Remarkable properties for diagnostics and inference of ranking data modelling

IF 1.5 3区 心理学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS British Journal of Mathematical & Statistical Psychology Pub Date : 2022-02-07 DOI:10.1111/bmsp.12260
Cristina Mollica, Luca Tardella
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Abstract

The Plackett-Luce model (PL) for ranked data assumes the forward order of the ranking process. This hypothesis postulates that the ranking process of the items is carried out by sequentially assigning the positions from the top (most liked) to the bottom (least liked) alternative. This assumption has been recently relaxed with the Extended Plackett-Luce model (EPL) through the introduction of the discrete reference order parameter, describing the rank attribution path. By starting from two formal properties of the EPL, the former related to the inverse ordering of the item probabilities at the first and last stage of the ranking process and the latter well-known as independence of irrelevant alternatives (or Luce's choice axiom), we derive novel diagnostic tools for testing the appropriateness of the EPL assumption as the actual sampling distribution of the observed rankings. These diagnostic tools can help uncovering possible idiosyncratic paths in the sequential choice process. Besides contributing to fill the gap of goodness-of-fit methods for the family of multistage models, we also show how one of the two statistics can be conveniently exploited to construct a heuristic method, that surrogates the maximum likelihood approach for inferring the underlying reference order parameter. The relative performance of the proposals, compared with more conventional approaches, is illustrated by means of extensive simulation studies.

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排序数据建模诊断和推理的显著特性
排序数据的Plackett-Luce模型(PL)采用排序过程的前向顺序。这个假设假设项目的排名过程是通过从顶部(最受欢迎)到底部(最不受欢迎)的顺序分配位置来执行的。最近,扩展Plackett-Luce模型(EPL)通过引入离散参考顺序参数来描述等级归因路径,从而放宽了这一假设。从EPL的两个正式性质出发,前者与排名过程的第一和最后阶段的项目概率的逆排序有关,后者被称为无关选项的独立性(或Luce选择公理),我们推导出新的诊断工具,用于测试EPL假设作为观察到的排名的实际抽样分布的适当性。这些诊断工具可以帮助发现顺序选择过程中可能的特殊路径。除了有助于填补多阶段模型家族的拟合优度方法的空白之外,我们还展示了如何方便地利用两种统计量中的一种来构建启发式方法,该方法替代最大似然方法来推断潜在的参考顺序参数。通过大量的仿真研究,说明了这些方法的相对性能,并与更传统的方法进行了比较。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
3.80%
发文量
34
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology publishes articles relating to areas of psychology which have a greater mathematical or statistical aspect of their argument than is usually acceptable to other journals including: • mathematical psychology • statistics • psychometrics • decision making • psychophysics • classification • relevant areas of mathematics, computing and computer software These include articles that address substantitive psychological issues or that develop and extend techniques useful to psychologists. New models for psychological processes, new approaches to existing data, critiques of existing models and improved algorithms for estimating the parameters of a model are examples of articles which may be favoured.
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