Wind Gust Parameterization Assessment under Convective and Non-convective Events: A Case Study at the Kertajati International Airport

Muhammad Rafid Zulfikar, M. R. Abdillah, P. Sarli
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Abstract

Wind gusts (gusts) are sudden increases in wind speed that potentially cause severe damage to infrastructure. Gusts occur within several seconds but numerical weather models typically predict future wind with a time step of tens of seconds or minutes. Therefore, a parameterization is needed to estimate gust. Gusts can be produced convectively and non-convectively depending on the presense of thunderstorm. The gust parameterization schemes may perform differently in both cases. In this study, five wind gust parameterization schemes were evaluated at the Kertajati International Airport. Based on simulations of three convective gust and three non-convective gust events using several evaluation metrics, we find that the best scheme for non-convectively driven gusts is the Turbulent Kinetic Energy (TKE) scheme, while the Hybrid scheme performs best for convectively driven gusts. However, the performance of Hybrid scheme during non-convective event is not so far behind TKE scheme. The Hybrid scheme was developed to work on both non-convective and convective events and this capability is evidently shown. The result could be useful to develop mitigation measures for strong wind incident that frequently occurs in Indonesia.
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对流和非对流事件下的阵风参数化评估——以克尔塔贾提国际机场为例
阵风是指风速突然增加,可能对基础设施造成严重破坏。阵风发生在几秒钟内,但数值天气模型通常以几十秒或几分钟的时间步长预测未来的风力。因此,需要参数化来估计阵风。根据雷暴的存在,阵风可以是对流产生的,也可以是非对流产生的。阵风参数化方案在这两种情况下的表现可能不同。在这项研究中,对克尔塔贾提国际机场的五个阵风参数化方案进行了评估。基于使用几种评估指标对三次对流阵风和三次非对流阵风事件的模拟,我们发现非对流驱动阵风的最佳方案是湍流动能(TKE)方案,而混合方案对对流驱动阵风表现最好。然而,混合方案在非对流事件中的性能并没有远远落后于TKE方案。混合方案是为处理非对流和对流事件而开发的,这种能力得到了明显的证明。这一结果可能有助于制定印尼频繁发生的强风事件的缓解措施。
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发文量
7
审稿时长
6 weeks
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