The Role of Success Rate, Discovery, Appraisal Spending, and Transitioning Region on Exploration Drilling of Oil and Gas in Indonesia in 2004–2015

Harry Patria
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Petroleum exploration decision remains a subject of petroleum and economic studies for decades. Most of the  studies discuss the investment decision by focusing on either a technical or economic perspective. In reality, economic, geological, and environmental factors are expected to determine the way investors make a decision. This study aims to increase the understanding of best practices in decision-making by scrutinizing integrative perspectives applying panel data of 32 basins in Indonesia in 2004–2015. This study provides several contributions to optimize decisions on wells drilled. First, this study derives an empirical model examining several plausible factors of economy, geology, and environment. Second, the findings demonstrate how to empirically examine which factors significantly determine wells drilled by companies. The last contribution is to empirically support a technical transformation from Western to Eastern exploration due to the natural depletion of oil fields.
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成功率、发现、评估支出和过渡区域在2004-2005年印尼油气勘探钻探中的作用
几十年来,石油勘探决策一直是石油和经济研究的一个主题。大多数研究都是从技术或经济角度来讨论投资决策。在现实中,预计经济、地质和环境因素将决定投资者的决策方式。本研究旨在通过2004-2015年印度尼西亚32个盆地面板数据的综合视角,增加对最佳决策实践的理解。该研究为优化钻井决策提供了一些贡献。首先,本研究推导了一个实证模型,考察了经济、地质和环境等几个貌似合理的因素。其次,研究结果展示了如何通过实证检验哪些因素显著地决定了公司的钻井数量。最后的贡献是实证地支持了由于油田自然枯竭而从西向东勘探的技术转变。
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