A machine learning analysis of the value-added intellectual coefficient’s effect on firm performance

IF 1.8 Q3 MANAGEMENT Journal of Modelling in Management Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI:10.1108/jm2-10-2023-0253
Rumeysa Bilgin
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Abstract

Purpose

Recently, machine learning (ML) methods gained popularity in finance and accounting research as alternatives to econometric analysis. Their success in high-dimensional settings is promising as a cure for the shortcomings of econometric analysis. The purpose of this study is to prove further the relationship between intellectual capital (IC) efficiency and firm performance using ML methods.

Design/methodology/approach

This study used the double selection, partialing-out and cross-fit partialing-out LASSO estimators to analyze the IC efficiency’s linear and nonlinear effects on firm performance using a sample of 2,581 North American firms from 1999 to 2021. The value-added intellectual capital (VAIC) and its components are used as indicators of IC efficiency. Firm performance is measured by return on equity, return on assets and market-to-book ratio.

Findings

The findings revealed significant connections between IC measures and firm performance. First, the VAIC, as an aggregate measure, significantly impacts both firm profitability and value. When the VAIC is decomposed into its breakdowns, it is revealed that structural capital efficiency substantially affects firm value, and capital employed efficiency has the same function for firm profitability. In contrast to the prevalent belief in the area, human capital efficiency’s impact is found to be less important than the others. Nonlinearities are also detected in the relationships.

Originality/value

As ML tools are most recently introduced to the IC literature, only a few studies have used them to expand the current knowledge. However, none of these studies investigated the role of IC as a determinant of firm performance. The present study fills this gap in the literature by investigating the effect of IC efficiency on firm performance using supervised ML methods. It also provides a novel approach by comparing the estimation results of three LASSO estimators. To the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first study that has used LASSO in IC research.

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智力增值系数对企业绩效影响的机器学习分析
目的最近,机器学习(ML)方法作为计量经济学分析的替代方法在金融和会计研究领域大受欢迎。机器学习方法在高维环境中的成功有望弥补计量经济学分析的不足。本研究的目的是使用 ML 方法进一步证明智力资本(IC)效率与公司业绩之间的关系。本研究使用双重选择、偏离和交叉拟合偏离 LASSO 估计器,以 1999 年至 2021 年期间的 2581 家北美公司为样本,分析 IC 效率对公司业绩的线性和非线性影响。智力资本增值(VAIC)及其组成部分被用作集成电路效率的指标。企业绩效以股本回报率、资产回报率和市净率来衡量。首先,VAIC 作为一个综合指标,对公司盈利能力和价值都有显著影响。当对 VAIC 进行分解时,发现结构资本效率对公司价值有重大影响,而资本使用效率对公司盈利能力也有同样的作用。与该领域的普遍看法不同,人力资本效率的影响并不那么重要。原创性/价值 由于 ML 工具是最近才引入集成电路文献的,因此只有少数研究使用它们来扩展现有知识。然而,这些研究都没有调查集成电路作为企业绩效决定因素的作用。本研究使用有监督的 ML 方法研究了集成电路效率对企业绩效的影响,从而填补了这一文献空白。它还通过比较三种 LASSO 估计器的估计结果提供了一种新方法。据作者所知,这是第一项在集成电路研究中使用 LASSO 的研究。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
12.50%
发文量
52
期刊介绍: Journal of Modelling in Management (JM2) provides a forum for academics and researchers with a strong interest in business and management modelling. The journal analyses the conceptual antecedents and theoretical underpinnings leading to research modelling processes which derive useful consequences in terms of management science, business and management implementation and applications. JM2 is focused on the utilization of management data, which is amenable to research modelling processes, and welcomes academic papers that not only encompass the whole research process (from conceptualization to managerial implications) but also make explicit the individual links between ''antecedents and modelling'' (how to tackle certain problems) and ''modelling and consequences'' (how to apply the models and draw appropriate conclusions). The journal is particularly interested in innovative methodological and statistical modelling processes and those models that result in clear and justified managerial decisions. JM2 specifically promotes and supports research writing, that engages in an academically rigorous manner, in areas related to research modelling such as: A priori theorizing conceptual models, Artificial intelligence, machine learning, Association rule mining, clustering, feature selection, Business analytics: Descriptive, Predictive, and Prescriptive Analytics, Causal analytics: structural equation modeling, partial least squares modeling, Computable general equilibrium models, Computer-based models, Data mining, data analytics with big data, Decision support systems and business intelligence, Econometric models, Fuzzy logic modeling, Generalized linear models, Multi-attribute decision-making models, Non-linear models, Optimization, Simulation models, Statistical decision models, Statistical inference making and probabilistic modeling, Text mining, web mining, and visual analytics, Uncertainty-based reasoning models.
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