Empirical study on sustainable energy development goals: Analysis of rural roof distributed photovoltaic systems in Jiangsu, China

IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI:10.1016/j.pce.2024.103711
Tao Zhu , Xiangyang Chang , Fanglin Zhu , Yang Shen , Lin Zhu , Chuanlong Xu
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Abstract

Rural rooftop distributed photovoltaic systems (RRDPVS) play a crucial role in China's energy strategy to achieve sustainable development goals (SDGs). Over the past years, RRDPVS have experienced rapid development in China. This study focuses on identifying relevant factors and analyzing their influence on the growth of RRDPVS in Jiangsu Province. Based on county-level panel data spanning 39 months across 64 countries, an empirical model is built for analyzing the newly installed capacity of RRDPVS with the consideration of local natural resources and socio-economic conditions. It is a cross-disciplinary study in the field of economics and energy. In summary, natural resource factors have less influence and socio-economic factors have more influence on the newly installed capacity of RRDPVS at this stage. The results of regression models show that elements of natural endowment, such as solar resources, air temperature and air quality index PM2.5 have insignificant effects on the amount of newly installed capacity. The absence of government strategic guidance has resulted in the indiscriminate construction of RRDPVS in low-quality status. The results of the analyses from the socio-economic perspective show that most rural residents installed RRDPVS are the low-income group, whereas middle- and upper-income residents are less interested in installation. It is necessary to appropriately raise public awareness of the use of clean and low-carbon green energy, in order to expand the audience of RRDPVS and increase the penetration rate of the system among middle and high-income groups. The finding of this study offers insights into establishing a robust policy framework for renewable energy utilization to achieve SDGs, and promotes feasible solutions for the transformation of rural photovoltaics in China and other developing countries.

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可持续能源发展目标的实证研究:中国江苏农村屋顶分布式光伏系统分析
农村屋顶分布式光伏系统(RRDPVS)在中国实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)的能源战略中发挥着至关重要的作用。在过去几年中,农村屋顶分布式光伏系统在中国经历了快速发展。本研究侧重于识别相关因素,并分析其对江苏省 RRDPVS 增长的影响。基于 64 个国家 39 个月的县级面板数据,结合当地自然资源和社会经济条件,建立了 RRDPVS 新增装机容量的实证分析模型。这是一项经济学和能源领域的跨学科研究。综上所述,现阶段自然资源因素对 RRDPVS 新装机容量的影响较小,而社会经济因素对 RRDPVS 新装机容量的影响较大。回归模型的结果显示,太阳能资源、气温和空气质量指数 PM2.5 等自然禀赋要素对新增装机容量的影响并不明显。政府战略指导的缺失导致了低质量 RRDPVS 的盲目建设。从社会经济角度分析的结果表明,安装 RRDPVS 的农村居民大多是低收入群体,而中高收入居民对安装 RRDPVS 的兴趣不大。有必要适当提高公众使用清洁低碳绿色能源的意识,以扩大 RRDPVS 的受众范围,提高该系统在中高收入群体中的普及率。本研究的结论为建立健全的可再生能源利用政策框架以实现可持续发展目标提供了启示,并为中国和其他发展中国家的农村光伏转型提供了可行的解决方案。
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来源期刊
Physics and Chemistry of the Earth
Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
2.70%
发文量
176
审稿时长
31.6 weeks
期刊介绍: Physics and Chemistry of the Earth is an international interdisciplinary journal for the rapid publication of collections of refereed communications in separate thematic issues, either stemming from scientific meetings, or, especially compiled for the occasion. There is no restriction on the length of articles published in the journal. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth incorporates the separate Parts A, B and C which existed until the end of 2001. Please note: the Editors are unable to consider submissions that are not invited or linked to a thematic issue. Please do not submit unsolicited papers. The journal covers the following subject areas: -Solid Earth and Geodesy: (geology, geochemistry, tectonophysics, seismology, volcanology, palaeomagnetism and rock magnetism, electromagnetism and potential fields, marine and environmental geosciences as well as geodesy). -Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere: (hydrology and water resources research, engineering and management, oceanography and oceanic chemistry, shelf, sea, lake and river sciences, meteorology and atmospheric sciences incl. chemistry as well as climatology and glaciology). -Solar-Terrestrial and Planetary Science: (solar, heliospheric and solar-planetary sciences, geology, geophysics and atmospheric sciences of planets, satellites and small bodies as well as cosmochemistry and exobiology).
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