Cross-Country Comparative Analysis of Climate Resilience and Localized Mapping in Data-Sparse Regions

Abstract

Climate resilience across sectors varies significantly in low-income countries (LICs), with agriculture being the most vulnerable to climate change. Existing studies typically focus on individual countries, offering limited insights into broader cross-country patterns of adaptation and vulnerability. This paper addresses these gaps by introducing a framework for cross-country comparative analysis of sectoral climate resilience using meta-analysis and cross-country panel data techniques. The study identifies shared vulnerabilities and adaptation strategies across LICs, enabling more effective policy design. Additionally, a novel localized climate-agriculture mapping technique is developed, integrating sparse agricultural data with high-resolution satellite imagery to generate fine-grained maps of agricultural productivity under climate stress. Spatial interpolation methods, such as kriging, are used to address data gaps, providing detailed insights into regional agricultural productivity and resilience. The findings offer policymakers tools to prioritize climate adaptation efforts and optimize resource allocation both regionally and nationally.