首页 > 最新文献

Matematika最新文献

英文 中文
An Almost Unbiased Regression Estimator: Theoretical Comparison and Numerical Comparison in Portland Cement Data 几乎无偏的回归估计器:波特兰水泥数据的理论比较与数值比较
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-12-30 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1519
S. Ng
Multicollinearity is the problem when there is linear dependency among the independent variables. The Ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) that is commonly adopted is not suitable for the linear regression model when the independent variables are correlated. This is due to the high variance in OLSE and hence the accuracy of OLSE reduces in the presence of multicollinearity. Hence, the estimator named k-almost unbiased regression estimator (KAURE) was proposed as an alternative to OLSE in this paper. KAURE was developed by using the definition of an almost unbiased estimator to further reduce the bias of Liu-type estimator-special case (LTESC). The properties of KAURE including bias, variance-covariance and mean squared error (MSE) were derived. Theoretical comparison and real-life data comparison were carried out to evaluate the performance of the KAURE based on the MSE criterion. The application of the real-life data supported the theoretical comparison that showed the superiority of KAURE over OLSE and LTESC. The results revealed that KAURE could be considered as an alternative estimator for the linear regression model to combat the problem of multicollinearity.
当自变量之间存在线性依赖关系时,就会出现多重共线性问题。当自变量之间存在相关性时,通常采用的普通最小二乘估计法(OLSE)并不适合线性回归模型。这是由于 OLSE 的方差较大,因此在存在多重共线性的情况下,OLSE 的准确性会降低。因此,本文提出了一种名为 K-almost unbiased regression estimator(KAURE)的估计器来替代 OLSE。KAURE 是通过使用几乎无偏估计器的定义来进一步减少刘式估计器特例(LTESC)的偏差而开发的。推导了 KAURE 的特性,包括偏差、方差-协方差和均方误差(MSE)。通过理论比较和实际数据比较,基于 MSE 标准评估了 KAURE 的性能。实际数据的应用支持了理论比较,表明 KAURE 优于 OLSE 和 LTESC。结果表明,KAURE 可被视为线性回归模型的替代估计器,以解决多重共线性问题。
{"title":"An Almost Unbiased Regression Estimator: Theoretical Comparison and Numerical Comparison in Portland Cement Data","authors":"S. Ng","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1519","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1519","url":null,"abstract":"Multicollinearity is the problem when there is linear dependency among the independent variables. The Ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) that is commonly adopted is not suitable for the linear regression model when the independent variables are correlated. This is due to the high variance in OLSE and hence the accuracy of OLSE reduces in the presence of multicollinearity. Hence, the estimator named k-almost unbiased regression estimator (KAURE) was proposed as an alternative to OLSE in this paper. KAURE was developed by using the definition of an almost unbiased estimator to further reduce the bias of Liu-type estimator-special case (LTESC). The properties of KAURE including bias, variance-covariance and mean squared error (MSE) were derived. Theoretical comparison and real-life data comparison were carried out to evaluate the performance of the KAURE based on the MSE criterion. The application of the real-life data supported the theoretical comparison that showed the superiority of KAURE over OLSE and LTESC. The results revealed that KAURE could be considered as an alternative estimator for the linear regression model to combat the problem of multicollinearity.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":" 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139140198","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Neutrosophic Bicubic Bezier Surface ApproximationModel for Uncertainty Data 不确定性数据的中性双三次贝塞尔曲面逼近模型
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1502
Siti Nur Idara Rosli, M. I. E. Zulkifly
Surfaces and their descriptions are significant in design, physical science, geology, and other natural phenomena. This study introduces a neutrosophic B´ezier surface approximation with a four-by-four control net for the bicubic situation. The neutrosophic notion defines the neutrosophic control net relation. The control net is mixed with the Bernstein basis function to generate a surface blending function and a neutrosophic bicubic B´ezier surface. Finally, the neutrosophic bicubic B´ezier surface is shown using an approximation approach and data points having neutrosophic properties.
曲面及其描述在设计、物理科学、地质学和其他自然现象中具有重要意义。本研究针对双三次方的情况,介绍了一种具有四乘四控制网的中性 B´ezier曲面近似。中性概念定义了中性控制网关系。控制网与伯恩斯坦基函数混合生成曲面混合函数和中性双三次方程 B´ezier 曲面。最后,使用近似方法和具有中性属性的数据点展示了中性双三次方程 B´ezier曲面。
{"title":"Neutrosophic Bicubic Bezier Surface ApproximationModel for Uncertainty Data","authors":"Siti Nur Idara Rosli, M. I. E. Zulkifly","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1502","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1502","url":null,"abstract":"Surfaces and their descriptions are significant in design, physical science, geology, and other natural phenomena. This study introduces a neutrosophic B´ezier surface approximation with a four-by-four control net for the bicubic situation. The neutrosophic notion defines the neutrosophic control net relation. The control net is mixed with the Bernstein basis function to generate a surface blending function and a neutrosophic bicubic B´ezier surface. Finally, the neutrosophic bicubic B´ezier surface is shown using an approximation approach and data points having neutrosophic properties.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":"134 1‐3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139149417","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Heat Transfer Enhancement of Convective Casson Nanofluid Flow by CNTs over Exponentially Accelerated Plate 瞬时加速板上的 CNT 增强卡松纳米流体对流的传热效果
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1509
W. N. N. Noranuar, A. Q. Mohamad, L. Y. Jiann, S. Shafie
Carbon nanotubes (CNTs) nanofluids are gaining increased popularity among researchers due to their outstanding thermal properties, leading to numerous promising industrial applications. Analytical solutions discovered in the study of CNTs nanofluids, combined with a Casson-type fluid model, are extremely limited. Therefore, a study on the heat transfer analysis of an unsteady and incompressible Casson carbon nanofluid flow is conducted. Human blood-based single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) and human blood-based multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs) are considered as nanofluids that move beyond an exponentially accelerated vertical plate. A set of dimensional momentum and energy equations, along with their initial and exponentially accelerated boundary conditions, is employed to represent the problem. The transformation of these equations to the dimensionless expression is achieved by using suitable dimensionless variables. The resulting equations are then tackled using Laplace transformation to acquire the analytical solution for temperature and velocity. Figures and tables are produced for a further analysis of temperature and velocity characteristics. The study shows that an increase in nanoparticle volume fraction enhances nanofluid flow and heat transmission, proving highly beneficial for cancer treatment. However, the flow is retarded due to the increment of Casson parameter values, while an enhancement is observed with a superior accelerating parameter.
碳纳米管(CNTs)纳米流体因其出色的热性能而越来越受到研究人员的青睐,并带来了众多前景广阔的工业应用。在研究碳纳米管纳米流体时发现,结合卡森型流体模型的分析解决方案极为有限。因此,本研究对不稳定、不可压缩的 Casson 碳纳米流体流动进行了传热分析。基于人体血液的单壁碳纳米管(SWCNTs)和基于人体血液的多壁碳纳米管(MWCNTs)被视为纳米流体,在指数加速的垂直板上运动。我们采用了一组尺寸动量和能量方程,以及它们的初始和指数加速边界条件来表示问题。通过使用合适的无量纲变量将这些方程转换为无量纲表达式。然后使用拉普拉斯变换来处理所得到的方程,从而获得温度和速度的解析解。为进一步分析温度和速度特性,还制作了图表。研究结果表明,纳米粒子体积分数的增加会增强纳米流体的流动性和热传导性,对癌症治疗大有裨益。然而,由于卡松参数值的增加,流动会变得迟缓,而在加速参数较高的情况下,流动会得到增强。
{"title":"Heat Transfer Enhancement of Convective Casson Nanofluid Flow by CNTs over Exponentially Accelerated Plate","authors":"W. N. N. Noranuar, A. Q. Mohamad, L. Y. Jiann, S. Shafie","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1509","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1509","url":null,"abstract":"Carbon nanotubes (CNTs) nanofluids are gaining increased popularity among researchers due to their outstanding thermal properties, leading to numerous promising industrial applications. Analytical solutions discovered in the study of CNTs nanofluids, combined with a Casson-type fluid model, are extremely limited. Therefore, a study on the heat transfer analysis of an unsteady and incompressible Casson carbon nanofluid flow is conducted. Human blood-based single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) and human blood-based multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs) are considered as nanofluids that move beyond an exponentially accelerated vertical plate. A set of dimensional momentum and energy equations, along with their initial and exponentially accelerated boundary conditions, is employed to represent the problem. The transformation of these equations to the dimensionless expression is achieved by using suitable dimensionless variables. The resulting equations are then tackled using Laplace transformation to acquire the analytical solution for temperature and velocity. Figures and tables are produced for a further analysis of temperature and velocity characteristics. The study shows that an increase in nanoparticle volume fraction enhances nanofluid flow and heat transmission, proving highly beneficial for cancer treatment. However, the flow is retarded due to the increment of Casson parameter values, while an enhancement is observed with a superior accelerating parameter.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":"48 28","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139151197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using the ARIMA/SARIMA Model for Afghanistan's Drought Forecasting Based on Standardized Precipitation Index 利用基于标准化降水指数的 ARIMA/SARIMA 模型进行阿富汗干旱预测
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1478
Reza Rezaiy, A. Shabri
Forecasting drought plays a vital role in strategic planning and the management of underground water supply. In this study, we utilized autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) models to predict drought events in Afghanistan, based on the standardized precipitation index (SPI). We used monthly average precipitation data from 1991 to 2015 for model training, while data from 2016 to 2020 were employed for model validation. The results of the statistical analysis, which  encompassed evaluating Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), indicated that among the SPI 3, SPI 6, SPI 9, SPI 12, and SPI 24, the SARIMA models applied to the SPI 24 demonstrated the most accurate forecasting performance with RMSE (0.1492), MAE (0.1039), and MAPE (22.3732%) compared to SPI 3, SPI 6, SPI 9, and SPI 12. Subsequently, the ARIMA/SARIMA models were employed to forecast drought events for the upcoming year. It’s noteworthy that this constitutes the first-ever statistical analysis of the drought index in Afghanistan. Therefore, the outcomes of this study can be applied across diverse sectors, including water resource management and environmental precautions.
干旱预测在战略规划和地下水供应管理中起着至关重要的作用。在本研究中,我们利用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)和季节 ARIMA(SARIMA)模型,基于标准化降水指数(SPI)预测阿富汗的干旱事件。我们使用 1991 年至 2015 年的月平均降水量数据进行模型训练,并使用 2016 年至 2020 年的数据进行模型验证。统计分析包括评估平均绝对误差 (MAE)、均方根误差 (RMSE) 和平均绝对百分比误差 (MAPE),结果表明,在 SPI 3、SPI 6、SPI 9、SPI 12 和 SPI 24 中,应用于 SPI 24 的 SARIMA 模型表现出最准确的预报性能,RMSE(0.1492)、MAE(0.1039)和 MAPE(22.3732%)。随后,采用 ARIMA/SARIMA 模型预测来年的干旱事件。值得注意的是,这是首次对阿富汗的干旱指数进行统计分析。因此,这项研究的成果可应用于各个领域,包括水资源管理和环境预防。
{"title":"Using the ARIMA/SARIMA Model for Afghanistan's Drought Forecasting Based on Standardized Precipitation Index","authors":"Reza Rezaiy, A. Shabri","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1478","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1478","url":null,"abstract":"Forecasting drought plays a vital role in strategic planning and the management of underground water supply. In this study, we utilized autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) models to predict drought events in Afghanistan, based on the standardized precipitation index (SPI). We used monthly average precipitation data from 1991 to 2015 for model training, while data from 2016 to 2020 were employed for model validation. The results of the statistical analysis, which  encompassed evaluating Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), indicated that among the SPI 3, SPI 6, SPI 9, SPI 12, and SPI 24, the SARIMA models applied to the SPI 24 demonstrated the most accurate forecasting performance with RMSE (0.1492), MAE (0.1039), and MAPE (22.3732%) compared to SPI 3, SPI 6, SPI 9, and SPI 12. Subsequently, the ARIMA/SARIMA models were employed to forecast drought events for the upcoming year. It’s noteworthy that this constitutes the first-ever statistical analysis of the drought index in Afghanistan. Therefore, the outcomes of this study can be applied across diverse sectors, including water resource management and environmental precautions.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139150495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Biclustering Models Under Collinearity in Simulated Biological Experiments 模拟生物实验中相关性条件下的双聚类模型
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1461
Chibuike Nnamani, Norhaiza Ahmad
Biclustering models allow simultaneous detection of group observations that are related to variables in a data matrix. Such methods have been applied in biological data for classification. Collinearity is a common feature in biological data as there exist interactions between genes and proteins in their respective pathways. Such relationships could seriously reduce the efficiency of biclustering models. In this study, synthetic data are generated to investigate the effect of collinearity on the performance of biclustering models. Specifically, the data are generated and induced with varying degrees of collinearity using Cholesky decomposition, and are implanted with biclusters to produce different sets of synthetic data. The effectiveness of three models namely Biclustering by Cheng and Church (BCCC), Spectral Bicluster (BCSpectral) and Plaid Model in correctly detecting three types of biclusters in the generated data matrix were compared. The results show that all the models investigated are sensitive to changes in the level of collinearity. At low collinearity, all biclustering models were able to detect the implanted biclusters in the data correctly. As the level of collinearity in the data rise, the proportion of detectedbiclusters captured by the models reduces. In particular, BCC outperformed the other two models for moderate to high collinearity with a Jaccard coefficient of 0.499 to 0.875 and 0.746 to 0.936 for one and two implanted biclusters respectively.
双聚类模型可以同时检测与数据矩阵中变量相关的群体观测数据。这种方法已被应用于生物数据的分类。共线性是生物数据的常见特征,因为基因和蛋白质在各自的通路中存在相互作用。这种关系会严重降低双聚类模型的效率。本研究生成合成数据,以研究共线性对双聚类模型性能的影响。具体来说,利用 Cholesky 分解法生成并诱导不同程度的共线性数据,然后植入双聚类,生成不同的合成数据集。比较了三种模型,即 Biclustering by Cheng and Church (BCCCC)、Spectral Bicluster (BCSpectral) 和 Plaid Model 在生成的数据矩阵中正确检测三种双簇的有效性。结果表明,所研究的所有模型对共线性水平的变化都很敏感。在低共线性条件下,所有双簇模型都能正确检测出数据中的植入双簇。随着数据中共线性水平的上升,模型所捕捉到的双簇比例也随之下降。特别是在中度到高度共线性情况下,BCC 的表现优于其他两个模型,对于一个和两个植入双簇的 Jaccard 系数分别为 0.499 到 0.875 和 0.746 到 0.936。
{"title":"Biclustering Models Under Collinearity in Simulated Biological Experiments","authors":"Chibuike Nnamani, Norhaiza Ahmad","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1461","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1461","url":null,"abstract":"Biclustering models allow simultaneous detection of group observations that are related to variables in a data matrix. Such methods have been applied in biological data for classification. Collinearity is a common feature in biological data as there exist interactions between genes and proteins in their respective pathways. Such relationships could seriously reduce the efficiency of biclustering models. In this study, synthetic data are generated to investigate the effect of collinearity on the performance of biclustering models. Specifically, the data are generated and induced with varying degrees of collinearity using Cholesky decomposition, and are implanted with biclusters to produce different sets of synthetic data. The effectiveness of three models namely Biclustering by Cheng and Church (BCCC), Spectral Bicluster (BCSpectral) and Plaid Model in correctly detecting three types of biclusters in the generated data matrix were compared. The results show that all the models investigated are sensitive to changes in the level of collinearity. At low collinearity, all biclustering models were able to detect the implanted biclusters in the data correctly. As the level of collinearity in the data rise, the proportion of detectedbiclusters captured by the models reduces. In particular, BCC outperformed the other two models for moderate to high collinearity with a Jaccard coefficient of 0.499 to 0.875 and 0.746 to 0.936 for one and two implanted biclusters respectively.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":"65 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139206987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multi-Population O’Hare with ARIMA, ARIMA-GARCH and ANN in Forecasting Mortality Rate 使用 ARIMA、ARIMA-GARCH 和 ANN 预测死亡率的多人口奥黑尔模型
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1496
Nurul Syuhada Samsudin, Siti Rohani Mohd Nor
Multi-population mortality model has gained attention from prominent researchers of mortality due to its ability to provide biologically reasonable forecast. Previously, many researchers have proposed several multi-population stochastic mortality models that they considered adequate to produce accurate life expectancy. However, little have been addressed of the variability in full ages and time, which can contribute to an erroneous estimation of life expectancy. Therefore, this study proposed a new multi-population O’Hare with ARIMA, ARIMA-GARCH and ANN in forecasting the mortality rate for male and female in Malaysia, Taiwan, Japan, Hong Kong, Australia, USA, UK, Canada, and Switzerland. Multi-population O’Hare was used as a reference model, whilst ARIMA, ARIMA-GARCH and ANN were incorporated to the reference model to forecast the mortality rates. The adequacy of the proposed model was assessed by using measurement errors which were Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The results showed by multi-population O’Hare with ARIMA-GARCH gave the best forecasting performance for Taiwan, Japan, Australia, USA, UK, Canada, and Switzerland. On the other hand, multi-population O’Hare with ARIMA gave the best forecasting performance for Malaysia, whereas multi-population O’Hare with ANN gave the best forecasting performance for Hong Kong.
多人口死亡率模型因其能够提供生物学上合理的预测而受到死亡率领域著名研究人员的关注。在此之前,许多研究人员提出了几种多人口随机死亡率模型,他们认为这些模型足以得出准确的预期寿命。然而,这些模型很少涉及全年龄和时间的变异性,而这种变异性可能导致对预期寿命的错误估计。因此,本研究提出了一种新的多人口 O'Hare,用 ARIMA、ARIMA-GARCH 和 ANN 预测马来西亚、台湾、日本、香港、澳大利亚、美国、英国、加拿大和瑞士的男性和女性死亡率。多人口 O'Hare 被用作参考模型,而 ARIMA、ARIMA-GARCH 和 ANN 被纳入参考模型以预测死亡率。利用测量误差(平均绝对百分比误差 (MAPE) 和均方根误差 (RMSE))评估了拟议模型的适当性。结果显示,在台湾、日本、澳大利亚、美国、英国、加拿大和瑞士,多人口 O'Hare 与 ARIMA-GARCH 的预测效果最佳。另一方面,使用 ARIMA 的多人口 O'Hare 对马来西亚的预测效果最好,而使用 ANN 的多人口 O'Hare 对香港的预测效果最好。
{"title":"Multi-Population O’Hare with ARIMA, ARIMA-GARCH and ANN in Forecasting Mortality Rate","authors":"Nurul Syuhada Samsudin, Siti Rohani Mohd Nor","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1496","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n3.1496","url":null,"abstract":"Multi-population mortality model has gained attention from prominent researchers of mortality due to its ability to provide biologically reasonable forecast. Previously, many researchers have proposed several multi-population stochastic mortality models that they considered adequate to produce accurate life expectancy. However, little have been addressed of the variability in full ages and time, which can contribute to an erroneous estimation of life expectancy. Therefore, this study proposed a new multi-population O’Hare with ARIMA, ARIMA-GARCH and ANN in forecasting the mortality rate for male and female in Malaysia, Taiwan, Japan, Hong Kong, Australia, USA, UK, Canada, and Switzerland. Multi-population O’Hare was used as a reference model, whilst ARIMA, ARIMA-GARCH and ANN were incorporated to the reference model to forecast the mortality rates. The adequacy of the proposed model was assessed by using measurement errors which were Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The results showed by multi-population O’Hare with ARIMA-GARCH gave the best forecasting performance for Taiwan, Japan, Australia, USA, UK, Canada, and Switzerland. On the other hand, multi-population O’Hare with ARIMA gave the best forecasting performance for Malaysia, whereas multi-population O’Hare with ANN gave the best forecasting performance for Hong Kong.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":"111 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139208656","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Predicting Top Five Cryptocurrency Prices via Linear Structural Time Series (STS) Approach 通过线性结构时间序列(STS)方法预测五大加密货币价格
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-04-15 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1444
Nur Maisarah Abdul Rashid, M. Ismail, Noor Wahida Md Junus
Predicting cryptocurrency prices are difficult due to dynamic data. At the same time, the hidden market behavior of trend and seasonal components in the history data is also critical as it provides an idea of what the price pattern will be in the future. Hence, this research proposes to identify and model the hidden pattern behavior in terms of component time series instead of removing it via the linear structural time series (STS) model approach. This study focuses on the top five cryptocurrencies relying on the highest market capitalization. From the results obtained, the top five cryptocurrencies have a different trend model, either deterministic or stochastic, which relies on the behavior of data. The five cryptocurrencies also show the crypto winter event, where the trend is downward after six months every year. The linear STS is the best model for predicting three cryptocurrencies’ prices for nonstationary and volatility data behavior. It can also handle the hidden component behavior and is easy to interpret. Since the linear STS model can indirectly retain the information of data, it will assist investors and traders in accurately predicting cryptocurrency prices.
由于数据动态,预测加密货币价格很困难。与此同时,历史数据中趋势和季节性成分的隐藏市场行为也至关重要,因为它提供了未来价格模式的概念。因此,本研究提出根据组件时间序列来识别和建模隐藏模式行为,而不是通过线性结构时间序列(STS)模型方法来去除它。这项研究的重点是依赖最高市值的前五大加密货币。从获得的结果来看,排名前五的加密货币有一个不同的趋势模型,要么是确定性的,要么是随机的,这取决于数据的行为。这五种加密货币还显示了加密货币冬季事件,每年六个月后,这一趋势呈下降趋势。对于非平稳和波动性数据行为,线性STS是预测三种加密货币价格的最佳模型。它还可以处理隐藏的组件行为,并且易于解释。由于线性STS模型可以间接保留数据的信息,它将帮助投资者和交易员准确预测加密货币价格。
{"title":"Predicting Top Five Cryptocurrency Prices via Linear Structural Time Series (STS) Approach","authors":"Nur Maisarah Abdul Rashid, M. Ismail, Noor Wahida Md Junus","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1444","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1444","url":null,"abstract":"Predicting cryptocurrency prices are difficult due to dynamic data. At the same time, the hidden market behavior of trend and seasonal components in the history data is also critical as it provides an idea of what the price pattern will be in the future. Hence, this research proposes to identify and model the hidden pattern behavior in terms of component time series instead of removing it via the linear structural time series (STS) model approach. This study focuses on the top five cryptocurrencies relying on the highest market capitalization. From the results obtained, the top five cryptocurrencies have a different trend model, either deterministic or stochastic, which relies on the behavior of data. The five cryptocurrencies also show the crypto winter event, where the trend is downward after six months every year. The linear STS is the best model for predicting three cryptocurrencies’ prices for nonstationary and volatility data behavior. It can also handle the hidden component behavior and is easy to interpret. Since the linear STS model can indirectly retain the information of data, it will assist investors and traders in accurately predicting cryptocurrency prices.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42714395","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Integration of Data Envelopment Analysis with Analytical Hierarchy Process and Entropy Measurement in the Optimization of Supplier Selection 供应商选择优化中的数据包络分析与层次分析法和熵测度相结合
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-04-15 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1391
Nur Rasyida Mohd Rashid, Bushra Abdul Halim, Iskandar Shah Mohd Zawawi, Husna Nadzirah Abdullah, Nur Iylia Antasha Abu Hassan, Nur Atikah Ismail
Supplier selection is perceived as important decision-making process in any supply chain management. In this study, the best supplier for a company is being determined based on five main criteria chosen which are delivery, capacity, warranty, cost, and quality. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Entropy Measurement (EM) methods are integrated with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was applied to set ranking and choose the best supplier as conventional DEA is not able to provide complete ranking among inefficient units. The mathematical modelling is executed using LINGO software. Supplier 3 has obtained efficient result of score 1 for both hybrid method and in Super Efficiency method as the most efficient supplier. Then, the results are validated using Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient (SRCC) which shows positive correlation between both integrated methods. Finally, findings of this study indicate the feasibility of integrated AHP-DEA and EM-DEA for supplier selection with multiple criteria.
供应商选择被认为是任何供应链管理中的重要决策过程。在这项研究中,一个公司的最佳供应商是根据五个主要标准来确定的,这五个标准是交货,能力,保修,成本和质量。针对传统的数据包络分析(DEA)无法对效率低下的单位进行完整的排序,将层次分析法(AHP)和熵测度法(EM)相结合,采用数据包络分析(DEA)进行排序和最佳供应商选择。利用LINGO软件进行数学建模。供应商3作为效率最高的供应商,在混合方法和超效率方法下均获得了1分的效率结果。然后利用Spearman等级相关系数(SRCC)对结果进行验证,结果表明两种综合方法之间存在正相关。最后,本文的研究结果表明了AHP-DEA和EM-DEA集成的多准则供应商选择的可行性。
{"title":"Integration of Data Envelopment Analysis with Analytical Hierarchy Process and Entropy Measurement in the Optimization of Supplier Selection","authors":"Nur Rasyida Mohd Rashid, Bushra Abdul Halim, Iskandar Shah Mohd Zawawi, Husna Nadzirah Abdullah, Nur Iylia Antasha Abu Hassan, Nur Atikah Ismail","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1391","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1391","url":null,"abstract":"Supplier selection is perceived as important decision-making process in any supply chain management. In this study, the best supplier for a company is being determined based on five main criteria chosen which are delivery, capacity, warranty, cost, and quality. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Entropy Measurement (EM) methods are integrated with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was applied to set ranking and choose the best supplier as conventional DEA is not able to provide complete ranking among inefficient units. The mathematical modelling is executed using LINGO software. Supplier 3 has obtained efficient result of score 1 for both hybrid method and in Super Efficiency method as the most efficient supplier. Then, the results are validated using Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient (SRCC) which shows positive correlation between both integrated methods. Finally, findings of this study indicate the feasibility of integrated AHP-DEA and EM-DEA for supplier selection with multiple criteria.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41851194","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Wall Shear Stress Distribution of non-Newtonian Blood Flow in Stenosed Bifurcated Artery 狭窄分叉动脉非牛顿血流的壁剪应力分布
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-04-15 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1452
Norliza Mohd Zain, Z. Ismail, Muhammad Sabaruddin Ahmad Jamali, Y. J. Lim
Localized plaque causes narrowing of the arterial wall, resulting in an alteration in the flow structure, reducing the flow of fluids reaching the heart and resulting in heart attacks. The formation of stenosis could disturb the normal hemodynamics in blood rheology. A bifurcated artery with different types of stenosis is considered in order to illustrate the four possible formations of plaque between healthy and diseased arteries. Due to the fact that a diseased artery is reported to be less compliant, the artery wall is modelled as a two-dimensional rigid wall. In this model, blood flow is assumed to be steady, laminar, incompressible, and characterized as a generalized power-law model that is non-Newtonian in nature. The numerical simulation is performed using COMSOL Multiphysics, which is based on finite element method. Based on simulation results, different types of stenosis in the bifurcated artery have a significant impact on velocity profiles and wall shear stresses.
局部斑块导致动脉壁狭窄,导致血流结构改变,减少到达心脏的液体流量,导致心脏病发作。狭窄的形成会影响血液流变学的正常血流动力学。为了说明健康动脉和病变动脉之间斑块的四种可能形成,考虑了不同类型狭窄的分支动脉。由于患病动脉的柔韧性较差,因此将动脉壁建模为二维刚性壁。在这个模型中,血流被假设为稳定的、层流的、不可压缩的,并被描述为一个广义幂律模型,本质上是非牛顿的。采用基于有限元法的COMSOL Multiphysics软件进行了数值模拟。仿真结果表明,分叉动脉不同类型的狭窄对速度分布和管壁剪应力有显著影响。
{"title":"Wall Shear Stress Distribution of non-Newtonian Blood Flow in Stenosed Bifurcated Artery","authors":"Norliza Mohd Zain, Z. Ismail, Muhammad Sabaruddin Ahmad Jamali, Y. J. Lim","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1452","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1452","url":null,"abstract":"Localized plaque causes narrowing of the arterial wall, resulting in an alteration in the flow structure, reducing the flow of fluids reaching the heart and resulting in heart attacks. The formation of stenosis could disturb the normal hemodynamics in blood rheology. A bifurcated artery with different types of stenosis is considered in order to illustrate the four possible formations of plaque between healthy and diseased arteries. Due to the fact that a diseased artery is reported to be less compliant, the artery wall is modelled as a two-dimensional rigid wall. In this model, blood flow is assumed to be steady, laminar, incompressible, and characterized as a generalized power-law model that is non-Newtonian in nature. The numerical simulation is performed using COMSOL Multiphysics, which is based on finite element method. Based on simulation results, different types of stenosis in the bifurcated artery have a significant impact on velocity profiles and wall shear stresses.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42944040","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Backward Bifurcation and Hysteresis in a Mathematical Model of COVID19 with Imperfect Vaccine 具有不完全疫苗的covid - 19数学模型的后向分岔和滞后
IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-04-15 DOI: 10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1458
Solomon Isa Rwat, Noor Atinah Ahmad Ahmad
Vaccination has been used as strategy to eradicate the spread of COVID-19. But imperfect vaccine has been reported to induce backward bifurcation and hysteresis in mathematical models of disease transmission. Backward bifurcation is a phenomenon whereby a stable endemic equilibrium exists contemporaneously with a stable disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction number is less than 1. This situation can cause difficulty in controlling an epidemic because the basic reproduction is no longer the only means of eradicating the disease. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model for the transmission of disease which includes imperfect vaccination. We show that our model is capable of capturing backward bifurcation under certain conditions. By using parameters that are relevant to COVID-19 transmission in Malaysia, our numerical analysis shows that low vaccine efficacy can trigger backward bifurcation.
疫苗接种已被用作根除新冠肺炎传播的战略。但据报道,不完美的疫苗会在疾病传播的数学模型中引发后向分叉和滞后。后向分叉是一种现象,当基本繁殖数小于1时,稳定的地方病平衡与稳定的无病平衡同时存在。这种情况可能会导致控制流行病的困难,因为基本繁殖不再是根除疾病的唯一手段。在本文中,我们提出了一个包括不完全疫苗接种在内的疾病传播的数学模型。我们证明了我们的模型能够在一定条件下捕获后向分叉。通过使用与新冠肺炎在马来西亚传播相关的参数,我们的数值分析表明,低疫苗效力可能引发后向分叉。
{"title":"Backward Bifurcation and Hysteresis in a Mathematical Model of COVID19 with Imperfect Vaccine","authors":"Solomon Isa Rwat, Noor Atinah Ahmad Ahmad","doi":"10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1458","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11113/matematika.v39.n1.1458","url":null,"abstract":"Vaccination has been used as strategy to eradicate the spread of COVID-19. But imperfect vaccine has been reported to induce backward bifurcation and hysteresis in mathematical models of disease transmission. Backward bifurcation is a phenomenon whereby a stable endemic equilibrium exists contemporaneously with a stable disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction number is less than 1. This situation can cause difficulty in controlling an epidemic because the basic reproduction is no longer the only means of eradicating the disease. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model for the transmission of disease which includes imperfect vaccination. We show that our model is capable of capturing backward bifurcation under certain conditions. By using parameters that are relevant to COVID-19 transmission in Malaysia, our numerical analysis shows that low vaccine efficacy can trigger backward bifurcation.","PeriodicalId":43733,"journal":{"name":"Matematika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49195175","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Matematika
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1