{"title":"Local Debt Financing in the Shadow of Storms: Disrupted and Destructed?","authors":"Jinhai Yu, Zhao Zhang","doi":"10.1080/15309576.2023.2192943","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Natural disasters often pose sudden and drastic organizational environmental shocks for local governments, leading to administrative disruptions and public finance risks. In the short term, disasters may disrupt debt financing. The disaster shocks may increase the costs of debt if they hurt revenue bases or decrease the costs of debt if generating “constructive destruction” to the local economy. Using a panel of U.S. County governments between 1999 and 2019, we find that weather-related disasters decrease the likelihood of issuing general obligation bonds and increase the probability of issuing revenue bonds and short-term bonds in the subsequent 6 months. Conditional on borrowing, disasters increase the bond yields for short-term bonds. Thus, natural disasters may disrupt the timing of local government long-term borrowing but do not necessarily destroy public finances.","PeriodicalId":47571,"journal":{"name":"Public Performance & Management Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Public Performance & Management Review","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/15309576.2023.2192943","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Abstract Natural disasters often pose sudden and drastic organizational environmental shocks for local governments, leading to administrative disruptions and public finance risks. In the short term, disasters may disrupt debt financing. The disaster shocks may increase the costs of debt if they hurt revenue bases or decrease the costs of debt if generating “constructive destruction” to the local economy. Using a panel of U.S. County governments between 1999 and 2019, we find that weather-related disasters decrease the likelihood of issuing general obligation bonds and increase the probability of issuing revenue bonds and short-term bonds in the subsequent 6 months. Conditional on borrowing, disasters increase the bond yields for short-term bonds. Thus, natural disasters may disrupt the timing of local government long-term borrowing but do not necessarily destroy public finances.
期刊介绍：
Public Performance & Management Review (PPMR) is a leading peer-reviewed academic journal that addresses a broad array of influential factors on the performance of public and nonprofit organizations. Its objectives are to: Advance theories on public governance, public management, and public performance; Facilitate the development of innovative techniques and to encourage a wider application of those already established; Stimulate research and critical thinking about the relationship between public and private management theories; Present integrated analyses of theories, concepts, strategies, and techniques dealing with performance, measurement, and related questions of organizational efficacy; and Provide a forum for practitioner-academic exchange. Continuing themes include, but are not limited to: managing for results, measuring and evaluating performance, designing accountability systems, improving budget strategies, managing human resources, building partnerships, facilitating citizen participation, applying new technologies, and improving public sector services and outcomes. Published since 1975, Public Performance & Management Review is a highly respected journal, receiving international ranking. Scholars and practitioners recognize it as a leading journal in the field of public administration.
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