A system dynamic model for Indonesian petrochemical industry emission reduction

Endang Sylvia, Y. Sunitiyoso
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Abstract

Purpose This paper aims to identify all variables and parameters related to business and emission within the petrochemical industry. The variables and parameters specified will be modeled into a system dynamic model that will be a baseline for the proposed best scenario(s) to address the business issue related to emission reduction in the petrochemical industry. Design/methodology/approach Literature review and stakeholder interviews were conducted to define the key factors contributing to the emission reduction of the petrochemical industry. The key factors are then developed into a system dynamic model to measure the quantitative impact of changes in those variables on emission and industry profitability. Findings This paper provides an analysis of system dynamic model. It suggests that process optimization can lead to a slight amount reduction in emissions. In contrast, a significant reduction shows in the simulation result of bio-based feedstock utilization and implementation of advanced technology. To sustain the emission reduction, strong commitment from stakeholders and support from the government will play an important role. Research limitations/implications This research is limited to problem analysis of the primary product (high-value chemical) of the petrochemical industry by only considering the changes in the key factors of emission reduction. Practical implications This paper includes implications for interventions that can be imposed to reduce emission while retaining the business profitability. Originality/value The contribution of this study is to find the best scenario that can boost emission reduction within Indonesia’s petrochemical industry.
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印尼石化行业减排的系统动态模型
目的本文旨在确定石化行业中与商业和排放相关的所有变量和参数。指定的变量和参数将被建模为系统动态模型,该模型将成为解决石化行业减排相关业务问题的拟议最佳方案的基线。设计/方法/方法进行文献综述和利益相关者访谈,以确定有助于石化行业减排的关键因素。然后将关键因素发展成一个系统动态模型,以衡量这些变量的变化对排放和行业盈利能力的定量影响。本文对系统动态模型进行了分析。这表明,工艺优化可以略微减少排放。相比之下,生物基原料利用和先进技术实施的模拟结果显著降低。为了维持减排,利益相关者的坚定承诺和政府的支持将发挥重要作用。研究局限性/含义本研究仅限于石化行业初级产品(高价值化学品)的问题分析,仅考虑减排关键因素的变化。实际含义本文包括在保持企业盈利能力的同时,为减少排放而实施的干预措施的含义。独创性/价值本研究的贡献是找到能够促进印尼石化行业减排的最佳方案。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
22.60%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Energy Sector Management aims to facilitate dissemination of research on issues relating to supply management (covering the entire supply chain of resource finding, extraction, production, treatment, conversion, transportation, distribution and retail supply), demand and usage management, waste management, customer and other stakeholder management, and solutions thereto. The journal covers all forms of energy (non-renewable and renewable), forms of supply (centralised or decentralised), ownership patterns (public or private, cooperative, joint, or any other), market structures (formal, informal, integrated, disintegrated, national, international, local, etc.) and degress of commoditisation (e.g. internationally traded, regionally traded, non-traded, etc.). The journal aims to cover a wide range of subjects relevant to the management of the energy sector, including but not limited to: Management of scarce resources (economic, financial, human and natural), projects, activities and concerns (e.g. regulatory, social and environmental aspects), technologies and knowledge Business strategy, policy and planning as well as decision support systems for energy sector management Business organisation, structure and environment, and changes thereto Globalisation and multi-cultural management Management of innovation, change and transition.
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