Machine learning helps reveal key factors affecting tire wear particulate matter emissions

IF 9.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environment International Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-19 DOI:10.1016/j.envint.2024.109224
Zhenyu Jia , Jiawei Yin , Tiange Fang , Zhiwen Jiang , Chongzhi Zhong , Zeping Cao , Lin Wu , Ning Wei , Zhengyu Men , Lei Yang , Qijun Zhang , Hongjun Mao
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Abstract

Tire wear particles (TWPs) are generated with every rotation of the tire. However, obtaining TWPs under real driving conditions and revealing key factors affecting TWPs are challenging. In this study, we obtained a TWPs dataset by simulating tire wear process under real driving conditions using a tire wear simulator and custom-designed test conditions. This study shows that tire wear PM2.5 accounts for about 65 % of PM10. The response relationship between TWP emissions (both PM2.5 and PM2.5-10) and factors (the radial force, the lateral force, the tangential force, speed, driving torque, tire contact area, total contour length and tire tread temperature) was obtained by machine learning (ML) method. The random forest (RF) model was developed and displayed good prediction performance with an R2 of 0.84 and 0.78 for PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 on the test set, respectively. Model-related (similarity network graph) and model-unrelated (partial dependence plots and centered-individual conditional expectation plots) explainability methods were used to break the black box of ML. Model explainability results show that the feature parameters-emission response relationships for tire wear PM2.5 and PM2.5-10 are different. Avoiding strenuous driving behaviors (TTF < 400 N, TLF < 400 N), reducing tread temperature (T < 45℃), and minimizing the number of small tread patterns are feasible ways to reduce TWPs.

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机器学习有助于揭示影响轮胎磨损颗粒物排放的关键因素
轮胎每次旋转都会产生轮胎磨损颗粒(twp)。然而,在真实驾驶条件下获取twp并揭示影响twp的关键因素是具有挑战性的。在本研究中,我们使用轮胎磨损模拟器和定制的测试条件模拟真实驾驶条件下的轮胎磨损过程,获得TWPs数据集。本研究表明,轮胎磨损PM2.5约占PM10的65% %。采用机器学习(ML)方法,得到TWP排放(PM2.5和PM2.5-10)与径向力、侧向力、切向力、速度、驱动转矩、轮胎接触面积、总轮廓长度和轮胎胎面温度等因素的响应关系。建立了随机森林(random forest, RF)模型,在测试集上对PM2.5和PM2.5-10的预测R2分别为0.84和0.78,显示出良好的预测性能。采用模型相关(相似网络图)和模型不相关(部分依赖图和中心个体条件期望图)的可解释性方法打破机器学习的黑箱。模型可解释性结果表明,PM2.5和PM2.5-10轮胎磨损特征参数-排放响应关系不同。避免剧烈驾驶行为(TTF <;400 N, TLF <;400 N),降低胎面温度(T <;45℃)和减少胎面花纹数量是降低twp的可行途径。
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来源期刊
Environment International
Environment International 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
21.90
自引率
3.40%
发文量
734
审稿时长
2.8 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Health publishes manuscripts focusing on critical aspects of environmental and occupational medicine, including studies in toxicology and epidemiology, to illuminate the human health implications of exposure to environmental hazards. The journal adopts an open-access model and practices open peer review. It caters to scientists and practitioners across all environmental science domains, directly or indirectly impacting human health and well-being. With a commitment to enhancing the prevention of environmentally-related health risks, Environmental Health serves as a public health journal for the community and scientists engaged in matters of public health significance concerning the environment.
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