Dynamic modelling of Renewable Energy Consumption and Production on African Economic Growth and the Environment Using Vector Error Correction Models

IF 0.3 Q4 MATHEMATICS Matematika Pub Date : 2023-04-15 DOI:10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1447
A. A. Gwani, S. Sek
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Abstract

Prior research has explored the influence of renewable consumption on economic growth and carbon emissions (CO2), but few studies have examined the impact of both renewable energy consumption (REC) and renewable energy production (REP) on economic growth and CO2 emissions in Africa. The objective of this work is to dynamically estimate the effects of both REC and REP on economic growth and CO2 emissions in Africa, based on empirical evidence and using a data set from the years 1965 to 2020. This research aims to determine how REC and REP affect the economies and ecosystems of Africa. The Error Correction Models (ECMs) were utilized in the analysis, focusing on howREP and REC influence economic growth and environmental carbon dioxide emissions (CO2). Vector Error Correction Models (VECM) and Johansen cointegration methods were used on the data set. The results demonstrated that economic forces existed between the variables and that there was a long run equilibrium relationship between GDP and CO2 emissions in Africa, from REC to REP. Additionally, the outcomes showed that both REC and REP slowed down environmental deterioration while  promoting economic growth. Africa can lower the negative impacts of environmental pollution caused by the consumption of nonrenewable energy sources by adopting and aggressively promoting renewable energy production and utilization.
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使用矢量误差校正模型对可再生能源消费和生产对非洲经济增长和环境的动态建模
已有研究探讨了可再生能源消费对经济增长和二氧化碳排放的影响,但很少有研究考察了非洲可再生能源消费(REC)和可再生能源生产(REP)对经济增长和二氧化碳排放的影响。本研究的目的是基于经验证据并使用1965年至2020年的数据集,动态估计REC和REP对非洲经济增长和二氧化碳排放的影响。本研究旨在确定REC和REP如何影响非洲的经济和生态系统。利用误差修正模型(Error Correction Models, ECMs)分析了rep和REC对经济增长和环境二氧化碳排放(CO2)的影响。对数据集采用向量误差校正模型(VECM)和Johansen协整方法。研究结果表明,各变量之间存在经济作用力,非洲GDP与CO2排放之间存在长期均衡关系,从REC到REP, REC和REP都在促进经济增长的同时减缓了环境恶化。非洲可以通过采用和积极推动可再生能源的生产和利用,降低不可再生能源消费对环境污染的负面影响。
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来源期刊
Matematika
Matematika MATHEMATICS-
自引率
25.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
24 weeks
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