[Migration from East to West Germany: intention and realization. A sequential probit model with unobserved heterogeneity controls].

F Buchel, J Schwarze
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Abstract

"This study investigated migrations from eastern to western Germany. Using a sequential decision model we first examined which persons expressed the intention of wanting to move from eastern to western Germany. Then, using unobserved heterogeneity controls we determined at the same time which persons of those willing to move actually did so later.... Once the intention to move has been declared...those who are well-qualified, short-time workers and persons who feel threatened by unemployment as well as persons with relatives in western Germany more often than average do in fact realise this intention. Commuters also have a very high rate of realisation." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND FRE AND RUS)

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从东德到西德的移民:意图与实现。一个具有未观察到异质性控制的序列概率模型]。
“这项研究调查了从德国东部到西部的移民。使用顺序决策模型,我们首先检查了哪些人表达了想要从德国东部搬到西部的意图。然后,使用未观察到的异质性控制,我们同时确定那些愿意移动的人中哪些人后来真的这样做了....一旦宣布搬家的意向……那些合格的短期工人和感到失业威胁的人以及在德国西部有亲戚的人实际上比一般人更经常地意识到这一意图。通勤者的认知率也很高。”(英文、英文及中文摘要)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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[Migration from East to West Germany: intention and realization. A sequential probit model with unobserved heterogeneity controls]. [Employment of cross-border workers in the Federal Republic of Germany]. [On the demographic and economic effects of migration to the Federal Republic of Germany in the past and in the future]. [The long-term development of labor force potential using alternative assumptions of (net) migration to Germany]. [East-west migration: causes and trends. Federal Republic of Germany and Austria].
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