Victimisation and fear of crime in Brazil: The effect on the desire to move

IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Journal of Criminology Pub Date : 2023-05-18 DOI:10.1177/26338076231168403
Wander Plassa, L. V. Bernardelli, M. Kortt
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Abstract

We examined the effect of victimisation and fear of crime in Brazil and its attendant influence on the desire to move. Data drawn from the 2012 National Victimisation Survey were used to model the relationship between victimisation and the desire to move, with fear of crime used as a mediator variable. Our results indicate that being a victim of crime leads to increased fear, which, in turn, increases the desire to move. However, the indirect effect is comparatively small (i.e., our mediator variable—fear of crime—only marginally attenuates the relationship between victimisation and the desire to move). We also found evidence that property victimisation, victimisation occurring close to an individual's home, and indirect victimisation (i.e., hearing about a crime committed against another person in the neighbourhood) were also predictors of an increased desire to move in Brazil. Lastly, our results also suggest the importance of distinguishing between victimisation that occurred in the last 12 months compared to victimisation that occurred more than 12 months ago. Thus, policies that reduce victimisation and fear of crime may minimise the desire to move and any related economic and social costs.
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巴西的受害和对犯罪的恐惧:对迁移欲望的影响
我们研究了巴西受害和对犯罪的恐惧的影响,以及随之而来的对搬家欲望的影响。2012年全国受害调查的数据被用来模拟受害和搬家欲望之间的关系,对犯罪的恐惧被用作中介变量。我们的研究结果表明,成为犯罪的受害者会增加恐惧,而恐惧反过来又会增加行动的欲望。然而,间接影响相对较小(即,我们的中介变量——对犯罪的恐惧——只是略微削弱了受害和搬家欲望之间的关系)。我们还发现,有证据表明,财产受害、发生在个人家附近的受害和间接受害(即听说附近有人犯罪)也是在巴西搬家愿望增加的预测因素。最后,我们的研究结果还表明,区分过去12个月内发生的伤害与12个多月前发生的伤害的重要性。因此,减少受害和对犯罪的恐惧的政策可以最大限度地减少搬家的欲望以及任何相关的经济和社会成本。
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来源期刊
Journal of Criminology
Journal of Criminology CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
32
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