Explaining change in linguistic voting: The case of Catalonia

IF 1.5 2区 社会学 Q2 ETHNIC STUDIES Nations and Nationalism Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI:10.1111/nana.13041
Lluis Orriols, Pablo Simón
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Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the evolving impact of linguistic voting and its relationship with values and preferences in Catalonia. Our central argument posits that both bottom‐up and top‐down dynamics serve as complementary and interactive explanations for ethnolinguistic voting. On the one hand, it could be expected that, over time, the influence of language on party choice would diminish as Catalan became more widespread among the population. On the other, we expect polarisation to push in the opposite direction, increasing the significance of language in party voting through national identity, strategically activated by political elites. We empirically demonstrate that language has remained a strong predictor of the nationalist vote using data on regional elections in Catalonia from the Center for Sociological Research (Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas, CIS). We show that a key mechanism accounting for this relates to parties' strategies to shape the linkage between language and identity, thereby polarising the political competition.
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解释语言投票的变化:加泰罗尼亚的案例
在本文中,我们研究了加泰罗尼亚地区语言投票的演变影响及其与价值观和偏好的关系。我们的中心论点是,自下而上和自上而下的动态变化是对民族语言投票的互补和互动解释。一方面,随着加泰罗尼亚语在人口中的普及,语言对政党选择的影响会逐渐减弱。另一方面,我们预计两极分化会向相反的方向发展,在政治精英的战略推动下,通过民族认同增加语言在政党投票中的重要性。我们利用社会学研究中心(Centro de Investigaciones Sociológas,CIS)提供的加泰罗尼亚地区选举数据,通过实证研究证明,语言仍然是民族主义投票的有力预测因素。我们表明,造成这种情况的一个关键机制与政党塑造语言和身份之间联系的策略有关,从而使政治竞争两极化。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
22.70%
发文量
106
期刊介绍: Nationalism is one of the central issues of the modern world. Since the demise of the Soviet Union there has been a proliferation of nationalist and ethnic conflicts. The consequent explosion of interest in ethnicity and nationalism has created an urgent need for systematic study in this field. Nations and Nationalism aims to satisfy this need. As a scholarly, multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary journal, it is designed to respond to the rapid growth of research in the study of nationalism and nationalist movements throughout the world.
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