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Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung最新文献

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[Migration from East to West Germany: intention and realization. A sequential probit model with unobserved heterogeneity controls]. 从东德到西德的移民:意图与实现。一个具有未观察到异质性控制的序列概率模型]。
F Buchel, J Schwarze

"This study investigated migrations from eastern to western Germany. Using a sequential decision model we first examined which persons expressed the intention of wanting to move from eastern to western Germany. Then, using unobserved heterogeneity controls we determined at the same time which persons of those willing to move actually did so later.... Once the intention to move has been declared...those who are well-qualified, short-time workers and persons who feel threatened by unemployment as well as persons with relatives in western Germany more often than average do in fact realise this intention. Commuters also have a very high rate of realisation." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND FRE AND RUS)

“这项研究调查了从德国东部到西部的移民。使用顺序决策模型,我们首先检查了哪些人表达了想要从德国东部搬到西部的意图。然后,使用未观察到的异质性控制,我们同时确定那些愿意移动的人中哪些人后来真的这样做了....一旦宣布搬家的意向……那些合格的短期工人和感到失业威胁的人以及在德国西部有亲戚的人实际上比一般人更经常地意识到这一意图。通勤者的认知率也很高。”(英文、英文及中文摘要)
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引用次数: 0
[The long-term development of labor force potential using alternative assumptions of (net) migration to Germany]. [利用(净)移民到德国的替代假设,劳动力潜力的长期发展]。
R H Dinkel, U Lebok

"Using model calculations to the year 2050, this paper shows the decisive role that assumptions on future (net) migration to Germany will play in the long-term development of the labor force potential. The particular focus of this paper is to point out the importance of (net) migration not only in terms of absolute figures, but more importantly in terms of the age and gender structure. The annual net migration of 500,000 or 250,000 persons leads, depending on the assumption of its age structure, to extreme differences in the long-term development of the labor force potential." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND FRE AND RUS)

“通过对2050年的模型计算,本文显示了对德国未来(净)移民的假设将在劳动力潜力的长期发展中发挥决定性作用。”本文的特别重点是指出(净)移民的重要性,不仅在绝对数字方面,而且更重要的是在年龄和性别结构方面。根据年龄结构的假设,每年50万或25万人的净迁移导致劳动力潜力长期发展的极端差异。”(英文、英文及中文摘要)
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引用次数: 0
[On the demographic and economic effects of migration to the Federal Republic of Germany in the past and in the future]. [关于过去和将来移民到德意志联邦共和国的人口和经济影响]。
W Klauder

"The aim of this paper is to provide a survey of the previous and possible future global effects of net immigration on economic growth and the labor market from a macroeconomic point of view....First, some fundamentals relating to the expected economic effects of migration are briefly examined. There follows--in the first main section--a retrospective view of the development of economy and immigration in...[Germany] based on a statistical comparison and existing simulations with macroeconomic models. In the second main section the effects of further migration are discussed on the basis of population and labor market projections." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND FRE AND RUS)

“本文的目的是从宏观经济的角度对净移民对经济增长和劳动力市场的过去和未来可能的全球影响进行调查....首先,简要审查了与移民的预期经济影响有关的一些基本原则。接下来——在第一个主要部分——对……的经济发展和移民进行回顾。[德国]基于统计比较和现有的宏观经济模型模拟。在第二个主要部分中,根据人口和劳动力市场预测讨论了进一步移民的影响。(英文、英文及中文摘要)
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引用次数: 0
[Employment of cross-border workers in the Federal Republic of Germany]. [在德意志联邦共和国雇用跨境工人]。
H Werner

The author analyzes the cross-border movement of labor migrants in Germany. The impact of increased integration among European Community countries is considered, and the pressure of migration from neighboring Eastern European countries is discussed. "Employment of workers from border regions [provides the] possibility of meeting the labour demand in the region, of alleviating the pressure to migrate by legalizing inflows and of balancing the interests of employers and cross-border workers, thus avoiding some of the negative side-effects or social costs of traditional labour migration." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND FRE AND RUS)

作者分析了德国劳工移民的跨境流动。本文考虑了欧共体国家之间日益一体化的影响,并讨论了来自邻近东欧国家的移民压力。“雇用来自边境地区的工人提供了满足该地区劳动力需求的可能性,通过使流入合法化来减轻移民压力,平衡雇主和跨境工人的利益,从而避免传统劳动力迁移的一些负面副作用或社会成本。”(英文、英文及中文摘要)
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引用次数: 0
[East-west migration: causes and trends. Federal Republic of Germany and Austria]. 东西迁移:原因和趋势。德意志联邦共和国和奥地利]。
E Honekopp
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引用次数: 0
[The employment of foreigners and policy toward foreigners in France]. [外国人在法国的就业和对外国人的政策]。
H Werner
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引用次数: 0
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