The cost of not investing in the next 1000 days: implications for policy and practice

Milagros Nores, Claudia Vazquez, Emily Gustafsson-Wright, Sarah Osborne, Jorge Cuartas, Mark J Lambiris, Dana C McCoy, Florencia Lopez-Boo, Jere Behrman, Raquel Bernal, Catherine E Draper, Anthony D Okely, Mark S Tremblay, Aisha K Yousafzai, Joan Lombardi, Günther Fink
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Abstract

Building on the evidence from the first paper in this Series highlighting the fundamental importance of healthy and nurturing environments for children's growth and development in the next 1000 days (ages 2–5 years), this paper summarises the benefits and costs of key strategies to support children's development in this age range. The next 1000 days build on the family-based and health-sector based interventions provided in the first 1000 days and require broader multisectoral programming. Interventions that have been shown to be particularly effective in this age range are the provision of early childhood care and education (ECCE), parenting interventions, and cash transfers. We show that a minimum package of 1 year of ECCE for all children would cost on average less than 0·15% of low-income and middle-income countries' current gross domestic product. The societal cost of not implementing this package at a national and global level (ie, the cost of inaction) is large, with an estimated forgone benefit of 8–19 times the cost of investing in ECCE. We discuss implications of the overall evidence presented in this Series for policy and practice, highlighting the potential of ECCE programming in the next 1000 days as an intervention itself, as well as a platform to deliver developmental screening, growth monitoring, and additional locally required interventions. Providing nurturing care during this period is crucial for maintaining and further boosting children's progress in the first 1000 days, and to allow children to reach optimal developmental trajectories from a socioecological life-course perspective.
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未来 1000 天不投资的代价:对政策和实践的影响
本系列的第一篇论文强调了健康和有教养的环境对儿童在未来 1000 天(2-5 岁)的成长和发展的根本重要性,在此基础上,本论文总结了支持这一年龄段儿童发展的主要战略的益处和成本。接下来的 1000 天建立在前 1000 天以家庭和卫生部门为基础的干预措施之上,需要更广泛的多部门计划。已证明对这一年龄段儿童特别有效的干预措施包括提供幼儿保育和教育(ECCE)、育儿干预和现金转移。我们的研究表明,为所有儿童提供至少 1 年的幼儿保育和教育一揽子计划的平均成本不到低收入和中等收入国家当前国内生产总值的 0-15%。在国家和全球层面不实施这套方案的社会成本(即不作为的成本)是巨大的,估计放弃的收益是幼儿保育和教育投资成本的 8-19 倍。我们讨论了本《丛书》中提供的总体证据对政策和实践的影响,强调了幼儿保育和教育计划在未来 1000 天中作为干预措施本身的潜力,以及作为提供发育筛查、成长监测和当地所需的其他干预措施的平台的潜力。从社会生态生命历程的角度来看,在这一时期提供培养性保育对于保持和进一步促进儿童在最初 1000 天的进步以及让儿童达到最佳发展轨迹至关重要。
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