Central bank independence, income inequality and poverty: What do the data say?

Jan-Egbert Sturm, Cristina Bodea, Jakob de Haan, Raymond Hicks
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Abstract

This paper examines whether the independence of central banks is related to income inequality and poverty. Following the 2008 financial crisis, independent central banks have been criticized that their actions contribute to an unequal income distribution. Yet, the case can also be made that such independence is orthogonal to income inequality or can even help mitigate it. As proxies for inequality, we employ five-year averages of the Gini coefficient and the poverty gap. Our database consists of a large set of countries, covering a long period. Our fixed effects panel estimates suggest that—despite many claims to the contrary—there is neither a robust relationship between central bank independence and the Gini coefficient nor between independence and the poverty gap. Several robustness checks (using alternative proxies for income inequality and central bank independence, interaction effects, quantile and cross-section regressions) confirm our finding.

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中央银行的独立性、收入不平等和贫困:数据说明了什么?
本文探讨了中央银行的独立性是否与收入不平等和贫困有关。2008 年金融危机爆发后,独立的中央银行受到批评,称其行为导致了收入分配的不平等。然而,也有观点认为这种独立性与收入不平等无关,甚至有助于缓解收入不平等。作为不平等的代用指标,我们采用了基尼系数和贫困差距的五年平均值。我们的数据库由大量国家组成,涵盖的时间跨度很长。我们的固定效应面板估计结果表明--尽管有很多说法与此相反--中央银行独立性与基尼系数之间以及独立性与贫困差距之间都没有稳健的关系。几项稳健性检验(使用收入不平等和中央银行独立性的替代代用指标、交互效应、定量回归和截面回归)证实了我们的结论。
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