Deep learning for enhanced risk management: a novel approach to analyzing financial reports.

IF 2.5 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE PeerJ Computer Science Pub Date : 2025-01-27 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.7717/peerj-cs.2661
Xiangting Shi, Yakang Zhang, Manning Yu, Lihao Zhang
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Abstract

Risk management is a critical component of today's financial environment because of the enormity and complexity of data contained in financial statements. Business situations, plans, and schedule risk assessment with the help of conventional ways which involve analytical, technical, and heuristic models are inadequate to address the complex structures of the latest data. This research brings out the Hybrid Financial Risk Predictor (HFRP) model, using the convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long-short term memory (LSTM) networks to improve financial risk prediction. A combination of quantitative and qualitative ratings derived from the analysis of financial texts results in high accuracy and stability compared with the HFRP model. Evaluating key findings, the quantity of training & testing loss decreased considerably and they have their final value as 0.0013 and 0.003, respectively. According to the hypothesis, the selected HFRP model demonstrates the values of the revenue, net income, and earnings per share (EPS), and are closely similar to the actual values. The model achieves substantial risk mitigation: credit risk lowered from 0.75 to 0.20, liquidity risk from 0.70 to 0.25, market risk from 0.65 to 0.30, while operational risk is at 0.80 to 0.35. By analyzing the results of the HFRP model, it can be stated that the proposal promotes improved financial stability and presents a reliable model for the contemporary financial markets, which in turn helps in making sound decisions and improve the assessment of risks.

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加强风险管理的深度学习:分析财务报告的新方法。
风险管理是当今金融环境的一个重要组成部分,因为财务报表中包含的数据庞大而复杂。利用传统方法(包括分析、技术和启发式模型)进行业务情况、计划和进度风险评估,不足以处理最新数据的复杂结构。本研究提出了混合金融风险预测(HFRP)模型,利用卷积神经网络(CNN)和长短期记忆(LSTM)网络来改进金融风险预测。与HFRP模型相比,从财务文本分析中得出的定量和定性评级的结合具有较高的准确性和稳定性。评估关键发现,培训和测试损失的数量显著减少,它们的最终值分别为0.0013和0.003。根据假设,所选择的HFRP模型展示了收入,净收入和每股收益(EPS)的值,并且与实际值非常接近。该模型实现了显著的风险缓解:信用风险从0.75降至0.20,流动性风险从0.70降至0.25,市场风险从0.65降至0.30,操作风险从0.80降至0.35。通过分析HFRP模型的结果,可以说,该提案促进了金融稳定性的提高,并为当代金融市场提供了一个可靠的模型,这反过来有助于做出合理的决策,提高风险评估。
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来源期刊
PeerJ Computer Science
PeerJ Computer Science Computer Science-General Computer Science
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
5.30%
发文量
332
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊介绍: PeerJ Computer Science is the new open access journal covering all subject areas in computer science, with the backing of a prestigious advisory board and more than 300 academic editors.
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