Public support for carbon pricing policies and revenue recycling options: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the survey literature

Farah Mohammadzadeh Valencia, Cornelia Mohren, Anjali Ramakrishnan, Marlene Merchert, Jan C. Minx, Jan Christoph Steckel
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Abstract

Since public support is critical for implementing carbon pricing policies, we conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the survey-based literature on change in public support for direct and indirect carbon pricing policies with and without revenue recycling options. Following a comprehensive and transparent machine-learning assisted screening of the literature, our dataset comprises 35 studies containing 70 surveys across 26 countries with over 100,000 respondents. We find that the introduction of any type of revenue recycling option increases public support for carbon pricing. Results from our meta-regression indicate that green spending (i.e. using revenues for climate-friendly projects) is the only revenue recycling option associated with a statistically significant increase in public support. Our findings moreover suggest that the effects may depend on which region the survey was carried out, highlighting the need for additional research in countries in the regions of Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean.

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公众对碳定价政策和收入回收方案的支持:对调查文献的系统回顾和荟萃分析
由于公众支持对于实施碳定价政策至关重要,我们开展了一项系统性回顾和荟萃分析,以研究基于调查的文献,探讨有无收入循环选项的直接和间接碳定价政策在公众支持方面的变化。在对文献进行全面、透明的机器学习辅助筛选后,我们的数据集包括 35 项研究,涉及 26 个国家的 70 项调查,受访者超过 10 万人。我们发现,引入任何类型的收入回收方案都会增加公众对碳定价的支持。我们的元回归结果表明,绿色支出(即将收入用于气候友好型项目)是唯一能在统计上显著提高公众支持率的收入循环选项。此外,我们的研究结果表明,这种影响可能取决于调查在哪个地区进行,因此需要在非洲、拉丁美洲和加勒比海地区的国家开展更多研究。
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