Vitor Lavor, Jianjian Wei, Omduth Coceal, Sue Grimmond, Zhiwen Luo
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
In epidemiological prospective modelling, assessing the hypothetical infectious quanta emission rate (Eq) is critical for estimating airborne infection risk. Existing Eq models overlook environmental factors such as indoor relative humidity (RH) and temperature (T), despite their importance to droplet evaporation dynamics. Here we include these environmental factors in a prospective Eq model based on the airborne probability functions with emitted droplet distribution for speaking and coughing activities. Our results show relative humidity and temperature have substantial influence on Eq. Drier environments exhibit a notable increase in suspended droplets (cf. moist environments), with Eq having a 10-fold increase when RH decreases from 90 % to 20 % for coughing and a 2-fold increase for speaking at a representative summer temperature (T = 25° C). In warmer environments, Eq values are consistently higher (cf. colder), with increases of up to 22 % for coughing and 9 % for speaking. This indicates temperature has a smaller impact than humidity. We demonstrate that indoor environmental conditions are important when quantifying the quanta emission rate using a prospective method. This is essential for assessing airborne infection risk.
期刊介绍:
Environmental Health publishes manuscripts focusing on critical aspects of environmental and occupational medicine, including studies in toxicology and epidemiology, to illuminate the human health implications of exposure to environmental hazards. The journal adopts an open-access model and practices open peer review.
It caters to scientists and practitioners across all environmental science domains, directly or indirectly impacting human health and well-being. With a commitment to enhancing the prevention of environmentally-related health risks, Environmental Health serves as a public health journal for the community and scientists engaged in matters of public health significance concerning the environment.