Predicting Institute Graduation Rate using Evolutionary Computing and Machine Learning

Mala H. Mehta , N.C. Chauhan , Anu Gokhale
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Abstract

There are diverse parameters available for measuring performance of an academic institute. Graduation rate of an institute is an important indicator of institute’s success. It is essential to understand which factors lead to better graduation rates. Hence, a prediction system which helps institutes well in advance to avoid poor graduation rate is required. In this study, a novel adaptive dimensionality reduction model is proposed using evolutionary computing and machine learning to better predict institute graduation rate. This work has explored the feature optimization capacity of evolutionary algorithm with weight assignment approach to each dimension. A high dimensional dataset is considered for analyzing attributes that affect institute graduation rates. Proposed model uses adaptive approach of incrementing weights of contributing features which lead to minimum error. Experimental results show that proposed model yields optimum dimensions, low execution time and minimum error. Predictive analysis presented could lead to useful future directions for education domain stakeholders.
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利用进化计算和机器学习预测学院毕业率
衡量学术机构绩效的参数多种多样。高校毕业率是衡量高校成功与否的重要指标。了解哪些因素导致更高的毕业率是至关重要的。因此,有必要建立提前帮助大学避免低毕业率的预测系统。本文提出了一种基于进化计算和机器学习的自适应降维模型,以更好地预测高校毕业率。本工作探讨了采用权重分配方法的进化算法在各维度上的特征优化能力。考虑了一个高维数据集来分析影响学院毕业率的属性。该模型采用自适应方法增加贡献特征的权重,使误差最小。实验结果表明,该模型具有最佳的尺寸、较短的执行时间和最小的误差。提出的预测分析可以为教育领域的利益相关者指明有用的未来方向。
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