Multi-Agent Based Simulation for Decentralized Electric Vehicle Charging Strategies and their Impacts

Kristoffer Christensen, Bo Nørregaard Jørgensen, Zheng Grace Ma
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Abstract

The growing shift towards a Smart Grid involves integrating numerous new digital energy solutions into the energy ecosystems to address problems arising from the transition to carbon neutrality, particularly in linking the electricity and transportation sectors. Yet, this shift brings challenges due to mass electric vehicle adoption and the lack of methods to adequately assess various EV charging algorithms and their ecosystem impacts. This paper introduces a multi-agent based simulation model, validated through a case study of a Danish radial distribution network serving 126 households. The study reveals that traditional charging leads to grid overload by 2031 at 67% EV penetration, while decentralized strategies like Real-Time Pricing could cause overloads as early as 2028. The developed multi-agent based simulation demonstrates its ability to offer detailed, hourly analysis of future load profiles in distribution grids, and therefore, can be applied to other prospective scenarios in similar energy systems.
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基于多代理的分散式电动汽车充电策略及其影响模拟
向智能电网的不断转变涉及将众多新型数字能源解决方案整合到能源生态系统中,以解决向碳中和过渡过程中出现的问题,特别是在连接电力和交通部门方面。然而,由于电动汽车的大规模应用以及缺乏充分评估各种电动汽车充电算法及其对生态系统影响的方法,这种转变带来了挑战。本文介绍了一种基于多代理的仿真模型,并通过对丹麦一个服务于 126 户家庭的放射状配电网络的案例研究进行了验证。研究结果表明,在电动汽车普及率达到 67% 的情况下,传统充电方式会导致电网在 2031 年出现过载,而像实时定价这样的分散式策略则可能在 2028 年就会造成过载。所开发的基于多代理的仿真证明了其对配电网未来负荷状况进行详细的每小时分析的能力,因此可应用于类似能源系统中的其他前瞻性情景。
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