Os determinantes da migração no Brasil: uma análise probit para os anos de 2004, 2009 e 2014

IF 0.3 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Economia Sociedad y Territorio Pub Date : 2018-04-06 DOI:10.22136/EST01101
Fransuellen Paulino Santos, Anna Clara Balbina Silva, Franscisco Carlos da Cunha Cassuce, Jader Fernandes Cirino
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the interstate migratory process focusing on the more educated individuals, besides other characteristics that affect the decision to migrate. Data from the years 2004, 2009, and 2014 were extracted from the microdata of the National Survey by Household Sample (PNAD) for the 26 units of the federation and the Federal District. The Probit model is used to calculate the probabilities and the results are analyzed based on the construction of scenarios. After the investigation, it is concluded that, for the investigated years in Brazil, the higher the education of the individual, the greater the probability of migrating.
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巴西移民的决定因素:2004年、2009年和2014年的概率分析
本文分析了州际迁移过程,重点关注受教育程度较高的个体,以及影响迁移决策的其他特征。2004年、2009年和2014年的数据提取自联邦和联邦区26个单位的全国住户抽样调查(PNAD)的微观数据。采用Probit模型计算概率,并基于场景的构建对结果进行分析。经过调查,得出结论,在巴西调查的年份,个人的教育程度越高,迁移的可能性越大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Economia Sociedad y Territorio
Economia Sociedad y Territorio SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
0.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
27
审稿时长
34 weeks
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