Underpinnings of reservoir and techno-economic analysis for Himalayan and Son-Narmada-Tapti geothermal sites of India

Abstract

The high capital cost and risks associated with the extraction process of geothermal energy are key factors in the project economics. This paper presents a comprehensive technoeconomic study based on reservoir heat and flow simulations along with the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for two geothermal sites (Himalayan and Son-Narmada-Tapti i.e. SONATA) in India.

Dual porosity reservoir simulation models were constructed and were used to obtain the cumulative and the dynamic thermal energy potentials of these sites. The simulation studies suggest that both sites are equally potent for geothermal energy extraction. Comparatively, the proven cumulative energy potentials for the Himalayan and SONATA sites are found to be 4.92–5.10 and 3.62–3.7 TW h, respectively, for the 30 years of production at a rate of 92 kg/s. This difference can be attributed mainly to higher temperatures and deeper sites at the Himalayan Province. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of various parameters, including porosity, permeability, fracture spacing, and thermal conductivity. The results suggest that porosity and permeability are the key enablers of efficient energy production. The economic feasibility study suggests that the LCOE costs are high for these sites ($148/MWh for the Himalayan and $137/MWh for the SONATA). These two sites have CO₂ mitigation potential in the range of 3.12 and 11.36 Megatons from a single doublet well configuration considering the CO₂ emissions from conventional coal-fired thermal power plants. Overall, SONATA can be the better prospect considering the logistics and operational challenges along with reservoir heat potential.