The predictive value of nomogram for adnexal cystic-solid masses based on O-RADS US, clinical and laboratory indicators.

Abstract

Background: Ovarian cancer remains a leading cause of death among women, largely due to its asymptomatic early stages and high mortality when diagnosed late. Early detection significantly improves survival rates, and the Ovarian-Adnexal Reporting and Data System Ultrasound (O-RADS US) is currently the most commonly used method, but has limitations in specificity and accuracy. While O-RADS US has standardized reporting, its sensitivity can lead to the misdiagnosis of benign masses as malignant, resulting in overtreatment. This study aimed to construct a nomogram model based on the O-RADS US and clinical and laboratory indicators to predict the malignancy risk of adnexal cystic-solid masses.

Methods: This retrospective study collected data from patients with adnexal cystic-solid masses who underwent ultrasonography and were pathologically confirmed between January 2021 and December 2023 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University. They were categorized into benign and malignant groups according to pathological findings. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used to select the most relevant predictors of ovarian cancer. A nomogram model was constructed, and its diagnostic performance was calculated. We bootstrapped the data 500 times to perform internal verification, drew a calibration curve to verify the prediction ability, and performed a decision curve analysis to assess clinical usefulness.

Results: A total of 399 patients with adnexal cystic-solid masses were included in this study: 327 in the benign group and 72 in the malignant group. Five predictors associated with the risk of malignancy of adnexal cystic-solid masses were selected using LASSO regression: O-RADS, acoustic shadowing, postmenopausal status, CA125, and HE4. The area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive and negative predictive values of the nomogram were 0.909, 83.3%, 82.9%, 83.0%, 51.7%, and 95.8%, respectively. The calibration curve of the nomogram showed good consistency between the predicted and actual probabilities, and the decision curve showed good clinical usefulness.

Conclusion: The nomogram model based on O-RADS US and clinical and laboratory indicators can be used to predict the risk of malignancy in adnexal cystic-solid masses, with high predictive performance, good calibration, and clinical usefulness.