Optimised prediction of tunnel fire heat release rate using the ResNet18_2CLSTM model with bagging for multimodal data

Abstract

Accurate predictions of HRR will improve preparedness and response strategies, enhance safety, and minimise damage in tunnel fires. In this study, a deep learning prediction model for HRR under multimodal data fusion is proposed. A multimodal dataset is first established to obtain flame images and flue gas time series data through model-scale tunnel fire experiments. During the model training process, ResNet18 was used to extract features from the flame image, and 2CLSTM was employed to understand the time series of the flame image features and flue gas features to establish the correlation with the HRR. It was evaluated that the error analyses of the measured and predicted values of the validation set yielded R² greater than 0.85, with errors and standard deviations less than 4 kW. And the model predicted better in the flame growth and decay phases. However, there is some deviation in the predictions near the peak HRR. To address this issue, the Bagging algorithm was introduced to optimise the model. The results show that the ResNet18_2CLSTM model with Bagging reduces the RMSE by 20.47 % and increases the R² by 4.64 % compared to the original model, and the accuracy is greatly improved.