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Social gradients in employment during and after the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19 大流行期间和之后的就业社会梯度
Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09645-6
Annette Alstadsæter, Bernt Bratsberg, Simen Markussen, Oddbjørn Raaum, Knut Røed

We examine employment effects of the COVID-19 crisis in Norway from March 2020 through June 2022: during the initial lockdown, through the subsequent recovery, and after the dust had settled. While we identify large and socially skewed effects of the crisis through its early phases, we find no long-term effects on employees exposed to early risk of job loss. For those employed at the onset of the pandemic, both the level and the socioeconomic composition of employment quickly returned to normal. In contrast, we find considerable negative long-term employment effects on people who were neither in employment nor in education when the crisis hit. We argue that these patterns can be explained by social insurance policies that gave priority to protecting existing jobs and to distribute benefits to those who were temporarily laid off. Given the extreme increase in the social insurance caseload, an almost unavoidable side-effect was reduced capacity for providing services to the already non-employed.

我们研究了 2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 6 月期间 COVID-19 危机对挪威就业的影响:最初的封锁期、随后的恢复期以及尘埃落定之后。虽然我们发现危机在早期阶段产生了巨大的社会倾斜效应,但我们并未发现危机对早期面临失业风险的员工产生长期影响。对于那些在大流行病爆发时就业的人来说,就业水平和社会经济构成都很快恢复了正常。与此相反,我们发现危机爆发时既未就业也未接受教育的人受到了相当大的长期就业负面影响。我们认为,这些模式可以用社会保险政策来解释,这些政策优先保护现有的工作岗位,并向那些暂时下岗的人发放福利。由于社会保险的工作量急剧增加,一个几乎不可避免的副作用就是为已经失业的人提供服务的能力下降。
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引用次数: 0
The long and the short of it: inheritance and wealth in Ireland 长与短:爱尔兰的遗产与财富
Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09638-5
Simone Arrigoni, Laura Boyd, Tara McIndoe-Calder

Inheritances matter for wealth accumulation and are often central to policy debates on wealth taxes. Using household level survey data, this paper shows that up to 2020 over one-third of households in Ireland had inherited wealth, the cumulative value of which (€97 billion) accounts for approximately one sixth of current net wealth for these households. However, the impact of inheritance extends beyond its direct value as inheritors tend to be wealthier, with a greater ownership of property. Our analysis shows that inheritances in Ireland contribute little to wealth inequality, and may even have reduced it over time, in line with existing findings for Britain and the United States. Tentative evidence suggests that mechanisms behind this wealth equalising effect may be (i) the importance of inheritances for the acquisition of property assets for middle-wealth households, (ii) the rise of asset prices, especially house prices, and (iii) substitution from employee income to rental income among inheritors.

遗产对财富积累至关重要,通常也是财富税政策辩论的核心。本文利用家庭层面的调查数据显示,截至 2020 年,爱尔兰超过三分之一的家庭继承了财富,其累计价值(970 亿欧元)约占这些家庭当前净财富的六分之一。然而,继承的影响超出了其直接价值,因为继承人往往更富有,拥有更多的财产。我们的分析表明,在爱尔兰,遗产继承对财富不平等的影响很小,甚至可能随着时间的推移而减少,这与英国和美国的现有研究结果一致。初步证据表明,这种财富均衡效应背后的机制可能是:(i) 继承对于中等财富家庭购置财产资产的重要性,(ii) 资产价格尤其是房价的上涨,以及 (iii) 继承人从雇员收入到租金收入的替代。
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引用次数: 0
When perception shapes reality: Effects of perceived income inequality and social mobility on affective polarization 当认知左右现实:感知到的收入不平等和社会流动性对情感极化的影响
Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09641-w
Lion Merten, Jana Niedringhaus

Economic inequality and affective polarization are regarded as crucial factors impacting democratic resilience. However, studies on how the two phenomena are intertwined remain scarce and rely primarily on objective measures of economic inequality, overlooking the important role of subjective perceptions. In this paper, we aim to fill this gap by empirically testing the link between perceptions of income inequality and affective polarization. In addition, we examine whether perceptions of income mobility moderate this relationship in such a way that perceptions of higher income mobility substitute the effect of perceived income inequality on affective polarization. To do so, we conducted a survey experiment (N = 2,717) with a factorial 2 (high vs. low income inequality) × 2 (high vs. low income mobility) design, in which we successfully modified income inequality and mobility perceptions. We find no significant effect of inequality perceptions on affective polarization and, as a consequence, no moderating role of income mobility perceptions in this relationship. Nevertheless, when income inequality is regarded to be high, the perceived level of income mobility seems to matter for the degree of affective polarization: Respondents are significantly more polarized in the high inequality and low mobility treatment than in the high inequality and high mobility treatment.

经济不平等和情感极化被视为影响民主复原力的关键因素。然而,关于这两种现象如何相互交织的研究仍然很少,而且主要依赖于经济不平等的客观衡量标准,忽视了主观认知的重要作用。在本文中,我们旨在通过实证检验收入不平等感与情感极化之间的联系来填补这一空白。此外,我们还研究了对收入流动性的感知是否会缓和这种关系,以至于对较高收入流动性的感知会替代感知到的收入不平等对情感极化的影响。为此,我们进行了一项调查实验(N = 2,717),采用因子 2(高收入不平等与低收入不平等)×2(高收入流动性与低收入流动性)设计,成功地改变了收入不平等和流动性认知。我们发现,不平等观念对情感极化没有明显影响,因此,收入流动性观念在这种关系中也没有调节作用。然而,当收入不平等程度被认为很高时,收入流动性似乎对情感极化程度有影响:在高不平等和低流动性处理中,受访者的极化程度明显高于在高不平等和高流动性处理中。
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引用次数: 0
Central bank independence, income inequality and poverty: What do the data say? 中央银行的独立性、收入不平等和贫困:数据说明了什么?
Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09637-6
Jan-Egbert Sturm, Cristina Bodea, Jakob de Haan, Raymond Hicks

This paper examines whether the independence of central banks is related to income inequality and poverty. Following the 2008 financial crisis, independent central banks have been criticized that their actions contribute to an unequal income distribution. Yet, the case can also be made that such independence is orthogonal to income inequality or can even help mitigate it. As proxies for inequality, we employ five-year averages of the Gini coefficient and the poverty gap. Our database consists of a large set of countries, covering a long period. Our fixed effects panel estimates suggest that—despite many claims to the contrary—there is neither a robust relationship between central bank independence and the Gini coefficient nor between independence and the poverty gap. Several robustness checks (using alternative proxies for income inequality and central bank independence, interaction effects, quantile and cross-section regressions) confirm our finding.

本文探讨了中央银行的独立性是否与收入不平等和贫困有关。2008 年金融危机爆发后,独立的中央银行受到批评,称其行为导致了收入分配的不平等。然而,也有观点认为这种独立性与收入不平等无关,甚至有助于缓解收入不平等。作为不平等的代用指标,我们采用了基尼系数和贫困差距的五年平均值。我们的数据库由大量国家组成,涵盖的时间跨度很长。我们的固定效应面板估计结果表明--尽管有很多说法与此相反--中央银行独立性与基尼系数之间以及独立性与贫困差距之间都没有稳健的关系。几项稳健性检验(使用收入不平等和中央银行独立性的替代代用指标、交互效应、定量回归和截面回归)证实了我们的结论。
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引用次数: 0
Wealth at birth and its effect on child academic achievement and behavioral problems 出生时的财富及其对儿童学业成绩和行为问题的影响
Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09640-x
Luis Faundez, Robert Kaestner

In this article, we examine the association between family wealth and academic achievement and socioemotional behaviors of children ages 5 to 12. We examine whether wealth prior to birth and at ages 4 or 5 affects academic test scores and behavioral problems during two periods of childhood, ages 5 to 8 and ages 9 to 12, for a large and relatively recent cohort of children. We also examine associations between different forms of wealth (e.g., home equity) and child achievement and behaviors. Finally, we assess whether wealth prior to birth mediates racial/ethnic disparities in child achievement and disparities in achievement by maternal education/ability (AFQT). Results of our analysis indicate that wealth, particularly financial wealth that is the most liquid, has a modest positive association with achievement test scores. We also find that wealth is associated with fewer behavioral problems, but these results are less robust.

在本文中,我们研究了家庭财富与 5 至 12 岁儿童的学业成绩和社会情感行为之间的关系。我们研究了一个规模较大且相对较近的儿童群体在出生前和 4 或 5 岁时的财富是否会影响 5 至 8 岁和 9 至 12 岁这两个童年时期的学业考试成绩和行为问题。我们还研究了不同形式的财富(如房屋产权)与儿童成绩和行为之间的关联。最后,我们还评估了出生前的财富是否对儿童成绩中的种族/民族差异以及母亲教育/能力(AFQT)方面的差异起到了中介作用。我们的分析结果表明,财富,尤其是流动性最强的金融财富,与成绩测验分数有适度的正相关。我们还发现,财富与较少的行为问题有关,但这些结果不太稳健。
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引用次数: 0
Characterising life-cycle dynamics of annual days of work, wages, and cross-covariances 年工作日、工资和交叉协变的生命周期动态特征
Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09642-9
Koray Aktaş

This study investigates the dispersion in days worked and wages using a novel semi-parametric specification that minimises assumptions about life-cycle labour income dynamics. After the age of 50, data in Italy show a substantial increase in the dispersion of percentage changes in income, which is remarkably driven by variations in days worked rather than wages. The results demonstrate that the rise is caused by highly persistent changes in the number of days worked. The study also presents an empirical strategy to decompose the cross-covariances of wages and working days to estimate the joint dynamics between the changes in permanent (transitory) wages and days worked. At the age of 28, a 1% increase in permanent wages increases permanent days worked by 0.45%; at the age of 55, the increase is approximately 0.25%. Despite the strong response of days of work to wage shocks early in careers, the correlation coefficients are weak, indicating that wages only explain a small share of variation in permanent days worked.

本研究采用一种新颖的半参数规范,对工作天数和工资的离散性进行了研究,该规范最大限度地减少了对生命周期劳动收入动态的假设。意大利的数据显示,50 岁以后,收入百分比变化的离散度大幅增加,其显著驱动因素是工作天数而非工资的变化。研究结果表明,这种增长是由工作天数的高度持续性变化引起的。研究还提出了一种经验策略,即分解工资和工作日的交叉协方差,以估算永久(过渡)工资和工作日变化之间的共同动态。在 28 岁时,永久性工资每增加 1%,永久性工作日就会增加 0.45%;在 55 岁时,增加幅度约为 0.25%。尽管工作天数在职业生涯早期对工资冲击的反应很强烈,但相关系数很弱,表明工资只能解释长期工作天数变化的一小部分。
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引用次数: 0
Distributional national accounts for Australia, 1991–2018 1991-2018 年澳大利亚国民账户分布情况
Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09632-x
Matthew Fisher-Post, Nicolas Hérault, Roger Wilkins

We produce estimates of the full distribution of all national income in Australia for the period 1991 to 2018, by combining household survey with administrative tax microdata and making adjustments to match National Accounts aggregates. We find that inequality of post-tax national income is lower and increased less than inequality of survey-based (post-transfer, disposable) income between 1991 and 2018. International comparisons reveal that Australian inequality is much lower than that of the United States, while it is similar to that of France, with those at the bottom of the income distribution faring noticeably better in France and Australia than in the US.

通过将住户调查与行政税收微观数据相结合,并进行调整以匹配国民账户总量,我们得出了 1991 年至 2018 年期间澳大利亚所有国民收入全面分配的估计值。我们发现,1991 年至 2018 年期间,税后国民收入的不平等程度低于基于调查的(转移后、可支配)收入的不平等程度,且增长幅度较小。国际比较显示,澳大利亚的不平等程度远低于美国,而与法国相似,收入分配最底层的人在法国和澳大利亚的情况明显好于美国。
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引用次数: 0
Fairness with unequal productive skills among other-regarding individuals 公平对待生产技能不平等的他人
Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09635-8
Aitor Calo-Blanco

This paper deals with the fair ranking of allocations when individuals endowed with heterogeneous skills have other-regarding preferences over the average consumption of the other members of society. By assuming that such preferences matter for equality, we construct three social ordering functions that aim to reduce differences which originate in unequal productivities. These functions seek to maximise the smallest value of an interpersonally comparable measure of individual well-being that is related to a situation which involves neither unfair opportunities nor inequalities in consumption. More importantly, they provide society with different options at the time of making welfare evaluations when individuals are endowed with unequal productive skills and heterogeneous preferences.

本文探讨的是,当拥有异质技能的个人对社会其他成员的平均消费有其他偏好时,如何对分配进行公平排序。通过假定这种偏好对平等很重要,我们构建了三种社会排序函数,旨在减少源于不平等生产力的差异。这些函数寻求最大化个人福祉的人际可比衡量标准的最小值,该衡量标准与既不涉及机会不公平也不涉及消费不平等的情况相关。更重要的是,当个人拥有不平等的生产技能和不同的偏好时,它们为社会在进行福利评估时提供了不同的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Functional distribution, personal income inequality, and top shares of income: do social classes still matter? 功能分配、个人收入不平等和最高收入份额:社会阶层是否仍然重要?
Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09633-w
Luca Giangregorio, Davide Villani

This paper aims at providing new evidence about the link between personal and functional distribution and top-shares composition. We apply a novel class scheme based on two key features of contemporary capitalism i.e., individuals/households receiving multiple types of incomes, and the role of managers. The empirical application in Germany, Spain, and Italy over the period 2000–2017 reveals two main results. First, we observe a direct link between personal and functional distributions. A marginal increase in wages received by labourers would reduce inequality, whereas those received by capitalist households would increase it. Second, we find that a significant portion of labour income at the top of the income distribution corresponds to wages received by capitalist households. We conclude that although the linear correspondence between income source and class location is more blurred today than it was 200 years ago, a class divide is still clear and more prominent than what is often indicated in the literature.

本文旨在为个人和职能分配与顶层股份构成之间的联系提供新的证据。我们根据当代资本主义的两个主要特征,即获得多种类型收入的个人/家庭以及经理人的作用,采用了一种新颖的分类方法。2000-2017 年间在德国、西班牙和意大利的实证应用揭示了两个主要结果。首先,我们观察到个人分配与职能分配之间存在直接联系。劳动者工资的边际增长会减少不平等,而资本家家庭的工资则会增加不平等。其次,我们发现在收入分配的顶端,劳动收入的很大一部分与资本家家庭获得的工资相对应。我们的结论是,尽管收入来源与阶级位置之间的线性对应关系在今天比 200 年前更加模糊,但阶级鸿沟依然明显,而且比文献中经常提到的更加突出。
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引用次数: 0
When government’s economic ideology shapes income redistribution. Empirical evidence from the OECD 当政府的经济意识形态左右收入再分配时。经合组织的经验证据
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10888-024-09634-9
Juan A. Román-Aso, Héctor Bellido, Lorena Olmos

This paper studies the relationship between Government´s economic ideology and income redistribution, using a panel of OECD countries spanning the years 2004–2020. Our results point to the existence of a partisan effect, showing that taxes and transfer policies implemented by parties on the left reduce income inequality more than those of parties on the right. Other political and electoral factors (the proximity of the elections, the number of years for which the chief executive has been in office, and the presence of coalitional and minority governments) do not seem to be as relevant. We also analyze the role that the Great Recession and the globalization process have played in the relationship between Government´s economic ideology and income redistribution, finding that they have significantly altered it.

本文利用 2004-2020 年经合组织国家的面板数据,研究了政府的经济意识形态与收入再分配之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明存在党派效应,左翼政党实施的税收和转移政策比右翼政党实施的政策更能减少收入不平等。其他政治和选举因素(选举时间的远近、行政长官的执政年限、联合政府和少数派政府的存在)似乎与此并无关系。我们还分析了大衰退和全球化进程在政府的经济意识形态与收入再分配之间的关系中所扮演的角色,发现它们在很大程度上改变了这种关系。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Journal of Economic Inequality
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