Ferritin at admission as a prognostic marker in older adults hospitalized for COVID-19: A retrospective cohort study

Janet Ramírez Torres , Ana Luisa Sanchez Arizmendi , César J. Serrano Andrade , Carlos D. Coronado-Alvarado
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Abstract

Background: Older adults remain vulnerable to COVID-19 waves, particularly in low-income countries with health disparities, so the discovery and validation of accessible clinical tools are required. Despite the expected changes associated with aging, little has been studied on ferritinemia as a prognostic marker, specifically in this population. Objective: Evaluate the use of serum ferritin levels at hospital admission as a prognostic marker in older adults hospitalized for COVID-19. Material and methods: This monocentric study included people over 60 hospitalized for COVID-19 between 2021 and 2022. Disease presence was assessed with polymerase chain reaction and ferritin with spectrophotometry. Multiple logistic regression models, as well as ROC and Kaplan-Meier curves, were used. Results: In 239 older adults, the association between serum ferritin and mortality was modified by the presence of clinical severity data at admission, being a poor prognosis factor only for those with severe COVID-19 (OR=2.82, p = 0.028, controlling for age and immunization doses). The best cut-off point was 355 ng/dl (Sensitivity: 88.3 %; Specificity: 27.4 %). However, there were no differences in survival curves. Conclusions: Serum ferritin levels could help guide therapeutic decisions in older adults with severe COVID-19 but do not predict mortality independently.
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入院时铁蛋白作为COVID-19住院老年人的预后标志物:一项回顾性队列研究
背景:老年人仍然容易受到COVID-19浪潮的影响,特别是在存在卫生差距的低收入国家,因此需要发现和验证可获得的临床工具。尽管预期与衰老相关的变化,很少研究铁蛋白血症作为预后标志物,特别是在这一人群中。目的:评价入院时血清铁蛋白水平作为COVID-19住院老年人预后指标的作用。材料和方法:这项单中心研究包括了在2021年至2022年期间因COVID-19住院的60岁以上的人。用聚合酶链反应和铁蛋白分光光度法评估疾病的存在。采用多元logistic回归模型、ROC曲线和Kaplan-Meier曲线。结果:239例老年人中,血清铁蛋白与死亡率之间的相关性因入院时临床严重程度数据的存在而被修正,仅在重症COVID-19患者中成为不良预后因素(OR=2.82, p = 0.028,控制年龄和免疫剂量)。最佳临界值为355 ng/dl(灵敏度:88.3%;特异性:27.4%)。然而,在生存曲线上没有差异。结论:血清铁蛋白水平可以帮助指导老年重症COVID-19患者的治疗决策,但不能独立预测死亡率。
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