Estimación del efecto de la alternancia sobre la provisión de servicios públicos locales en México

Abstract

In this analysis are evaluated aspects of the Mexican electoral system such as alternation, political competition, and juxtaposed governments, which impact on the provision of local public services in Mexico. Using cross-section data corresponding to 2019 municipalities and information about local elections, through an econometric estimation, it is revealed that political competition has a positive relationship with the coverage of public services. However, the effect on local governments differs according to the odds of alternation. A Heckman model to eliminate selection bias generated by the political alternation is proposed.