material strength parameters of actual CFRD projects. Secondly, three kinds of random samples were generated using generalized F-discrepancy (GF-discrepancy) method and Spectral expression-Random function (SERF) method. Then, the GPDEM was introduced to combine with three indices to perform the stochastic analysis and reliability evaluation. Finally, the fragility analysis of the CFRD slope was conducted. The results reveal that <em>F</em><sub>S</sub> is more sensitive to the ground motions randomness, while cumulative slip displacement and cumulative time with <em>F</em><sub>S</sub> < 1.0 are more sensitive to the material parameters randomness. The seismic safety evaluation of CFRD slopes based on multiple indices with full consideration of coupled randomness effects is necessary.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49502,"journal":{"name":"Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0267726124004676","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The randomness of material parameters and earthquake excitation greatly impacts the seismic stability of high concrete-faced rockfill dam (CFRD) slopes. However, no research has comprehensively analyzed the impacts of stochastic earthquake excitations, random parameters and their coupled effects on seismic stability of CFRD slopes and selected a multi-indicator evaluation criterion to carry out performance-based safety assessment. This paper develops a novel and comprehensive framework for evaluating the seismic stability of CFRD slopes based on the generalized probability density evolution method (GPDEM) with high efficiency and accuracy. The effects of three kinds of randomness on seismic stability of CFRD slopes were comprehensively compared and analyzed on the basis of multi-indices (safety factor (FS), cumulative slip displacement and cumulative time with FS < 1.0). Firstly, the nonlinear shear strength parameters of 40 high CFRDs were statistically collected to obtain the statistical characteristics of rockfill material strength parameters of actual CFRD projects. Secondly, three kinds of random samples were generated using generalized F-discrepancy (GF-discrepancy) method and Spectral expression-Random function (SERF) method. Then, the GPDEM was introduced to combine with three indices to perform the stochastic analysis and reliability evaluation. Finally, the fragility analysis of the CFRD slope was conducted. The results reveal that FS is more sensitive to the ground motions randomness, while cumulative slip displacement and cumulative time with FS < 1.0 are more sensitive to the material parameters randomness. The seismic safety evaluation of CFRD slopes based on multiple indices with full consideration of coupled randomness effects is necessary.
期刊介绍:
The journal aims to encourage and enhance the role of mechanics and other disciplines as they relate to earthquake engineering by providing opportunities for the publication of the work of applied mathematicians, engineers and other applied scientists involved in solving problems closely related to the field of earthquake engineering and geotechnical earthquake engineering.
Emphasis is placed on new concepts and techniques, but case histories will also be published if they enhance the presentation and understanding of new technical concepts.